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  • ChuckyTheGoat
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 04-04-11
    • 36656

    #36
    Originally posted by stevenash

    My wife is younger than Chris Dailey, she's easy on the eyes as well.
    The women's tourney is all chalk and will be an all chalk final four.
    This is the fun part, the final four will be packed with powerhouses and it'll be wide-open.
    Good call, Nash. Huskies cover comfortably.

    Note what I said about the WNCAA big-favs this year. Maybe more NIL $$? The GAP from top-teams to mid-level teams is huge this year.
    Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
    Comment
    • ChuckyTheGoat
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 04-04-11
      • 36656

      #37


      Plays for Round 3. Purely situational:

      2* Arizona +9 1.91: 2 to win 1.82. I like Ariz coming thru the tricky spot. They go to the Pac NW and beat Altman's Ducks.

      ...First two games were tailor-made for Duke. Short bus-ride to Raleigh. Duke played L8 gms in state of North Carolina and now travel.

      ...Dukies are so easy to back right now. I'll be looking to the Dog on the other side.




      1* Purdue +8.5 1.82: 1 to win .82. Home State dog. Painter has come up short so often in the NCAAs, chance to hang tight.
      Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
      Comment
      • johnnyvegas13
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 05-21-15
        • 27777

        #38
        Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat

        Plays for Round 3. Purely situational:

        2* Arizona +9 1.91: 2 to win 1.82. I like Ariz coming thru the tricky spot. They go to the Pac NW and beat Altman's Ducks.

        ...First two games were tailor-made for Duke. Short bus-ride to Raleigh. Duke played L8 gms in state of North Carolina and now travel.

        ...Dukies are so easy to back right now. I'll be looking to the Dog on the other side.




        1* Purdue +8.5 1.82: 1 to win .82. Home State dog. Painter has come up short so often in the NCAAs, chance to hang tight.
        Chuck I don’t think I would look to fade duke

        like the Purdue play ur getting nice amount of points
        Comment
        • ChuckyTheGoat
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 04-04-11
          • 36656

          #39
          Originally posted by johnnyvegas13

          Chuck I don’t think I would look to fade duke

          like the Purdue play ur getting nice amount of points
          Thx, John. We'll see. Just feel like they've become awfully pricy.
          Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
          Comment
          • ChuckyTheGoat
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 04-04-11
            • 36656

            #40
            Originally posted by johnnyvegas13

            Chuck I don’t think I would look to fade duke

            like the Purdue play ur getting nice amount of points
            Johnny, I forgot my OTHER angle. It's something we talked about:
            *I'm NOT a Cooper Flagg fan. I'm not carrying the Flagg.

            ...The talent is there. I'm not questioning that.
            ...It goes back to the Messiah principle. The American media would love to christen this guy as the next Larry Bird.
            ...Can only get by on talent for so long. Not sure that I see the creativity and shot-making ability.
            Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
            Comment
            • SBR Andy
              Administrator
              • 02-09-22
              • 3069

              #41
              Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat

              Plays for Round 3. Purely situational:

              2* Arizona +9 1.91: 2 to win 1.82. I like Ariz coming thru the tricky spot. They go to the Pac NW and beat Altman's Ducks.

              ...First two games were tailor-made for Duke. Short bus-ride to Raleigh. Duke played L8 gms in state of North Carolina and now travel.

              ...Dukies are so easy to back right now. I'll be looking to the Dog on the other side.




              1* Purdue +8.5 1.82: 1 to win .82. Home State dog. Painter has come up short so often in the NCAAs, chance to hang tight.
              Agree that Zona should be able to keep it under double digits against Duke.

              The points with Purdue is tempting but what worries me is they had 2 cupcakes in the first 2 rounds. Houston owned a good Gonzaga team until the last 3 minutes of that game. Maybe another backdoor cover is open.

              GL
              Comment
              • ChuckyTheGoat
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 04-04-11
                • 36656

                #42
                Originally posted by SBR Andy

                Agree that Zona should be able to keep it under double digits against Duke.

                The points with Purdue is tempting but what worries me is they had 2 cupcakes in the first 2 rounds. Houston owned a good Gonzaga team until the last 3 minutes of that game. Maybe another backdoor cover is open.

