My College Football Picks Week 3 (Video)!

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  • JRS21386
    Restricted User
    • 04-13-08
    • 2213

    #36
    This wont be a game.. USC huge
    Comment
    • VegasDave
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 01-03-07
      • 8056

      #37
      Originally posted by Al Masters
      After watching your vids, i must tell you i have my questions about your capping abilities,not cause you had a poor week 1,but for other reasons that i believe to be detrimental to gamblers in the long run. i.e betting 9 games on one Saturday.JMO
      I will be the first to admit that my capping abilities need work and are a work-in-progress. This is only my second season capping college football (didn't even pay attention to anything happening outside of the Pac-10 or Top 10 before a year or two ago), so I'm not expecting 55% winners overnight or anything. I disagree with you on the 9 games thing; with 56 games that is 56 spreads and 56 over/unders to analyze (not including halves, quarters, etc)... Liking 9 out of 112 plays I don't think is too crazy. But maybe I will learn the hard way that it is! Besides I do have "tiers" and there are certain plays I like better then others, but for the sake of keeping the videos relatively simple, I just put them all out there. In any case, point taken and agreed with.

      Originally posted by Al Masters
      More importantly from watching your vids and reading some of your posts,you come across as a gentleman with a quality character.

      I wish you good returns 0n your gambling investments.
      That means alot to me, thank you very much

      Originally posted by Al Masters
      Friendly advice here.......in gambling the ability to control one's emotions is important,as they can lead to very bad decisions,when you feel your emotions getting the better of you..........take a break.

      BOL this week.
      Point WELL taken. Just made a withdrawal at 5Dimes. This is the biggest flaw in my game by far, I take these games way too emotionally. Duly noted! I wish I could take a break sometimes, but I like trying to fight through it, and I don't want to lose any of my viewers. But if it were strictly money being bet and not entertainment/videos, you are 100% right, I'd need to step away.

      Lets get em this week
      Comment
      • eddyvanwho
        SBR Rookie
        • 08-27-08
        • 31

        #38
        anything on tonights game usckingsfan, I like Rutgers -6 what do you think?
        Comment
        • VegasDave
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 01-03-07
          • 8056

          #39
          Originally posted by eddyvanwho
          anything on tonights game usckingsfan, I like Rutgers -6 what do you think?
          Don't have a strong opinion at all, need to see more games from both these teams... I'd take Rutgers -6 though if I had to take a side. Great home team certainly doesn't want to fall to 0 - 2... Fresno State was too tough for them, UNC is a little more in their ballpark.

          Good luck!
          Comment
          • Fishhead
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 08-11-05
            • 40179

            #40
            Excellent presentation, have a good week sir.
            Comment
            • MaurySline
              SBR High Roller
              • 09-11-08
              • 166

              #41
              USC all the way, thats the way to go!!! Big win saturday!!
              Comment
              • VegasDave
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 01-03-07
                • 8056

                #42
                Originally posted by Fishhead
                Excellent presentation, have a good week sir.
                Thanks man... enjoyed that post on teasers you made. Wish I had the money to play that sort of thing huge.
                Comment
                • VegasDave
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 01-03-07
                  • 8056

                  #43
                  Originally posted by JRS21386
                  This wont be a game.. USC huge
                  Originally posted by MaurySline
                  USC all the way, thats the way to go!!! Big win saturday!!
                  Hope you guys are right!
                  Comment
                  • JRS21386
                    Restricted User
                    • 04-13-08
                    • 2213

                    #44
                    Originally posted by usckingsfan31
                    Hope you guys are right!
                    I hope so too buddy... But i really don't think this will be a game... Gameday is gonna wish they DIDNT go to this game..
                    Comment
                    • gm2022
                      SBR MVP
                      • 02-28-08
                      • 4128

                      #45
                      USC you will make some big noise next few weeks sir
                      Comment
                      • VegasDave
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 01-03-07
                        • 8056

                        #46
                        Originally posted by JRS21386
                        I hope so too buddy... But i really don't think this will be a game... Gameday is gonna wish they DIDNT go to this game..
                        I'm just not willing to completely write off Ohio State and their excellent defense because of a hickup game against Ohio. They were so focused on getting ready for the USC game that they forgot they actually had to try a little on Saturday.

