Sitting on a $1.2M payout if Zverev/Keys win the AO with no cashout safety net

**Doug tushyterror** · 01-25-25, 12:43 AM

Originally posted by unlearn

Pulling for horseface and man bun for you even though I have a Sinnerlenka future parlay myself for a cunthair of what you stand to win

Thanks bro..trying to decide if this max. bet partial hedge makes sense. Would need Keys to win to guarantee coming out of this with at least 107k but I don't want to flush 26k down the shitter if she loses.

**gauchojake** · 01-25-25, 12:44 AM

Originally posted by unlearn

Pulling for horseface and man bun for you even though I have a Sinnerlenka future parlay myself for a cunthair of what you stand to win

oh shit what's up pal

let's root douggie in

**unlearn** · 01-25-25, 01:04 AM

Originally posted by Doug tushyterror

Thanks bro..trying to decide if this max. bet partial hedge makes sense. Would need Keys to win to guarantee coming out of this with at least 107k but I don't want to flush 26k down the shitter if she loses.

Doesn't make sense to me as if horseface chokes another final away you're out another 26 racks

**Doug tushyterror** · 01-25-25, 01:37 AM

Originally posted by unlearn

Doesn't make sense to me as if horseface chokes another final away you're out another 26 racks

It's done. As much as I don't trust her either, it feels like I just set 26k on fire but this is the only viable risk to come out of this with at least 100k+ if Sinner wins.

**unlearn** · 01-25-25, 01:42 AM

Good luck man. I hope to wake up and see John Elways illegitimate daughter killed my parlay and gave you a shot at a million

**Doug tushyterror** · 01-25-25, 01:48 AM

Originally posted by unlearn

Good luck man. I hope to wake up and see John Elways illegitimate daughter killed my parlay and gave you a shot at a million

Much appreciated un..She blocked me on IG a few yrs ago for posting a Mr. Ed gif after blowing a match so this would be super ironic if she comes through for me

**eberetta1** · 01-25-25, 01:51 AM

Over $1 million is life changing money. Rooting for you.

**Doug tushyterror** · 01-25-25, 01:56 AM

Originally posted by eberetta1

Over $1 million is life changing money. Rooting for you.

Definitely is, much appreciated!

**Doug tushyterror** · 01-25-25, 01:58 AM

Originally posted by gauchojake

oh shit what's up pal

let's root douggie in

Thanks Jake. At least give me Keys after I just hedged with her & Sinner.

**mjsuax13** · 01-25-25, 02:13 AM

Originally posted by Doug tushyterror

Much appreciated un..She blocked me on IG a few yrs ago for posting a Mr. Ed gif after blowing a match so this would be super ironic if she comes through for me

Dude… this is so funny. I can’t stop laughing. What a fukkin picture.

**Doug tushyterror** · 01-25-25, 02:33 AM

Originally posted by mjsuax13

Dude… this is so funny. I can’t stop laughing. What a fukkin picture.

Most people these days would have no fukking clue about Mr. Ed

**mjsuax13** · 01-25-25, 02:49 AM

Originally posted by Doug tushyterror

Most people these days would have no fukking clue about Mr. Ed

It’s hilarious. I remember watching that show. That stupid fukkin horse and all kinds of bullshit. I remember the song. We are close to the same age Douglas.

This is dumb but in college we had a mounted deer head from some guys hunting trip that we took everywhere with us. The deer drank, smoked, wore sunglasses, etc… so funny.

<a href="https://imgbb.com/"><img src="https://i.ibb.co/sV5hRwh/IMG-8139.jpg" alt="IMG-8139" border="0"></a>

**leovegas** · 01-25-25, 02:58 AM

Originally posted by eberetta1

Over $1 million is life changing money. Rooting for you.

Funny how most of us start betting thinking about making a quick million, and quitting the next day.