                GL
                Andy, you are correct. HOU is good.

                Honestly, these lines are never too far off. We're talking a fair line +/- 2 points.
                Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                Comment
                • Mac4Lyfe
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 01-04-09
                  • 48311

                  #43
                  I had Zona and Purdue with upset wins on my bracket. Now that I’ve seen the games, I don’t see it happening. Houston is most vulnerable if they go into a shooting slump. I think Duke bullies Zona.
                  Comment
                  • ChuckyTheGoat
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 04-04-11
                    • 36656

                    #44
                    Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat

                    Plays for Round 3. Purely situational:

                    2* Arizona +9 1.91: 2 to win 1.82. I like Ariz coming thru the tricky spot. They go to the Pac NW and beat Altman's Ducks.

                    ...First two games were tailor-made for Duke. Short bus-ride to Raleigh. Duke played L8 gms in state of North Carolina and now travel.

                    ...Dukies are so easy to back right now. I'll be looking to the Dog on the other side.




                    1* Purdue +8.5 1.82: 1 to win .82. Home State dog. Painter has come up short so often in the NCAAs, chance to hang tight.
                    Adding one unit to each. Purely based on catching better #s:
                    *Ariz +9.5 1.91: 1 to win .91
                    *Pur +8 1.96: 1 to win .96. Coogs may really feel like an outsider in this region (being so far from home).
                    Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                    Comment
                    • ChuckyTheGoat
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 04-04-11
                      • 36656

                      #45
                      2* Alab +6.5 1.91: 2 to win 1.82
                      ...Similar Anti-Duke theme. Going against them again.
                      ...As good as they are, the Dukies are very pricy.
                      ...Used to be that an SEC Non-conf Dog was worth a look in Football. Same thing now in Bask.
                      ...SEC SOS is so tough. ACC not what it used to be.
                      ...I like the Tide pedigree. Taking the points. Like the matchup better than Ariz, who had some weaknesses.
                      Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                      Comment
                      • spiromoney23
                        SBR Hustler
                        • 02-05-25
                        • 81

                        #46
                        I know every game went over but...Historically unders hit at a pretty good rate during this second batch of games. Do you like any totals in the remaining (FRI-SUN) games?

                        Comment
                        • ChuckyTheGoat
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 04-04-11
                          • 36656

                          #47
                          Originally posted by spiromoney23
                          I know every game went over but...Historically unders hit at a pretty good rate during this second batch of games. Do you like any totals in the remaining (FRI-SUN) games?
                          Hi, spiro. I'm not much of a Totals bettor on these games. Some of the other Forum guys would have a better opinion on that.

                          Historically, there's an Old-School theory on Unders in big-games. Theory says: Bigger the game, tighter the players against good defenses.
                          Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                          Comment
                          • ChuckyTheGoat
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 04-04-11
                            • 36656

                            #48
                            To your point, however, Alab and Duke each got to 100+ last game. 174 is a high total for a Regional final.

                            Duke, in particular, figures to struggle more against Alabama's bigs. And Duke is a very tall team, so more arms for Alab to shoot over.
                            Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                            Comment
                            • spiromoney23
                              SBR Hustler
                              • 02-05-25
                              • 81

                              #49
                              Took Pedulla, a brother of 8, and his Rebels to advance

                              Comment
                              • ChuckyTheGoat
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 04-04-11
                                • 36656

                                #50
                                Originally posted by spiromoney23
                                Took Pedulla, a brother of 8, and his Rebels to advance

                                Makes sense. Off to a good start.
                                Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                Comment
                                • ChuckyTheGoat
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 04-04-11
                                  • 36656

                                  #51
                                  Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat

                                  Adding one unit to each. Purely based on catching better #s:
                                  *Ariz +9.5 1.91: 1 to win .91
                                  *Pur +8 1.96: 1 to win .96. Coogs may really feel like an outsider in this region (being so far from home).
                                  Two more winners. PUR played their balls off. Day: +4.51. YTD: +11.56.
                                  Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                  Comment
                                  • spiromoney23
                                    SBR Hustler
                                    • 02-05-25
                                    • 81

                                    #52
                                    Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat

                                    Makes sense. Off to a good start.
                                    We finished last. Crazy game start to finish
                                    Comment
                                    • ChuckyTheGoat
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 04-04-11
                                      • 36656

                                      #53
                                      1* Alab/Duke - UNDER 174.5 1.93: 1 to win .93
                                      ...I'm going to use Spiro's Under angle for Regional finals.
                                      ...I back-checked it. It is indeed a very good ATS angle over the L4 years.
                                      ...Each team scored 100+ last game. So, easy for people to bet Over.
                                      ...Lots of long bodies to shoot Over. Every one of Duke's rotation players is 6'5" or taller.
                                      ...And the line pumped up one point. I think we're catching a value #.
                                      Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                      Comment
                                      • ChuckyTheGoat
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 04-04-11
                                        • 36656

                                        #54
                                        (1-2) Tide is rolled. But stays Under. Assist to Spiro on the Total info.
                                        Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                        Comment
                                        • ChuckyTheGoat
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 04-04-11
                                          • 36656

                                          #55
                                          Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat

                                          Two more winners. PUR played their balls off. Day: +4.51. YTD: +11.56.
                                          Day: (1-2) -1.03/3
                                          YTD: (15-3) +10.53/18
                                          Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                          Comment
                                          • spiromoney23
                                            SBR Hustler
                                            • 02-05-25
                                            • 81

                                            #56
                                            Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                                            (1-2) Tide is rolled. But stays Under. Assist to Spiro on the Total info.
                                            The first game total got bet up 124>126 and looks like it may not get to 100. Too bad the late game already got bet down 150>147
                                            Comment
                                            • ChuckyTheGoat
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 04-04-11
                                              • 36656

                                              #57
                                              Originally posted by spiromoney23

                                              The first game total got bet up 124>126 and looks like it may not get to 100. Too bad the late game already got bet down 150>147
                                              Your info was good. It's a nice angle.
                                              Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                              Comment
                                              • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 04-04-11
                                                • 36656

                                                #58
                                                Playing both Dogs in the Final Four. At risk of getting jammed up, I think this Favorite trend is outrageous:

                                                3* Auburn +2.5 1.91: 3 to win 2.73
                                                3* Houston +5 1.91: 3 to win 2.73
                                                Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                Comment
                                                • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 04-04-11
                                                  • 36656

                                                  #59
                                                  Will see if Drexler and Olajuwon are in attendance. Maybe they can suit up.
                                                  Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • johnnyvegas13
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 05-21-15
                                                    • 27777

                                                    #60
                                                    Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                                                    Playing both Dogs in the Final Four. At risk of getting jammed up, I think this Favorite trend is outrageous:

                                                    3* Auburn +2.5 1.91: 3 to win 2.73
                                                    3* Houston +5 1.91: 3 to win 2.73
                                                    Chuck I do think Auburn wins outright

                                                    if ur gonna add to either of these add to that one
                                                    Comment
                                                    • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 04-04-11
                                                      • 36656

                                                      #61
                                                      Originally posted by johnnyvegas13

                                                      Chuck I do think Auburn wins outright

                                                      if ur gonna add to either of these add to that one
                                                      Johnny, you ever see the movie Dog Day Afternoon? I think it's DDA on Saturday.

                                                      *Bo Jackson runs crazy for Auburn.
                                                      *Benny Anders spikes down a dunk on Flagg. Exclamation point.
                                                      Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 04-04-11
                                                        • 36656

                                                        #62
                                                        One other justification on these plays. I rate AUB and HOU as better defensive teams than their counter-parts.
                                                        ...AUB & HOU have > 1.00 TO/Ast Def ratios.
                                                        ...You don't get into your offense easily against these teams.
                                                        Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 04-04-11
                                                          • 36656

                                                          #63
                                                          Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                                                          Playing both Dogs in the Final Four. At risk of getting jammed up, I think this Favorite trend is outrageous:

                                                          3* Auburn +2.5 1.91: 3 to win 2.73
                                                          3* Houston +5 1.91: 3 to win 2.73
                                                          Day: (3-3) -0.27/6
                                                          YTD: (18-6) +10.26/24
                                                          Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                          Comment
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