Why the JETS will beat New England

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  • DwightShrute
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-17-09
    • 102302

    #1
    Why the JETS will beat New England
    +320

    • Better RB combo of Tomlinson and Greene

    If the Jets can do what they did in Indy and keep the ball away from Brady with long sustained drives, they can win this one.

    They have a healthy Rivas and the team is playing well.

    the KEY to victory: Getting pressure on Brady. If they can, he can be beat but give him all day (like most QB's) and he can pick apart the defense.


    24-21 NYJ
  • OmgUrMom
    Restricted User
    • 02-07-10
    • 8481

    #2
    huh? jets didn't really do that much on offense especially in the first half. If the colts offense had played well in the first half the game would of been a blowout probably.
    Comment
    • sjm5122
      SBR MVP
      • 09-22-08
      • 4213

      #3
      Agree, I will be on the Jets also. One thing that stands out to me is how much lower this ML is than the seahawks game, very similar spread, but Seahawks/Bears is -500/+423 and Jets/Pats is -400/+345. Leaving it that low seems like the books are begging you to take the Pats. Especially when the general public opinion is that the Pats are unstoppable and the Seahawks have a better chance of pulling the upset.
      Comment
      • MrExacta
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 09-16-07
        • 662

        #4
        Jets fan here, just happy they made it into the 2nd round, not expecting them to win the game and will never put money on them.

        Good luck to you taking the Jets ML.

        MrExacta -`
        Comment
        • rsnnh12
          SBR MVP
          • 09-26-10
          • 3487

          #5
          Actually, the Pats have the better RB combo (Benjarvus and Woodhead).

          Tomlinson- 4.2 YPC
          Greene- 4.1 YPC
          Combined- 4.16, 8 TDs
          VS.
          BJGE- 4.4 YPC
          Woodhead- 5.6 YPC
          Combined- 4.77 YPC, 18 TDs
          Comment
          • DwightShrute
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 01-17-09
            • 102302

            #6
            I would rather have Tomlinson and Greene
            Comment
            • D3 Mighty Ducks
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 12-17-09
              • 11939

              #7
              Originally posted by DwightShrute
              I would rather have Tomlinson and Greene
              I'd rather have Brady then Sanchez. Can't see the Jets winning in Foxborough.
              Comment
              • boscokid
                SBR MVP
                • 04-03-10
                • 1496

                #8
                Originally posted by DwightShrute
                +320
                • Better RB combo of Tomlinson and Greene

                If the Jets can do what they did in Indy and keep the ball away from Brady with long sustained drives, they can win this one. They have a healthy Rivas and the team is playing well. the KEY to victory: Getting pressure on Brady. If they can, he can be beat but give him all day (like most QB's) and he can pick apart the defense. 24-21 NYJ
                nope
                Comment
                • onetrickpony
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 08-23-10
                  • 9434

                  #9
                  jets win take the ml at +340
                  Comment
                  • jwatters
                    SBR Rookie
                    • 01-10-11
                    • 48

                    #10
                    Pats by -10 but good luck with your pick...
                    Comment
                    • killawookie
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-25-09
                      • 3457

                      #11
                      And this is why bookies exist ... free money
                      Comment
                      • pavyracer
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 04-12-07
                        • 82477

                        #12
                        This is like stealing candy from a kid. Thanks for the pick Dwight!
                        Comment
                        • B1GER1C828
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 07-31-07
                          • 10244

                          #13
                          rivas??? i thought it was Revis. Already laughing at the post. Clearly you didnt put more than 45 seconds into this post...heres why:

                          Colts Rush defense:25th. Pats:11th. So you want them to sustain these long drives which is alot harder against the pats than the Colts. "If the Jets can do what they did in Indy and keep the ball away from Brady with long sustained drives, they can win this one. " thats a pretty big IF.