                        If I was playing it, I'd be on USC, too. But Ohio State does have talent and it worries me a little they are being taken so lightly now. Good thing Carroll won't let his team buy into the hype.
                        Comment
                        • JRS21386
                          Restricted User
                          • 04-13-08
                          • 2213

                          #47
                          Originally posted by usckingsfan31
                          I'm just not willing to completely write off Ohio State and their excellent defense because of a hickup game against Ohio. They were so focused on getting ready for the USC game that they forgot they actually had to try a little on Saturday.

                          If I was playing it, I'd be on USC, too. But Ohio State does have talent and it worries me a little they are being taken so lightly now. Good thing Carroll won't let his team buy into the hype.
                          Your prolly right... Thats my teams excuse too though... Alabama played terrible against Tulane cause we were looking ahead to Western Kentucky
                          Comment
                          • VegasDave
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 01-03-07
                            • 8056

                            #48
                            Originally posted by JRS21386
                            Your prolly right... Thats my teams excuse too though... Alabama played terrible against Tulane cause we were looking ahead to Western Kentucky
                            I think the "looking ahead" angle is generally over-used, but Ohio State clearly didn't even realize they had a game on Saturday.
                            Comment
                            • JRS21386
                              Restricted User
                              • 04-13-08
                              • 2213

                              #49
                              lol and there is NO WAY Alabama was looking ahead to WKU... I was just messin around
                              Comment
                              • VegasDave
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 01-03-07
                                • 8056

                                #50
                                Originally posted by gm2022
                                USC you will make some big noise next few weeks sir
                                Appreciate the confidence
                                Comment
                                • VegasDave
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 01-03-07
                                  • 8056

                                  #51
                                  Originally posted by JRS21386
                                  lol and there is NO WAY Alabama was looking ahead to WKU... I was just messin around
                                  Haha for sure... No one knows where the **** Bama is looking week in and week out.
                                  Comment
                                  • gm2022
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 02-28-08
                                    • 4128

                                    #52
                                    USC was kinda shocked you didnt have, AU or Cal. i understand there Road Favs but the lines they got I think were to low to pass on
                                    Comment
                                    • VegasDave
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 01-03-07
                                      • 8056

                                      #53
                                      Already explained why I didn't take AU, Cal was tempting and I had it circled, but just liked these other plays better. You could very easily cash both of these, I'm just taking a wait and see approach for most of the Pac-10 to start the year. GL though!

                                      What number did you get Cal at? I think if it hadn't gone to 2 TDs it would have made my cut.
                                      Comment
                                      • gm2022
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 02-28-08
                                        • 4128

                                        #54
                                        Originally posted by usckingsfan31
                                        Already explained why I didn't take AU, Cal was tempting and I had it circled, but just liked these other plays better. You could very easily cash both of these, I'm just taking a wait and see approach for most of the Pac-10 to start the year. GL though!

                                        What number did you get Cal at? I think if it hadn't gone to 2 TDs it would have made my cut.
                                        you 2, I know im on a lot of Road Fav this week, which most if not all would downgrade me for. I just think Maryland is just as good as WSU(if not worse). Only thing I see happening is maybe a slow start for Cal with it being a 9am start PT. Though when its all said in done they cover! AU i have been on 2 weeks str so maybe im not looking at this game correctly but either way I think Au wins by 21 pts as there D is way underrated and will be a key part of them staying in games in the PAC 10 this year. Good luck all
                                        Comment
                                        • VegasDave
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 01-03-07
                                          • 8056

                                          #55
                                          Hmmm... for those of you teaser/parlay players that agree with me on North Texas +42...

