How does rain affect MLB totals ??

**Pete0** · 09-05-11, 10:37 PM

bump

**HoulihansTX** · 09-05-11, 10:53 PM

Rain makes totals unpredictable. Just lik they do in other outdoor sports.

Wind is the major factors in totals. Some stadiums have a high correlation with over or under according to the direction of the wind.

**LT Profits** · 09-06-11, 08:36 AM

I don't understand the question?

If it rains hard enough to affect the game, it would be called or shortened anyway, and if it's not raining hard enough to affect the game, then it's a moot point.

**Mr KLC** · 09-06-11, 08:38 AM

If you have an hour or longer stoppage due to rain, it might affect the outcome in baseball because you would possibly have to switch pitchers.

**LT Profits** · 09-06-11, 08:45 AM

Originally posted by Mr KLC

If you have an hour or longer stoppage due to rain, it might affect the outcome in baseball because you would possibly have to switch pitchers.

True, but the question relates to posted totals before the game, so not sure you can factor in delays without a crystal ball.

**Pete0** · 09-06-11, 10:43 AM

good input

How about light/moderate rain and still playable... How does it affect over/unders during the game ?

or how fly balls are carried across the field.

**70kgman** · 09-06-11, 12:28 PM

Most people seem to say it favors the over, gets the starting pitchers out of rhythm if there is a delay, bullpen probably has to pitch more innings, not much traction in the field for the fielders, blah blah blah... But I have been tracking a specific weather related totals angle this season in MLB, and my data says otherwise. Even though the sample size is fairly small, it is drastic enough to where I can definitely say it favors the under. I wouldn't blindly take the under in every game there is supposed to be rain, but if the under makes sense from every other angle, rain should only help.

**Pete0** · 09-06-11, 01:20 PM

Great info !! Thanks 70kgman !

Always wondered how it affected totals.

I've had my eye on the ATL/PHI under. it says heavy rain but 10mph wind going out towards center field. I'm still taking it .

**Nookx** · 09-06-11, 02:01 PM

Pete, like 70KGman said it is a very small sample size. It doesn't mean that long term its +ev to hit the unders. Just by the parameters being used I guarantee that its not of statistical significance. Good luck on your bets though.

**mnpickle** · 09-06-11, 02:21 PM

Rain causes balls not to fly as far (usually cooler temps), but at the same time cause fielders to not be as fast. I think totals are higher in the hot sun due to the humidity causing balls to carry...

**JR007** · 09-06-11, 04:25 PM

crosswinds and wind over 15 mph

**TomG** · 09-06-11, 06:29 PM

Pinnacle (and some other books) leave up lines for start times in delay due to rain. Watch the line movement on totals for insight.

**lyubomir** · 09-10-11, 09:21 AM

when raining at a soccer match the under is the big favourite,
scoring goals is much harder.

**pavyracer** · 09-10-11, 09:30 AM

Rain doesn't affect baseball totals since the game is suspended when it rains. Rain only affects football and soccer totals and that is if it rains extremely hard and the pitch doesn't have an underground drainage system.

**jetsjets1028** · 09-10-11, 10:41 AM

it doesnt for domes but it does otherwise