                          Revis. Hes top 2 CB's in the game. Who is he going to cover? Welker? Branch? He covered both in week 13 loss 45-3. Branch and Welker combined for 10 catches, 144 yards and 2 td's. He wasnt covering both at same time obviously, but clearly just having revis isnt good enough now is it? Other mismatches: Pats TE's. Whose going to cover hernandez? gronkowski? woodhead(thank you jets for letting him go). In week 13, Hernandez, gronk, woodhead combined for 8 catches for 167 yards and a touchdown. Your key to victory " Getting pressure on Brady. If they can, he can be beat but give him all day (like most QB's) and he can pick apart the defense." Another big IF when your talking about the best offensive line and Brady identifying the blitzers and such.
                          Comment
                          • Glitch
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 07-08-09
                            • 11795

                            #14
                            one of my best bets ever. shonne green still at iowa against penn state.....i heard it was gonna rain hard. took him at about these same +350ish odds. winner.

                            nice running game, nice secondary, sanchez has a better football mind than i thought, good receiver core...good o and d lines, semi-competent kicker......its not about whether jets can win tho...its about whether or not patriots can lose.
                            Last edited by Glitch; 01-14-11, 05:24 PM. Reason: typo: "bet" to "best"
                            Comment
                            • onetrickpony
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 08-23-10
                              • 9434

                              #15
                              Originally posted by D3 Mighty Ducks
                              I'd rather have Brady then Sanchez. Can't see the Jets winning in Foxborough.
                              ravens did it last year, good luck finding holes in that d once brady realizes he wont be able to dump it off short to his rb's or when the welker screens go for 2 yards, let him toss it up to branch and hope revis doesnt snag that shit up.
                              Comment
                              • rsnnh12
                                SBR MVP
                                • 09-26-10
                                • 3487

                                #16
                                Originally posted by DwightShrute
                                I would rather have Tomlinson and Greene
                                That's fine, and I'm sure a lot of people agree, but that doesn't mean they are better
                                Comment
                                • DwightShrute
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 01-17-09
                                  • 102302

                                  #17
                                  I think it's worth a shot. Divisional foes and the Jets are plating very well. I am not guaranteeing anything but I like it. Brady's over rated anyway. Put any kind of pressure on him and you got a good chance.
                                  Comment
                                  • wcb231
                                    SBR Hustler
                                    • 01-13-11
                                    • 62

                                    #18
                                    It's easy to say that putting pressure on Brady is the key to success. However, the Jets have had difficulty pass rushing all season long. Also, according to FootballOutsiders the Jets are 29th in the NFL when you break them out of their base defense and make them use extra DB's. The Patriots excel at that in their offense.

                                    Tough matchup for the Jets. I like the Patriots in any teaser
                                    Comment
                                    • JACK MATZ
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 08-12-09
                                      • 832

                                      #19
                                      Really can't trust Sanchez.
                                      Jets shot their load last week.
                                      Pats win easy!
                                      Comment
                                      • rsnnh12
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 09-26-10
                                        • 3487

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by DwightShrute
                                        I think it's worth a shot. Divisional foes and the Jets are plating very well. I am not guaranteeing anything but I like it. Brady's over rated anyway. Put any kind of pressure on him and you got a good chance.
                                        Last game vs Jets- 154.4 QB rating against the blitz

                                        This season vs 5 rushers- 101.3 QB rating, 8.2 YPA
                                        Vs 6 or more rushers- 153.8 QB rating, 13.2 YPA

                                        Good luck with that

                                        Not saying the Jets can't win, of course, but its going to take multiple turnovers from the Pats for that to happen
                                        Comment
                                        • DwightShrute
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 01-17-09
                                          • 102302

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by rsnnh12
                                          Last game vs Jets- 154.4 QB rating against the blitz

                                          This season vs 5 rushers- 101.3 QB rating, 8.2 YPA
                                          Vs 6 or more rushers- 153.8 QB rating, 13.2 YPA

                                          Good luck with that

                                          Not saying the Jets can't win, of course, but its going to take multiple turnovers from the Pats for that to happen
                                          who knows. I like they way the Jets are playing, they are confident and the week off might hurt the Pats.

