Chiefs vs Eagles Super Bowl Picks

[SBR Andy]

The stage is set for Super Bowl LIX as the Kansas City Chiefs take on the Philadelphia Eagles. The Chiefs opened a 1.5 point favorite with a total of 49.5.


Game Info:

When: Sunday, February 9th at 6:30 PM ET

Where: Caesars Superdome (New Orleans, LA)

How to Watch: FOX, Fubo (streaming)

Halftime Show: Kendrick Lamar

Anthem: Jon Batiste


Betting Info:

Super Bowl Odds

Super Bowl MVP Odds

Super Bowl Promos

Line History

Matchup Stats

Early Picks

Predictions and Best Bets

Player Prop Picks

Anytime TD Scorer Picks

Super Bowl Trends

Same Game Parlay


Can the Chiefs complete their three-peat or will the Eagles get revenge from their 2023 loss?

[SBR Andy]

Super Bowl early picks from SBR's C Jackson Cowart:

Chiefs -1.5 (-110 Caesars)

"All season long, we've been waiting ... and waiting ... and waiting for that version of the Chiefs to show up - the one that looked invincible over the last two postseasons. And even after 15 wins in the regular season, the wait continued into the AFC Championship.

Then, like clockwork, Patrick Mahomes turned into Robo QB in the biggest game of the season with nary a mistake through the air and two touchdowns on the ground, to boot. And Steve Spagnuolo's defense did enough against the closing NFL MVP odds favorite in Josh Allen to beat the Buffalo Bills and set up this star-studded rematch with the Eagles.

We all know what to expect from Philly, which rushed for 229 yards and seven touchdowns in the NFC Championship. But I have serious doubts about Jalen Hurts' ability to navigate the blitzes coming his way in the Super Bowl - especially at less than full health - and the Eagles' ability to contend with Kansas City's short passing attack.

This should be a compelling game, as seemingly every Chiefs game has been this season. And, like all of those, this one should end with Kansas City doing just enough before the clock hits zeroes to celebrate a third straight Super Bowl victory."


Patrick Mahomes Super Bowl MVP (+110 DraftKings)

"While the Chiefs are on a quest to make history with a third straight Super Bowl victory, Mahomes could also rewrite the record books if he wins the MVP award once again.

Mahomes is the early Super Bowl MVP odds favorite after combining for 288 total yards and three touchdowns - including two on the ground - in the AFC Championship. Now he gets to face an Eagles defense that, while statistically impressive, is willing to cede the type of short-yardage plays that Mahomes thrives on.

He should post the requisite box-score numbers to earn the credit if the Chiefs win a third straight championship, and the potential history that awaits him with another MVP trophy should be enough to break any sort of tie with Travis Kelce or other fan favorites.

With DraftKings offering +110 odds on another Super Bowl MVP for Mahomes, this might even be the best way to bet the Chiefs to win the game if you can tolerate a little extra risk."

[SBR Andy]

Early Super Bowl betting action at BetMGM:

“Early action is on the Chiefs to win the Super Bowl and from a futures perspective the Eagles are the best outcome. The sportsbook will be cheering for the Birds and the under.” – Halvor Egeland, Trading Manager, BetMGM

[SBR Andy]

Chiefs vs Eagles prediction and best bet from SBR's Gary Pearson:

ATS Pick: Chiefs -1.5 (-110 FanDuel)

"In the AFC Championship, the Chiefs turned the ball over for the first time since Week 11, an eight-game streak broken by the Bills, who ironically were the last team to take it away from Mahomes and Co.

These stats put into perspective the tidal wave of momentum the Eagles are up against:

The Bills became the sixth team to score four or more touchdowns, win the turnover battle and lose a playoff game. Teams that satisfy those requirements in the playoffs are now 85-6. In addition, teams with at least four touchdowns and no turnovers are 21-2 in the playoffs, with Buffalo owning the only two setbacks.

The first such scenario occurred against the Chiefs in the 2021 divisional round.

Super Bowl 59 represents the fifth Big Game rematch between coaches. Those who won the first encounter were 4-0. Andy Reid won't care about that stat and maybe it doesn't matter. It certainly doesn't hurt their cause, though.

The Chiefs are quickly becoming one of the most loathed teams around, which I have no doubt will further fuel their burning desire to do what no other team has: win three straight Super Bowls."


