4 Nations Face-Off Picks and Predictions

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  • Headsterx
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 12-03-16
    • 22382

    #71
    Originally posted by SBR Andy
    Updated MVP odds going into the final, via FanDuel:

    Player Odds
    Connor Hellebuyck +260
    Connor McDavid +280
    Sidney Crosby +600
    Nathan MacKinnon +650
    Jake Guentzel +750
    Brady Tkachuk +1500
    Matthew Tkachuk +1800
    Jack Eichel +4000
    Zach Werenski +4500
    After tomorrow shutout you gotta give it to… Hellebuyck

    USA! USA! USA!
    Comment
    • SBR Andy
      Administrator
      • 02-09-22
      • 3047

      #72
      Canada vs USA player prop picks from SBR's Gary Pearson:

      Best player prop bet: Sidney Crosby 1+ points (-135)

      "Crosby has five points in three 4 Nations Face-Off contests, tied with the USA's Zach Werenski for the most. Captain Canada exploded against the Swedes, notching three assists in the opener. He had another multi-point outing against the Finns, registering a goal and an assist.

      Crosby's only scoreless contest came against the Americans. While space will be as hard to come by as tickets for the final, Crosby's big-game Spidey senses will come to the fore. Four of his five points are helpers, and he's playing alongside MacKinnon, one of the world's best goal-scorers."


      Best bet to score 1st goal: Nathan MacKinnon (+1200)

      "MacKinnon to score at any time is much more palatable +200. However, committing to a risk-forward approach might earn a $120 profit on a $10 bet. That's predicated on MacKinnon lighting the lamp first.

      MacKinnon has three goals, tied for the most with Jake Guentzel and Mikael Granlund. Two of those came against Finland in the final round-robin game. MacKinnon, one of the Hart Trophy odds front-runners, scored two goals against Connor Hellebuyck in five games during the first round of last season's NHL playoffs."


      Best value bet for CAN: Connor McDavid 1+ assist (-105)

      "When you can get McDavid at almost even money to notch an apple, I recommend getting involved. While it won't be easy against one of the world's best defenses, Charlie McAvoy's absence might make it marginally more straightforward to create space.

      He doesn't need much space anyway, as McDavid is one of the best at creating something out of nothing. McDavid has two assists and two goals in three games. He scored the opener against Team USA in the round-robin, and I expect him to get on the scoresheet again."


      Best value bet for USA: Zach Werenski 1+ assist (-105)

      "Werenski leads the tournament in assists with five. He has exceptional timing, knowing when to jump in and help the trio up front. And he's always on the lookout for a deft and intelligent cross-seam pass.

      Werenski is lethal from the point in all situations, including on the power play. Two of his five helpers came with the man advantage, and that might be where Werenski does damage in the final."


      MVP prediction: Nathan MacKinnon (+800)

      "MacKinnon offers the best value at our best sportsbooks among the MVP contenders. While I picked McDavid in our 4 Nations Face-Off MVP odds analysis, MacKinnon's +800 price is irresistible.

      Plus, there is a perception that he's been better defensively. He's posted a +4 rating thus far, tied for the best plus/minus with Sweden's Joel Eriksson Ek."
      Comment
      • k13
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 07-16-10
        • 18052

        #73
        Bet365 has a super boost on Canada so they are probably going to lose.
        Comment
        • SBR Andy
          Administrator
          • 02-09-22
          • 3047

          #74
          Originally posted by k13
          Bet365 has a super boost on Canada so they are probably going to lose.
          Yes if you are in Canada you can get Canada to win boosted to +150 at bet365.

          If you are in the USA, you can get USA to win boosted to +150 at bet365.
          Comment
          • MOBIL19
            SBR MVP
            • 07-31-20
            • 1011

            #75
            Originally posted by SBR Andy
            Yes if you are in Canada you can get Canada to win boosted to +150 at bet365.

            If you are in the USA, you can get USA to win boosted to +150 at bet365.
            Yes, for $10
            Comment
            • Headsterx
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 12-03-16
              • 22382

              #76
              Chants of USA! USA! USA! pouring down on the arena!
              Comment
              • SEKTAUR
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 09-04-11
                • 802

                #77
                McKinnon first goal! LFG!
                Comment
                • lakerboy
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 04-02-09
                  • 94362

                  #78
                  Originally posted by lakerboy
                  USA wins then Canada wins final. USA will peak fast
                  Thanks

                  Oh and thank you Mcdavid.
                  Comment
                  • Mike Huntertz
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 08-19-09
                    • 11203

                    #79
                    I took Canada also because it's so hard to beat a team twice in a short run, when both are even.
                    Nice call!
                    Great game, either team could have had this....proverbaly coin toss!
                    Comment
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