                                          Anything can happen - New Orleans Saints Defense
                                          Comment
                                          • cant call it
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 08-29-10
                                            • 8817

                                            #22
                                            if jets win it will be at the hands of s. holmes and b.edwards , we can only hope for sanchez to have a good game. I like jets and the points, and the ml sure looks good, but I will take jets and points
                                            Comment
                                            • StraitShooter
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 07-22-09
                                              • 10464

                                              #23
                                              Im old and wise

                                              Brady is the son of God...unless he gets hurt its curtains for the sucker points petesters

                                              I too thought as you once strutted

                                              guy turns average Joe to all pro..just ask the midget lost in Miami and now superstar..and the other dwarf

                                              the Pats have 3 outstanding tight ends cause they know what time it is..
                                              Comment
                                              • Grits n' Gravy
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 06-10-10
                                                • 13024

                                                #24
                                                good luck. teams are essentially the same as the 2 that played in december. pats were 3 to 4 point faves, so you are catching perceived value with an extra 5 or 6 points. jets are going to have to play perfect football to win this game and i just don't see snachez not making a few dumb plays to cost his team.
                                                Comment
                                                • EDDIE MONEY LINE
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 02-24-10
                                                  • 6298

                                                  #25
                                                  Jets will not lose
                                                  Comment
                                                  • drunkenbeaver
                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                    • 06-27-10
                                                    • 215

                                                    #26
                                                    Key to victory: Getting pressure on Brady? Really, are you sure?
                                                    Comment
                                                    • chilidog
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 04-05-09
                                                      • 10305

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by DwightShrute
                                                      +320

                                                      • Better RB combo of Tomlinson and Greene

                                                      If the Jets can do what they did in Indy and keep the ball away from Brady with long sustained drives, they can win this one.

                                                      They have a healthy Rivas and the team is playing well.

                                                      the KEY to victory: Getting pressure on Brady. If they can, he can be beat but give him all day (like most QB's) and he can pick apart the defense.


                                                      24-21 NYJ
                                                      care to wager un chifrijo y tres tragos de guaro on that?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Redchevy
                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                        • 10-06-06
                                                        • 486

                                                        #28
                                                        Only a catastrophic injury to Brady will give the Jets any hope in this spot. Belichick will have this Team ready for any and every gadget play that Rexopotumus will need to keep this game close. NE will be up convincingly by the half, putting what's left on the clock for a NY comeback on Sanchezs' shoulders. Then open the flood gates for a rout. Make no mistake about this, after NE's 1 and out last year against Baltimore, don't think for 1 second, this Team won't be prepared. Belichick will NOT take his foot off the gas here. We're under 48 hrs, good luck to the Jet backers!!!!!!!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • hankcream
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 06-30-10
                                                          • 2048

                                                          #29
                                                          Hopefully Rex Ryan is studying the Green Bay tapes against NE, that looked like the right game plan on how to beat the PATs or at least cover the number.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • DwightShrute
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 01-17-09
                                                            • 102302

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by chilidog
                                                            care to wager un chifrijo y tres tragos de guaro on that?
                                                            ok but I should get least 3 guaros if they win
                                                            Comment
                                                            • steveC3
                                                              SBR High Roller
                                                              • 07-07-10
                                                              • 246

                                                              #31
                                                              i like the jets to cover the 9 points
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Wiggums5
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 12-05-10
                                                                • 2409

                                                                #32
                                                                Key to the game: Hope Tom Brady drops dead before kickoff.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • chilidog
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 04-05-09
                                                                  • 10305

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by DwightShrute

                                                                  ok but I should get least 3 guaros if they win
                                                                  I'll give yah the whole damn bottle, lol
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • SBRMAN23
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 01-07-11
                                                                    • 6902

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Go .jets let's get this win
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • DwightShrute
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 01-17-09
                                                                      • 102302

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by chilidog
                                                                      I'll give yah the whole damn bottle, lol
                                                                      ya, what's $2 anyways!
                                                                      Comment
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