Best Bet: Dallas Goedert Over 48.5 receiving yards (-114 FanDuel)

"Goedert hit the Over on this prop in three of four games since returning to the Eagles lineup in Week 17. And he missed it by just two yards against the Green Bay Packers in the wild-card round. Goedert had 85 receiving yards against the Commanders in the NFC Championship and is one of Jalen Hurts' most reliable quick-hit options.

The Chiefs love to blitz and allow the most receiving yards to opposing tight ends (67.16), setting up an even more favorable matchup for the bulky tight end."

[DwightShrute]

Should be a great game. It could go either way and will almost certainly go down to the final minute again.

KC will be the first team ever to win 3 super bowls in a row is my guess.

[SBR Andy]

Chiefs vs Eagles prediction and best bet from SBR's Sean Tomlinson:

ATS Pick: Eagles +1.5 (-110 Caesars)

"There are a handful of slight but meaningful advantages for the Eagles where it could end up mattering most.

The Eagles' secondary is a swarming one that boasts NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year odds contender Quinyon Mitchell. He's a core element to a unit that allowed the fewest passing yards per game during the regular season at 174.2.

Up front the Eagles have also been bringing consistent pressure, including eight sacks over their last two games. Pressure has arrived home often against the Chiefs, as Mahomes was knocked down a league high 70 times during the regular season.

On the other side of the ball, little has been asked of Jalen Hurts as a passer while Barkley dominates. But if needed, and if Barkley sputters even momentarily against a tough run defense, Hurts can pick apart an 18th-ranked Kansas City secondary.

He'll be especially successful if Hurts keeps locking in on tight end Dallas Goedert while exploiting a consistent Chiefs weakness."


Best Bet: Dallas Goedert Over 4.5 receptions (-120 FanDuel)

"Goedert missed extended regular-season time while playing in just 10 games. But there's no lack of rhythm from him during the postseason, with Goedert leading all Eagles pass-catchers while accumulating 188 receiving yards.

The Eagles haven't required much from Hurts and their passing game, with the historically impressive Barkley doing much of the heavy lifting. So it makes sense that a tight end has been featured heavily, with Goedert doing much of his damage after the catch on short-to-intermediate targets while bullying his way forward.

The volume is certainly there to hit this Over as a result. Goedert is tied for the team postseason lead with 18 targets, and he's fresh off an eight-target outing that he turned into seven catches.

Combine that with a Kansas City defense still struggling against tight ends after allowing 106 regular-season catches to the position (tied for second-worst) and 1,191 yards (31st), and there's a clear recipe for success here."

[thezbar]

Looking at the first half under at 24.5 currently -120. As for the side I have no clue.

[Headsterx]

Barkley MVP would be a cool bet.

[DwightShrute]

Barkley MVP would be a cool bet.

its even possible he could win the MVP and the Chiefs win the game.

[JIBBBY]

Hard to bet against the Chiefs. That's all I got to say about that.

Philly D is tough though and force turn overs but Chiefs all year long have found a way to win in close games. KC ML bet for me.

[DJK]

Hard to bet against the Chiefs. That's all I got to say about that.

Philly D is tough though and force turn overs but Chiefs all year long have found a way to win in close games. KC ML bet for me.

Guess who said he's betting 10K ML on the Chiefs?

Guess who else likes the Chiefs to win?

Those two tell me to take the Eagles, but I'm going to wait and see where the bet percentages fall and then decide at the last minute.

[JIBBBY]

Guess who said he's betting 10K ML on the Chiefs?

Guess who else likes the Chiefs to win?

Those two tell me to take the Eagles, but I'm going to wait and see where the bet percentages fall and then decide at the last minute.

QB play favors KC especially in big games. Coaching as well. Simple betting logic!

[DwightShrute]

QB: KC
WR's: Push
RB: Philly
TE: KC
K: KC
Defence: Push/Philly
Head Coach: KC
Special Teams: KC
Home Field: Push

KC 30 Philly 28

[DJK]

QB play favors KC especially in big games. Coaching as well. Simple betting logic!

If the Eagles had a lousy secondary, then yes.

Do you think Mahomes is better than Burrow?

Burrow lost 37-17 vs the Eagles.

The Eagles also won in KC last year and this year's Defense is a whole lot better plus now they have Saquon.

I have no clue who's going to win this year's SB, but I think the Eagles have a decent shot at winning SU and I'm going to stick with it.

[SBR Andy]

Chiefs vs Eagles prediction and best bet from SBR's Andrew Reid:

ATS Pick: Eagles +1.5 (-105 BetMGM)

"It's time for payback. The Eagles will come out on top in a tightly contested affair during Super Bowl 59 because of Saquon Barkley.