                                          Might as well parlay/tease it with the UNDER. Just saw this was at 59.5.

                                          North Texas doesn't have a chance to put up much more then 10, do they? As such, if the final is 10 - 49, you have a cover and an under. Likely will be even lower.

                                          Teasing this to North Texas +49, Under 66.5 looks even better.
                                          Comment
                                          • khoale2004
                                            SBR Hustler
                                            • 09-10-08
                                            • 93

                                            #56
                                            Baylor game got cancel or cant even pick anymore

                                            and also Airforce got cancel too because of the hurricane
                                            Comment
                                            • VegasDave
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 01-03-07
                                              • 8056

                                              #57
                                              Baylor game wasn't canceled, was moved to Friday Night.

                                              Okay, lets try and head into Saturday 1 - 0!
                                              Comment
                                              • seriousaddiction
                                                SBR Rookie
                                                • 09-10-08
                                                • 42

                                                #58
                                                dave first off want to be the first to say I like the videos...its a nice niche here on the forum..no one does it...very original....and since u take constructive criticism so well let me offer the obviouss...and again this isnt hating ...this is constructive criticism for someone new to betting (disregard my post count...im a long time rx'er and have been gambling and capping for about 8 years)


                                                the only problem I see with ur picks is ur obsession with chalk. Take a team catching some points here and there. Dont be afraid to be an underdog. You seem to not be afraid of starting the game down 14,16,26-0 why not do have some more games like the N Texas one. Before kickoff your up 42-0...now doesnt that feel great. anyways...just some friendly advice and BOL...look forward to ur next video
                                                Comment
                                                • VegasDave
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 01-03-07
                                                  • 8056

                                                  #59
                                                  Originally posted by seriousaddiction
                                                  the only problem I see with ur picks is ur obsession with chalk. Take a team catching some points here and there. Dont be afraid to be an underdog. You seem to not be afraid of starting the game down 14,16,26-0 why not do have some more games like the N Texas one. Before kickoff your up 42-0...now doesnt that feel great. anyways...just some friendly advice and BOL...look forward to ur next video
                                                  Dude if you are going to be negative just stay off my thread

                                                  LOL, 100% kidding. Guilty as charged, I do love the chalk. But I have to disagree with you that this is a bad thing; whether you have the points or are giving the points, both sides are -110. There is no more value either way, the only value is being right. If you pick 8 dogs with the points $100 a game and go 6 - 2 and I pick 8 faves giving up the points $100 a game, we both profit the exact same amount.

                                                  Some people are good at picking live dogs. I personally do better at finding favorites that WILL cover the spread they are up against. Especially early in the year... in a few weeks favorites will start giving up too many points and I will start finding/picking more live dogs. But no need to force it!

                                                  Thanks for the feedback. Trust me, if I see some dogs I like, I'll take them... they just haven't been jumping off the page at me yet.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • VegasDave
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 01-03-07
                                                    • 8056

                                                    #60
                                                    Originally posted by gm2022
                                                    you 2, I know im on a lot of Road Fav this week, which most if not all would downgrade me for. I just think Maryland is just as good as WSU(if not worse). Only thing I see happening is maybe a slow start for Cal with it being a 9am start PT. Though when its all said in done they cover! AU i have been on 2 weeks str so maybe im not looking at this game correctly but either way I think Au wins by 21 pts as there D is way underrated and will be a key part of them staying in games in the PAC 10 this year. Good luck all
                                                    If AU does roll in this one as you predict, it'll be very interesting to see what the line will be like @UCLA next week...

                                                    Guess that also depends on how the BYU game goes.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • jgm1967
                                                      Restricted User
                                                      • 10-06-05
                                                      • 429

                                                      #61
                                                      Great videos and great newsletter dave.You are really making an effort at this and I hope more people check out the newsletter.Its great seeing young people using all these tools available and really making an effort to do seomthing crative.