I'd guess that no more than one in 10 (100?) million bettors - or day traders, or Solana meme traders - ever get to that level. And then, when you make it to the top... why would you stop? Makes no sense to stop, if you actually are one in a million, and you're that good (or that lucky). It's just not how humans think or operate.

Having an exit plan is great, but what are the chances OP actually a) wins the full bet without cashing out and b) only keeps 100-200k as betting bankroll, without 'dipping into savings' to replenish it after the very next bad streak a week or a month into the future?

You have to bet with conviction, to have a chance to become 1 in a million. And if you're serious about it, you have to quit with conviction - and this to me is even harder than hitting a 100/1 shot he's about to hit on Sunday.

GL OP

**mjsuax13** · 01-25-25, 05:58 AM

We are looking at $100k+ or $1.2 million+ in this thread. Let’s go! Onward.

**Otters27** · 01-25-25, 06:00 AM

Well I'll be

**wombat** · 01-25-25, 06:02 AM

Halfway there Dougy. Zverev has an excellent chance. This is his best form in years.

Best of luck!

**mjsuax13** · 01-25-25, 06:04 AM

This fukkin guy needs his own series on HBO.

**Conqueror** · 01-25-25, 06:09 AM

BOL guy!

**Optional** · 01-25-25, 07:33 AM

Originally posted by mjsuax13

We are looking at $100k+ or $1.2 million+ in this thread. Let’s go! Onward.

Can't wait to hear the cashout offer.

Decision time.

**pabonaparte** · 01-25-25, 07:33 AM

By the time DK gets back to him with a cashout offer, he's going to change his mind and just go in a full FU mode

Imagine Sinner doesn't feel his best tomorrow? He was on video, his hands shaking, in visible distress against.... Rune? a few days ago

He had to take a 13 minute medical in one of his matches. He's human

**pabonaparte** · 01-25-25, 07:33 AM

Originally posted by Optional

Can't wait to hear the cashout offer.

Decision time.

My guess: 150k or something equally ridiculous

**ThaWoj** · 01-25-25, 07:41 AM

Originally posted by pabonaparte

By the time DK gets back to him with a cashout offer, he's going to change his mind and just go in a full FU mode

Imagine Sinner doesn't feel his best tomorrow? He was on video, his hands shaking, in visible distress against.... Rune? a few days ago

He had to take a 13 minute medical in one of his matches. He's human

The good thing about that is that at least on dk and fd they pay winners and void losers on retirements after 1 set on atp/wta/challenger matches. Not that it would be likely that sinner would retire in a final but better than having the bet at a book that voids all retirements.

**ThaWoj** · 01-25-25, 08:11 AM

3rd set saba held to 15, 15, 0, 0, to 30 in the 5th game (had 40-15), then gets broken to lose 5-7. But Keys didnt give up a bp in the whole set to world #1 which is incredible. Women dont go a whole set without giving up a bp. Beating world #2 Iga then world #1 saba is deserving of the title for sure. I wonder how many spots she moves up now in the rankings. She might fall off like Paolini did last year making the wimbledon and french open finals and the doubles finals in the Olympics. Jasmine never won any of those however.

**Doug tushyterror** · 01-25-25, 08:42 AM

Originally posted by Optional

Can't wait to hear the cashout offer.

Decision time.

There's still no cashout on the 1.2M in combined payouts Opti. Legit don't get why they'd be willing to risk this type of exposure on a -285 fav (Sinner) instead of trying to buy me out for at least 250k which seems reasonable.

In any case, I'm glad there's no cashout so I don't get tempted. With this hedge, I'm looking at a 152.7k roll (19.6 current balance) if Sinner unfortunately wins & $1,216,343 if he loses.

**Doug tushyterror** · 01-25-25, 08:47 AM

Originally posted by leovegas

Funny how most of us start betting thinking about making a quick million, and quitting the next day.

I'd guess that no more than one in 10 (100?) million bettors - or day traders, or Solana meme traders - ever get to that level. And then, when you make it to the top... why would you stop? Makes no sense to stop, if you actually are one in a million, and you're that good (or that lucky). It's just not how humans think or operate.