Both squads boast impressive defenses and offenses that can score in a variety of ways. But Barkley is the best player in this year's Super Bowl. He's the X-factor, and the reason the underdog at our best Super Bowl betting sites will get the job done and avenge their loss from two years ago.

It's not just Barkley who will lead the Eagles to victory, as they hold an edge in a few areas.

Philadelphia boasts a sizeable edge defensively. The Eagles field the league's best defense, according to PFF, with the NFL's second-most efficient pass rush and top secondary making the unit menacing. They trot out an incredible run defense, ranking second.

Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes, the Super Bowl MVP odds favorite, gets a tough assignment. We've seen him pull off the improbable before, but it's been a bit of a down year for him. Mahomes finished with the fewest TDs of his career (tied with 2019), failed to eclipse the 4,000 passing yards mark for the first time, posted his fewest rushing yards in the last five years, and took his most career sacks.

In a season when we've heard more about how the defense helped keep Kansas City in tight games, the Chiefs are up against a team with a notably better defense. That will be the difference."


Best Bet: Saquon Barkley 2+ TDs (+300 BetMGM)

"We mentioned that Barkley will be a significant factor, so let's look for him to find the end zone two-plus times when it matters most. Barkley has scored multiple touchdowns in eight of his 19 appearances this season (42%). He's done it in five of his last 10 games, too.

Kansas City did an admirable job last week of keeping Buffalo Bills QB Josh Allen in check and holding him out of the end zone, so perhaps the Eagles will look to avoid falling into the same trap with signal-caller Jalen Hurts. That might lead to Barkley getting extra looks toward the goal line, and he's already tallied five rushing touchdowns over three postseason games.

We're seeing this line as low at +230 (implied win probability of 30.30%) at bet365, so let's take advantage of the extra value while making this wager at BetMGM."

[JIBBBY]

If the Eagles had a lousy secondary, then yes.

Do you think Mahomes is better than Burrow?

Burrow lost 37-17 vs the Eagles.

The Eagles also won in KC last year and this year's Defense is a whole lot better plus now they have Saquon.

I have no clue who's going to win this year's SB, but I think the Eagles have a decent shot at winning SU and I'm going to stick with it.

Eagles D is tough (#1 rated defense in the league this year) and defenses do win championships. It's just hard to bet against KC as they always find a way to win in close games this season. If I wasn't a gambling junkie I'd pass on this thing, I can't lie.. Still going with KC just based on experience in big games.

Chiefs D isn't too shabby either. Rankings.. https://www.foxsports.com/articles/n...and-rush-stats

[DwightShrute]

Eagles D is tough (#1 rated defense in the league this year) and defenses do win championships. It's just hard to bet against KC as they always find a way to win in close games this season. If I wasn't a gambling junkie I'd pass on this thing, I can't lie.. Still going with KC just based on experience in big games.

Chiefs D isn't too shabby either. Rankings.. https://www.foxsports.com/articles/n...and-rush-stats

I disagree with the saying that defense wins championships; the best team does. Both teams have strong defenses, and Chris Jones might be the top defensive player in the NFL.

It'll be interesting to see if officiating becomes a major issue again after the game.

[DJK]

I disagree with the saying that defense wins championships; the best team does. Both teams have strong defenses, and Chris Jones might be the top defensive player in the NFL.

It'll be interesting to see if officiating becomes a major issue again after the game.

Could not agree more with that statement.

So, who is the best team between the two?

It sounds like KC to you and you could be right and if so then I could be in trouble betting the Eagles.

[DwightShrute]

Could not agree more with that statement.

So, who is the best team between the two?

It sounds like KC to you and you could be right and if so then I could be in trouble betting the Eagles.

I think they are pretty even. I doubt you feel differently. I am anticipating a close game going down to the final couple minutes where either teams call pull out a victory. KC just seems to find a way to win these games all season long. Will their luck finally run out?

Having Hollywood Brown for the playoffs after missing the entire regular season and trading for Deandre Hopkins was a nice addition, he is clutch. Having them both in the lineup has given Worthy lots more open space. They have the weapons now more than they have had all season. That's why I am leaning KC.

[DJK]

I think they are pretty even. I doubt you feel differently. I am anticipating a close game going down to the final couple minutes where either teams call pull out a victory. KC just seems to find a way to win these games all season long. Will their luck finally run out?

Having Hollywood Brown for the playoffs after missing the entire regular season and trading for Deandre Hopkins was a nice addition, he is clutch. Having them both in the lineup has given Worthy lots more open space. They have the weapons now more than they have had all season. That's why I am leaning KC.