                                                      When I was your age we were mainly doing punk fanzines and some literature fanzines with mimeograph and tons of time spent at kinkos.laot of people had that d.i.y. ethic but the tools were not as available

                                                      Its a shame more people don't do all the stuff you are doing,great to see this effort.

                                                      Personally I really hope this sbrwill get more like pokerroad and get more original content and get some radio and tv shows up here.

                                                      Check out two jacks in the hole at pokerroad dave,its broadcast from your hometown LA.Big poker sunday is another great too,Haralabos Voulgaris is a host and this guy is a nba guru. a brilliant capper,There are a few good articles i have saved about him if you ever want to read them

                                                      cheers
                                                      Comment
                                                      • VegasDave
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 01-03-07
                                                        • 8056

                                                        #62
                                                        Yeah, I've heard the guy is amazing... have you seen his setup?? He has like 7 flat screen wall mounted TVs and he watches every game start to finish... pretty damn awesome.

                                                        I'm trying to be as versatile as possible; newsletter, blogging, videos, podcasting... and I have a cool domain name to keep it all together. Hope all this effort pays off in one way or another someday
                                                        Comment
                                                        • JRS21386
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 04-13-08
                                                          • 2213

                                                          #63
                                                          Originally posted by usckingsfan31
                                                          Yeah, I've heard the guy is amazing... have you seen his setup?? He has like 7 flat screen wall mounted TVs and he watches every game start to finish... pretty damn awesome.

                                                          I'm trying to be as versatile as possible; newsletter, blogging, videos, podcasting... and I have a cool domain name to keep it all together. Hope all this effort pays off in one way or another someday
                                                          What do you use to podcast?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • VegasDave
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 01-03-07
                                                            • 8056

                                                            #64
                                                            Just the same mike thats on my head when I do the videos... AUDACITY is a great free program for recording that lets you record and edit mp3s and what not. Then just upload it on a podcast server and you are good to go. If you haven't already, take a listen at my page to some of my podcasts and see what you think.

                                                            If you need more details or help starting one up just email or PM me, I'm easy to get in touch with
                                                            Comment
                                                            • ChuteBoxe
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 11-21-07
                                                              • 6885

                                                              #65
                                                              Good luck this week bud.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • VegasDave
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 01-03-07
                                                                • 8056

                                                                #66
                                                                Thanks you too!! Had to laugh at your sig though... how does 5 - 3 = 100%?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • ChuteBoxe
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 11-21-07
                                                                  • 6885

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Originally posted by usckingsfan31
                                                                  Thanks you too!! Had to laugh at your sig though... how does 5 - 3 = 100%?
                                                                  Thanks for the heads up man. I was 5-0, and I updated right before bed on my 0-3 Monday night. Time to check eog and therx.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • VegasDave
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 01-03-07
                                                                    • 8056

                                                                    #68
                                                                    Originally posted by ChuteBoxe
                                                                    Thanks for the heads up man. I was 5-0, and I updated right before bed on my 0-3 Monday night. Time to check eog and therx.
                                                                    Sure thing. Your +Units speak for themselves!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • khoale2004
                                                                      SBR Hustler
                                                                      • 09-10-08
                                                                      • 93

                                                                      #69
                                                                      but i think baylor and airforce are voided there are no pick for those 2 game usc
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • jgm1967
                                                                        Restricted User
                                                                        • 10-06-05
                                                                        • 429

                                                                        #70
                                                                        Originally posted by usckingsfan31
                                                                        Yeah, I've heard the guy is amazing... have you seen his setup?? He has like 7 flat screen wall mounted TVs and he watches every game start to finish... pretty damn awesome.

                                                                        I'm trying to be as versatile as possible; newsletter, blogging, videos, podcasting... and I have a cool domain name to keep it all together. Hope all this effort pays off in one way or another someday
                                                                        Haralabos is really an interesting guy.Here are a few articles on him.



                                                                        Comment
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