Possible to go 75%+ longterm?

[CanuckG]

Know anyone that can come close to that....you know that one in a million guy who can just pick almost every game and even get the score correct sometimes.

[mrmarket]

Brock Landers. Solid handicapper. Has his own revolutionary bet tracking system. Never goes below 75%.

[BatemanPatrickl]

Know anyone that can come close to that....you know that one in a million guy who can just pick almost every game and even get the score correct sometimes.

The basic laws of Mathematics says no.

[sideloaded]

Yes if you do about 80 plays a year which one tout does. But if you were that good you're leaving a lot of money on the table.

[d2bets]

Not at standard market -110 spreads, no. Nobody. Not possible over the long-term. Let's call it 1,000+ plays.

And it's not even close. Nobody can go 70% either. Or 65%. Not sure what the magic max possible is. Probably south of 60%. Again, I'm talking about winning against standard closing lines on major events. Not talking tennis openers or some shit like that.

[d2bets]

Yes if you do about 80 plays a year which one tout does. But if you were that good you're leaving a lot of money on the table.

80 play per year for how many years? In one year, maybe. Over, let's say, 10 years? Not a fukkin chance.

[crustyme]

NDIrish9

[CanuckG]

why is it so hard? what's the magic formula?

[Rich Boy]

Know anyone that can come close to that....you know that one in a million guy who can just pick almost every game and even get the score correct sometimes.

Look at it this way.

Pinnacle posts a line on a random NBA game. Lets assume that this line is accurate to within 5%. So it may be 50%/50% or it may be 55%/45%

It doesnt matter what you know or how good your "system" is.

The only way you can hit 75% is if books posted numbers that had error margins of 25% (which will never happen on major markets)

[Full Time Hobo]

Brock Landers. Solid handicapper. Has his own revolutionary bet tracking system. Never goes below 75%.

Always will find threads on here of people trying to hit high percentages.
Usually start out aweful then get trolled off the board to come back as another poster / ghost.

75% long term is near impossible as stated. It is all relative to sample size.

[MarkDee]

many people will say there close
but are still broke ass fuckk's posting shit on forums, from a shitty apartment on the shitty side of town.
If people could they would be keeping there mouth shut on a beach enjoying life

[Augustus]

Below 20 games, Yes.

Above 20 games, No.

[sideloaded]

I do know one tout that verified is like 70 %. Not going to advertise him but many here know who Im talking about. He's in vegas and doesn't play much games.

[sneak-a-peak]

Who cares about 75%!

Your reasonable and possible goal should be 53-54% (-110 odds or better) and if you can hit that long term and you have half a brain you will end up pretty well off.

[ronjon619]

[CanuckG]

so if you went 30-2 in NBA....eventually you'd tail off to 70-35? 30-2 would be pretty good

[sneak-a-peak]

Yes 30-2 will tail off at some point.

Bankroll is everything. Its war against the books and you need to be fully loaded with lots of ammo to survive battles that dont go so well.

Its just like the old saying "Dont show up to a gun fight with a knife!"

[Buried_PIRATE]

I like your posts there sneak-a-peak, nice perspective

[sneak-a-peak]

Thanks buddy

[illfuuptn]

Yes. But as another poster said, you'd have like 30 plays a year that were 75% expected win rate. Most good cappers hit around 55-56% because they have a few 75%ers, a lot of 60-65%ers, and a fuk ton of 54% and up plays.

[dfberger23]

Impossible, you would have to be the luckiest guy in the world.

[CanuckG]

luckiest idk about that

[dfberger23]

luckiest idk about that

If you think luck doesn't play a factor in sports gambling then you are kidding yourself.

[mlb]

no way is that possible

[shaggy3000]

ive always looked at it this way if someone can hit 25% then why cant someone hit 75%? if youre willin to pace yourself and only make a play a day ( roughly ) then why couldnt you hit a very high %? there is alway a line that is off on the card. or you could just take a favorite a day and hit a high %. ( note to everyone: you never pay vig on a winning bet ) depending on how big the favorites are will determine how many you have to win to keep you well in the black.

i say yes. i know a lot of people here say no because we cant do it. but were all a bunch of action addicts. 70% of the people on here probly make 30-50 bets a week. maybe more...