Didn't know about Hollywood Brown's playing time, so thanks for pointing that out.

I may have to go with my 2nd option, which was to take the alternate spread of Eagles +3.5-175 at BetMGM or maybe even +4.5-200.

[DwightShrute]

Didn't know about Hollywood Brown's playing time, so thanks for pointing that out.

I may have to go with my 2nd option, which was to take the alternate spread of Eagles +3.5-175 at BetMGM or maybe even +4.5-200.

it could be one of those games where live betting is the best way to go. Good luck.

[DJK]

So, SBR's predictions are 50/50 on the sides?

That doesn't help much to make a decision.

Andy, you have been winning haven't you? Ones I've seen of your picks were winners, but I think you bet mostly props which I never do.

What would you bet if you had to bet a side? Maybe I bet that and see what happens.

[DJK]

Thanks for the suggestion, but I'm not a fan of live betting as every time I pick what's offered, shit changes instantly and it makes me rethink if I'm making the right decision. I just don't have the mindset to bet live. My dad would have been great as he is very decisive, but now he is too old at 91 to be doing that. He told me he likes the Chiefs and he wanted me to bet 1K on KC for him, but I like the Eagles so I told him we should wait and see. We could still end up betting KC; I just don't know what to do yet.

I will be staying at the Hard Rock casino in Atlant City on the Super Bowl Sunday, but their sportsbook has the worst odds and juice. Every Sunday to Friday, I've stayed in this casino for the past 3 months and being here ended up costing me a lot of winnings (literally tens thousands) I would've had if I just bet what I wanted to bet instead of passing because I didn't like their odds or the higher juice that they had. In hindsight, this sportsbook was probably discouraging people to bet the sides with the higher juice since they were probably the right sides to win. They certainly made me not bet them because I didn't want to pay the higher juice at -120 or higher when the other books had mostly -110. For example, I wanted to bet 5K on the Bills 1st half vs the Ravens, but when I went to bet it, the odd was Bills +0.5-120. I just didn't like laying -120 so I passed and sure enough that bet won.

I could go to the Resorts casino where they have DraftKings who has the best odds of all sportsbooks in AC, but because I wait until the last second on my laptop reading up on the latest before making my bets, I just don't have the time to walk over to Resorts even though it's only like 10 minute walk.

I may have to stay in the DraftKings sportsbook during the Super Bowl and try to bet live there, but I know it's going to be crazy busy and I may end up standing the whole time to watch the game and if the bet cage line is too long then I may not be able to make my bet even though they have a lot of bet kiosks which sucks when betting big.

I won enough for the season, so my wife told me don't bet it if I'm not sure and she may be right since if I end up losing then I will most likely venture into betting basketball where I just don't win.

[SBR Andy]

Chiefs vs Eagles prediction and best bet from SBR's Gabe Henderson:

ATS Pick: Chiefs -1.5 (-110 DraftKings)

"Many - myself included - implemented a new betting policy following Super Bowl 57: Don't bet against Patrick Mahomes. The Kansas City quarterback has already inserted himself into the GOAT conversation while leading his team to the brink of a three-peat.

There are plenty of telling stats reminding bettors why they should back the Chiefs in this spot, but the most significant relates to the coaching advantage.

Andy Reid isn't going to pass up on another opportunity to beat the franchise that fired him over a decade ago. I'm rolling with Kansas City until Mahomes and Big Red give me a reason to believe otherwise.

Philadelphia has logged the league's most wins against the spread with 13. The Eagles have been phenomenal this campaign while covering at a 65% rate, compared to Kansas City at 47.4%. However, we're rolling with the Chiefs because Mahomes is a different beast during the playoffs.

The three-time Super Bowl MVP odds winner has been on a Chiefs team that's closed as a favorite of under a field goal eight times during his illustrious postseason career. "How many times has he covered?" you may be asking yourself. Eight. Mahomes is a flawless 8-0 under those circumstances, according to Ben Fawkes, both ATS and straight up.

Kansas City has covered in both of its postseason games this year. There's no point in jumping off the profit train now."


Best Bet: Kareem Hunt Anytime TD (+135 FanDuel)

"As long as sportsbooks offer Hunt at plus money as an anytime touchdown scorer, I'll continue to take a flier.

The 29-year-old has been enjoying a late-career resurgence of sorts while back with the team that drafted him in 2017. He stepped up to play a major role during Isiah Pacheco's absence, and Hunt has continued to thrive with the latter struggling to return to pre-injury form.

