My College Football Picks Week 3 (Video)!

**JRS21386** · 09-10-08, 08:46 PM

Nice Video buddy... keep it up

**JRS21386** · 09-10-08, 08:48 PM

When i start my sports company im gonna offer you like 50k a year to come out here and broadcast w/ me

**gm2022** · 09-10-08, 08:48 PM

Clemson

Good look sir, Great Videos you wont lose me!

**BeatTheJerk** · 09-10-08, 08:52 PM

Once again solid information and logic ............. I'm with you on BYU -8

**VegasDave** · 09-10-08, 09:35 PM

Originally posted by JRS21386

When i start my sports company im gonna offer you like 50k a year to come out here and broadcast w/ me

Make it $45,000, I'll give you the buddy discount

**JRS21386** · 09-10-08, 09:35 PM

Originally posted by usckingsfan31

Make it $45,000, I'll give you the buddy discount

nice... well that would be awesome... ill keep you posted. (no time soon ofcourse), but we'll keep in touch!

**accuscoresucks** · 09-10-08, 09:38 PM

nice video dave

tear them up this week

**VegasDave** · 09-10-08, 09:55 PM

Originally posted by gm2022

Clemson

Good look sir, Great Videos you wont lose me!

Clemson looks real good this week...

I love when public perception skews the line!

And i know you've got my back

**VegasDave** · 09-10-08, 10:26 PM

Originally posted by BeatTheJerk

Once again solid information and logic ............. I'm with you on BYU -8

Easily my riskiest pick... but I decided to take a shot with it. GL to us both

**BeatTheJerk** · 09-10-08, 10:30 PM

hey ever notice the riskiest picks sometimes cash easier than the ones with a definate logic ?

**VegasDave** · 09-10-08, 10:43 PM

Thats why I put it in there. I liked it and then threw it out because I was thinking "you went 2 - 5 last week... don't take risks". But last minute I said to myself last week is in the past. If South Florida holds on and I go 4 - 3, I'm thinking I'm on top of the world and definitely make this pick and probably throw in Buff -6 too. But a tough loss and now I'm going to be timid? No way. Gotta go out guns-a-blazin

I'm feeling a 6 - 3 week here fellas!

**bmw530i** · 09-10-08, 10:51 PM

Dave...Wow..haha... week 3 ...no more hair gel in your hair..bags under your eyes....this gambling might kill one of us....great vid..great pics... I predict 7-2 and ....No soup for you

**mpcrane39** · 09-10-08, 10:55 PM

Since I go to NC State Ill be rooting against clemson. Although it wont matter who im rooting for anyway cause we stink. Clemson's qb is banged up and their starting three frosh on the oline just something to keep in mind. Also regarding the william and mary game i was at the game and the score was 34-10 until state put in 3-4 string so that final score does not indicate the game.

**VegasDave** · 09-10-08, 11:11 PM

Originally posted by bmw530i

Dave...Wow..haha... week 3 ...no more hair gel in your hair..bags under your eyes....this gambling might kill one of us....great vid..great pics... I predict 7-2 and ....No soup for you

LOL I'm having a tough month bud feel like shit, look like shit, but the show must go on. At least I shaved! I had some 4-day-scruff going but tried to show some decency haha.

I love the picks this week. 7 - 2 sounds A-OK by me

**flyingillini** · 09-10-08, 11:14 PM

Vegas Dave represent.

**VegasDave** · 09-10-08, 11:19 PM

Originally posted by mpcrane39

Since I go to NC State Ill be rooting against clemson. Although it wont matter who im rooting for anyway cause we stink. Clemson's qb is banged up and their starting three frosh on the oline just something to keep in mind. Also regarding the william and mary game i was at the game and the score was 34-10 until state put in 3-4 string so that final score does not indicate the game.

The O-Line is the only thing that concerns me... they didn't look great against the Citadel. If NC State wins the battle at the lines that 18.5 could look like a joke in a hurry. I just don't think NC State will overpower, and I also think they will have an awful hard time finding the endzone.

You are right about the W&M game, I should have been fairer in my video. It was 21 - 10 though at the end of the 3rd Q, not exactly what you want to see in that game.

**Louisvillekid1** · 09-10-08, 11:33 PM

GL man,

your analysis is right on, no matter how the results come

**mpcrane39** · 09-10-08, 11:48 PM

Hey thanks for the quick response. One thing that works in our favor is that we are getting our starting qb back who will more than likely run more of an option offense. But we will be without are #1 rb, #1 and #2 te and our #1 reciever. Clemson has an amazing backfield and if we cant stop them and their screen plays look out. Check out this link Ive added. I am going to be interested in the under for the first half. Our defense is solid but tire out because the offense cant do much. Look at the South Carolina game 0-3 at half.

Page Not Found (404) | The Greenville News

http://www.greenvilleonline.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20080909/SPORTS0101/809090333/1025

**VegasDave** · 09-10-08, 11:59 PM

Originally posted by Louisvillekid1

GL man,

your analysis is right on, no matter how the results come

Thanks man. Loved your analysis in the Tulane game, win or lose, too.

Its funny, I was just thinking about how similar this whole thing is to a basketball game.