Having an exit plan is great, but what are the chances OP actually a) wins the full bet without cashing out and b) only keeps 100-200k as betting bankroll, without 'dipping into savings' to replenish it after the very next bad streak a week or a month into the future?

You have to bet with conviction, to have a chance to become 1 in a million. And if you're serious about it, you have to quit with conviction - and this to me is even harder than hitting a 100/1 shot he's about to hit on Sunday.

GL OP

Thanks bro..but is the tentative strategy I wrote out a few days ago so there is a plan in place.

**Doug tushyterror** · 01-25-25, 08:51 AM

Originally posted by ThaWoj

3rd set saba held to 15, 15, 0, 0, to 30 in the 5th game (had 40-15), then gets broken to lose 5-7. But Keys didnt give up a bp in the whole set to world #1 which is incredible. Women dont go a whole set without giving up a bp. Beating world #2 Iga then world #1 saba is deserving of the title for sure. I wonder how many spots she moves up now in the rankings. She might fall off like Paolini did last year making the wimbledon and french open finals and the doubles finals in the Olympics. Jasmine never won any of those however.

1 step closer for the both of us Woj. Obv didn't watch but got the score like I always do clicking the favs. tab. I did DVR it so I could watch it now totally stress-free.

**Optional** · 01-25-25, 08:55 AM

Originally posted by Doug tushyterror

There's still no cashout on the 1.2M in combined payouts Opti. Legit don't get why they'd be willing to risk this type of exposure on a -285 fav (Sinner) instead of trying to buy me out for at least 250k which seems reasonable.

In any case, I'm glad there's no cashout so I don't get tempted. With this hedge, I'm looking at a 152.7k roll (19.6 current balance) if Sinner unfortunately wins & $1,216,343 if he loses.

Wow, great position you worked that in to!!

I'm happy for you.

Less than a week ago I thought you were on the fast path to ruin.

**2Sweeet** · 01-25-25, 09:00 AM

Originally posted by Doug tushyterror

No chance am I watching the Keys match since I'm not planning on live betting. Same way I got all the results since the Svitolina match. Just clicking the favs. tab 3 to 4 hrs after the start time.

Well I sure as penetrate did and bet the fck out of her when it went up to Sabelenka -360. One more brother

**Doug tushyterror** · 01-25-25, 09:02 AM

Originally posted by mjsuax13

We are looking at $100k+ or $1.2 million+ in this thread. Let’s go! Onward.

Originally posted by wombat

Halfway there Dougy. Zverev has an excellent chance. This is his best form in years.

Best of luck!

Originally posted by Conqueror

BOL guy!

Much appreciated fellas!

**2Sweeet** · 01-25-25, 09:33 AM

Bow

**Doug tushyterror** · 01-25-25, 09:36 AM

Originally posted by 2Sweeet

Bow

**Ian** · 01-25-25, 09:36 AM

Wow! GL Dtt. I'll be rooting for you tonight.

**Doug tushyterror** · 01-25-25, 09:41 AM

Originally posted by 2Sweeet

Well I sure as penetrate did and bet the fck out of her when it went up to Sabelenka -360. One more brother

Would be crazy if I hit this AO double for the 3rd straight yr. This is from last yr & I did have Novak/Sabalenka in 2023 parlayed with 5 or 6 NFL playoff games for a 98k payout risking over $1400. I'll try to dig that 1 up from my BMR archives.

**Doug tushyterror** · 01-25-25, 09:42 AM

Originally posted by Ian

Wow! GL Dtt. I'll be rooting for you tonight.

Much appreciated Ian!

**Doug tushyterror** · 01-25-25, 09:44 AM

Originally posted by Optional

Wow, great position you worked that in to!!

I'm happy for you.

Less than a week ago I thought you were on the fast path to ruin.

Thanks Opti..would've continued on that path if not for Keys today. Would've been a 37k loss combined on these.