Hunt has logged eight-plus carries in five straight outings, including a whopping 17 against Buffalo during the AFC Championship Game. The bruising back has rewarded Reid for placing faith in him while scoring in four consecutive outings.

I like Hunt's chances of finding the end zone in the Super Bowl as he continues his role as a red-zone workhorse."

[SBR Andy]

Chiefs vs Eagles prediction and best bet from SBR's Andrew Brennan:

ATS Picks: Chiefs -1.5 (-110 FanDuel)

"I know the Avengers had the last laugh - and maybe someday we will, too - but much like Thanos, the Chiefs are inevitable.

You can't convince me to bet against them until I see a team that's built to stop them, and that just simply doesn't exist here in the year 2025.

The coaching staff is elite, there's talent on both sides of the ball, and, of course, there's Patrick Mahomes. They're the Super Bowl odds favorites for a reason.

If you're backing the Chiefs to win this game, you should certainly bet them to cover the spread rather than on the moneyline.

The best odds you can get for Kansas City to win outright are -124, while you're getting a much better price for the Chiefs to win by two or more points.

Could they win by just one point? Sure, but you're getting an entire extra dollar on a $10 wager to take that gamble. You'll get $9.09 in profit if you back the Chiefs to cover the spread and they come through, while you'll win only a little more than $8 by taking them on the moneyline.

That makes this decision an easy one for me unless our best Super Bowl betting sites move this number further in Kansas City's favor, and I can't see that happening."


Best Bet: Jalen Hurts Anytime TD (-105 BetMGM)

"The only thing that's more of a guarantee than the Chiefs winning the Super Bowl is that one of Hurts' running backs or receivers will be tackled at the 1-yard line, and instead of any of them getting a second crack at finding the end zone, the quarterback will smash it in himself with a little help from his friends to cash this Super Bowl anytime touchdown scorer bet.

Another interesting angle is that the Chiefs managed to stop nearly every single Josh Allen tush push in the AFC title game. I'm sure Hurts and the Eagles would love to remind NFL fans who, exactly, are the masters of yeeting their quarterback over the line.

Hurts' TD projection is the highest of any player in the Super Bowl, and yet these -105 odds are still relatively fair after he scored three times against the Washington Commanders. I'm smashing this one."

[EddieMusher]

Chiefs win 24-23, screwing Eagles moneyline bettors and Chiefs spread bettors.

I'm waiting closer to kickoff and bet the under.

[EddieMusher]

Also teasing the Eagles and the under.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Chiefs win 24-23, screwing Eagles moneyline bettors and Chiefs spread bettors.

I'm waiting closer to kickoff and bet the under.

That actually could happen. The 1-pt win would be good for drama...and the never-ending "Chiefs: Days of Our Lives" story.

[SBR Andy]

Two more best bets from SBR's Gary Pearson:

Travis Kelce Over 60.5 receiving yards (-110 FanDuel)

"Kelce struggled in both games against the Buffalo Bills this season, including in the AFC Championship. I don't see the same thing recurring in New Orleans against a V͏ic Fa͏ngio defense, which prioritizes preventing longer-range, explosive passing plays. Mahomes should be able to find Kelce on shorter and quicker routes more frequently.

In the NFC Championship, Washington Commanders tight end Zach Ertz carved the Eagles up for 104 yards on 11 receptions. Kelce's 19-yard output against the Bills was the first time he had less than 71 receiving yards in the last 15 playoff games. Kelce amassed at least 81 receiving yards in his last three Super Bowl appearances. This should be a relatively easy total for Kelce to eclipse."


Patrick Mahomes Over 29.5 rushing yards (-110 FanDuel)

"In three of his four Super Bowl appearances, Mahomes hit the Over on this prop. The only exception came against the 49ers at Super Bowl 54, where he fell just one yard short of eclipsing the total.

He also rushed for at least 43 yards in two of his last three playoff games.

While Mahomes has looked to escape the pocket more sparingly in the last three playoff runs, Mahomes is more trigger-happy on pushing the envelope in the Big Game, and I expect the same against Vic Fangio's defense on Sunday in this Chiefs vs. Eagles rematch."