Lets say for a second (sorry don't mean to beat this dead horse) that Grothe doesn't throw that pick, South Florida runs out the clock, and I win both USF -12.5 and the Under 53. Now I'm 4 - 3 on the week and everyone congratulates me on a great week. Instead it unravels and I go 2 - 5 and all of a sudden all the haters come out and rip me a new one.

It's like a game winning 3 at the buzzer. If you hit it and win 90 - 89, everyone talks about what a great game it was and what a great win it was for your team. If it hits the rim and barely misses, and you lose 89 - 87, and everyone talks about all the bad fouls you took, free throw trouble, etc etc...

Funny how much it shifts on one little bounce.

**Panic** · 09-11-08, 12:00 AM

I'm going with you here, USC. If I lose money......run.

**VegasDave** · 09-11-08, 12:17 AM

Originally posted by Panic

I'm going with you here, USC. If I lose money......run.

On which plays bud?

**Panic** · 09-11-08, 12:20 AM

All.

**VegasDave** · 09-11-08, 12:25 AM

Best of luck to both of us!

Glad to see I already have 90 views... First vid got 2000 hits, 2nd got 1000, I hope I don't lose half my viewers each week

**Panic** · 09-11-08, 12:26 AM

USC, i'm just messing with ya. But if you do make me money I might send the girl in my avatar to your house. What you do with her is your business.

**VegasDave** · 09-11-08, 12:38 AM

Sorry man I have a girlfriend, not interested...

(Okay, hopefully she stopped reading there. I'll send you my address when we cash big this weekend

)

**VegasDave** · 09-11-08, 01:23 AM

Originally posted by mpcrane39

Hey thanks for the quick response. One thing that works in our favor is that we are getting our starting qb back who will more than likely run more of an option offense. But we will be without are #1 rb, #1 and #2 te and our #1 reciever. Clemson has an amazing backfield and if we cant stop them and their screen plays look out. Check out this link Ive added. I am going to be interested in the under for the first half. Our defense is solid but tire out because the offense cant do much. Look at the South Carolina game 0-3 at half.

http://www.greenvilleonline.com/apps...809090333/1025

Thanks for all the extra info bud

**SlickFazzer** · 09-11-08, 01:57 AM

Keep up the vids USC.

**gm2022** · 09-11-08, 06:30 AM

Originally posted by usckingsfan31

Clemson looks real good this week...

I love when public perception skews the line!

And i know you've got my back

I know you didnt have them in your plays sir but Play AU -10 this weekend ok.

**VegasDave** · 09-11-08, 11:44 AM

Originally posted by gm2022

I know you didnt have them in your plays sir but Play AU -10 this weekend ok.

First game on the road, two blowouts were against pitiful Idaho and rusty/outmatched Toledo... New Mexico play A&M tough last week and I still need to see a few more games out of Zona before I trust them.

You have fun with it though I'll root them on for ya

**VegasDave** · 09-11-08, 12:11 PM

Originally posted by SlickFazzer

Keep up the vids USC.

My video is nothing compared to the return of PHONE SKILLS - CORBIN ELECTRIC!

**Louisvillekid1** · 09-11-08, 12:28 PM

how do you think USC/OHIO St. plays out? . . .

Oh yeah, dont worry about haters coming into your threads. . . that means your doing something right. . . the point is your anaylsis and reasoning for making the bets is all that matters in the long run in this game. . . Just keep up the hard work. . .

**SBR Lou** · 09-11-08, 12:36 PM

Excellent stuff as always, Dave.

Thanks for sharing your insight!

**Al Masters** · 09-11-08, 12:43 PM

After watching your vids, i must tell you i have my questions about your capping abilities,not cause you had a poor week 1,but for other reasons that i believe to be detrimental to gamblers in the long run. i.e betting 9 games on one Saturday.JMO

More importantly from watching your vids and reading some of your posts,you come across as a gentleman with a quality character.

I wish you good returns 0n your gambling investments.

Friendly advice here.......in gambling the ability to control one's emotions is important,as they can lead to very bad decisions,when you feel your emotions getting the better of you..........take a break.

BOL this week.

**VegasDave** · 09-11-08, 12:51 PM

Originally posted by Louisvillekid1

how do you think USC/OHIO St. plays out? . . .

Oh yeah, dont worry about haters coming into your threads. . . that means your doing something right. . . the point is your anaylsis and reasoning for making the bets is all that matters in the long run in this game. . . Just keep up the hard work. . .

Its too tough to say. I really see it going one of two ways (and this won't wow anyone)...

1) USC runs all over Ohio State and easily covers.

2) Ohio States fast defense keeps the passing game in check and the LBs and D-Line keep the running game in check, and the game goes to the wire where "anything can happen". Do I think USC will lose here? Not really, but a defensive struggle would make it come down to the wire.

Either way, I don't see Ohio State scoring much on the road against this defense. Which brings me to the only real opinion I have on the game...

IF you like Ohio State + the points here (I don't love or hate it), you should parlay this with the UNDER. No way Ohio State shoots out with this team against USC's defense IMO. If Ohio State covers, it'll be a 17 - 10, 21 - 13 type score... 27 - 17 even falls under. If USC puts up 30+ points, I don't see you covering.

Should be a fun game to watch. I think both sides of the spread are live... its either a close game battle of defenses or USC rolls.