Prop I am considering

[gauchojake]

WASHINGTON Commanders to not make the playoffs +350

Commanders (9-5)Final 3

Vs Eagles
Vs Falcons
@Cowboys

Falcons (7-7)final 3
vs Giants
@ Commanders
vs Panthers

Seahawks (8-6) final 3
vs Vikings
@Bears
@Rams

What do you think?

I think there's a decent chance that either ATL or SEA take the final WC spot based on schedules. If WAS loses the next two, the Cowboys can play spoiler in a do or die divisional game.

[gauchojake]

This is at BetUS btw. BOL has the same prop at +325.

[Headsterx]

I wouldn’t as these are my predictions:

Wash: L-W-W
ATL: W-L-L
Sea: L-W-L

[gauchojake]

A few things need to fall to make this happen but the nfl is week to week. If penix gives the falcons a lift, then this bet is looking pretty good. Vikings could also shit the bed and Seahawks sneak in. I fired at it.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

A few things need to fall to make this happen but the nfl is week to week. If penix gives the falcons a lift, then this bet is looking pretty good. Vikings could also shit the bed and Seahawks sneak in. I fired at it.

Jake, you're good on this stuff. You helped me hit that Rams future ticket.

You might be on to something. I think it's all about the Falcons:
1) Does Penix improve the Falcons? He was so good as a Husky.
2) What about the Tie-breaker? If it's a two-way tie, Atl win over Wash is the tie-breaker.
...It's almost like a 3-game swing. You get a win, you give your Opp a loss, and you get the H2H tie-breaker.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

This is at BetUS btw. BOL has the same prop at +325.

This site says: Wash 73%.

...So +325 on the NO would be +EV, if you believe that projection.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

http://www.playoffstatus.com/nfl/nflpostseasonprob.html

Site referenced ABOVE.

[DrunkHorseplayer]

.....

[Otters27]

Im very curious how Penix does. A lot of people are thinking falcons easy today

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Im very curious how Penix does. A lot of people are thinking falcons easy today

Jake might be on to something here:
*I think the Atlanta HC picked out this game to switch to Penix. He mentioned that Penix has been doing everything right in preparation. This shapes up as an easy opponent, a game where Penix can build his confidence.

*I really think the Eagles are playing too well. Don't think they're losing today.
...I would like to know if Daniels is banged up. He has the frame that doesn't figure to handle a long NFL season.

I think Jake is on to something here. Falcons win today, WASH loses. Sets up a huge tilt next week, where ATL can steal the thunder.

https://www.nfl.com/standings/tie-breaking-procedures

...NFL tie-breakers are incredibly complicated. Especially when you move from two to three teams.
...Big thing is that the games this week are NFC games. Conference record can move up/down, and that can make next week's game an All-or-Nothing tilt.

[Spite]

Im very curious how Penix does. A lot of people are thinking falcons easy today

He's going to tear it up. He is LEGIT. He was the best NFL QB in the draft. His hand size and style of play will translate to the NFL instantly.

[stevenash]

Im very curious how Penix does. A lot of people are thinking falcons easy today

Yeah, me too.
I like the kid.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Favorites holding (thus far). I really question Daniels coming down the stretch. WASH rush Def getting gouged today.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Wish I had bet this. ATL looks good, and PHI is rolling.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Every Fav but Ariz is covering right now.

[gauchojake]

This concussion is going to fukk me 😂

[ChuckyTheGoat]

This concussion is going to fukk me 

Yes. Eagles mangled it.

[gauchojake]

Unfortunately that Philly game was kind of the lynchpin of the bet. Not getting that leg makes this a difficult cash. Should have bet Atlanta to win NFC South instead 😂

[Otters27]

Devonte Smith dropped that ball

[gauchojake]

Tampa and Atlanta win out and WAS loses next two and the bet wins. LFG!!

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Tampa and Atlanta win out and WAS loses next two and the bet wins. LFG!!

Penix envy. Go, Falcons!