[SBR Andy]

Updated betting insights from BetMGM after one week of action:

Most bet (ticket) player props
1. Dallas Goedert over 52.5 receiving yards (-115)
2. Xavier Worthy over 5.5 rushing yards (-135)
3. Saquon Barkley over 111.5 rushing yards (-115)
4. Patrick Mahomes over 5.5 rushing attempts (-140)
5. Dallas Goedert over 4.5 receptions (-135)

Most bet (tickets) players to score anytime touchdown
1. Jalen Hurts -105
2. Saquon Barkley -200
3. Patrick Mahomes +400
4. Travis Kelce +125
5. Dallas Goedert +333

[ChuckyTheGoat]

The bettors love the Goedert Over props.
...Chefs have proven to be vulnerable against good TEs.

[SBR Andy]

Chiefs vs Eagles player prop picks from SBR's Mike Spector:

Devontae Smith Over 50.5 receiving yards (-111 DraftKings)

"Smith has lined up in the slot on more than half of his snaps over the last seven games. That bodes well for more targets coming his way, as A.J. Brown will likely face shadow coverage from Kansas City’s best cornerback, Trent McDuffie.

The Chiefs allow the second-most yards and rank in the bottom eight in yards per target to slot receivers. Conversely, they have allowed the fewest receptions overall to perimeter receivers.

Smith has only gone Over this projected total once in three playoff games. But he has caught all 12 of his targets through the first three rounds and ended the regular season with 51-plus receiving yards in three consecutive games.

This line has come up slightly from an opening number of 48.5, but there is still value in this Over at DraftKings."


Kareem Hunt Anytime TD (+140 FanDuel)

"Perhaps Andy Reid and the Kansas City coaching staff knew to take advantage of a forgiving Bills run defense, as Kareem Hunt’s 17 carries in the AFC Championship were his most in the last 10 games. Even with 11 or fewer carries in each of his prior three games, Hunt has found the endzone in four consecutive outings.

Hunt has scored eight total touchdowns in six career playoff games, with at least one score in all six.

That makes his +140 anytime touchdown odds at FanDuel extremely appealing, and they are a great value compared to the +120 odds (carrying a 45.45% implied probability) offered at other sportsbooks."


Xavier Worthy longest receptions Under 20.5 yards (-110 BetMGM)

"This is a great sell-high spot on Xavier Worthy, who is coming off a season-high 85 receiving yards in what was a revenge game of sorts against Buffalo.

Worthy has at least one 21-yard reception in both playoff games but went over this projected total in just four of 17 regular season games. It will be difficult for him to break off a big catch against an Eagles defense that was the only team to allow catches of 20-plus yards on fewer than 8% of wide receiver targets in the regular season.

The Under is juiced as high as -125 at FanDuel, so BetMGM offers the best returns."

[SBR Andy]

Another best bet from SBR's Gabe Henderson:

DeAndre Hopkins Over 1.5 receptions (+130 Caesars)

"Hopkins has mysteriously gone missing this postseason. Patrick Mahomes has targeted him just three times, and he's hauled in one catch for 11 yards. That's resulted in sportsbooks heavily juicing the Under on his player props.

This is the perfect opportunity to back the wideout, who tallied two-plus receptions in all 10 regular-season games he played with Kansas City. While Hopkins isn't the elite receiver he was not long ago, his pass-catching prowess, experience, and strength will come in handy against a young Philadelphia secondary.

This is Hopkins' first Super Bowl appearance, too, so we don't expect him to be content watching from the sideline."

[DJK]

I would think DraftKings uses AI to determine what Cash Out to offer.

I make test bets to see what Cash Out offers I get to see what AI think are the winners. Higher the Cash Out percentage amounts they offer the better and more likely chances that they will win. If it's low (<70%), then those have been pretty much losses. At least that's what I've seen betting this football season.

As soon as the bets are made, I would normally get 90% of the wagered amounts as the Cash Outs.

I made 4 test bets; 1) Eagles ML +110, 2) Eagles ATS +1.5 -110, 3) Chiefs ML -130, 4) Chiefs ATS -1.5 -110.

After they were all at 90%, the Cash Out percentages offered have changed as follows.

1) Eagles ML +110 100%
2) Eagles +1.5 -110 95%
3) Chiefs ML -130 90%
4) Chiefs -1.5 -110 90%

Even AI thinks the Eagles are going to either win or at least cover ATS.

It will be interesting to see where they fall near the game time but if the Eagles Cash Outs drop low, then I will have to bet the other way. This is my new scientific and mathematical way of betting.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Mentioned on here that the Public splits scrambled my brain in 2024.
...Looks like the Eagles will be a Public Dog on SB Sunday.
...Surely there will be SOME hardcore Chief bettors. But man, the value looks to be on the Eagles IMHO.