Captrobeys 1st betting thread

**ngates815** · 04-23-12, 09:45 AM

Originally posted by captrobey

Lol i do not remember holding my breath for most of my wins. There was one that won in OT the Heat . That was good luck but when i refer to bad luck i am referring to games that absolutely should have won with a ton of chances where normally they would score but manage to find a way not to. Like loading the bases 5 times and not scoring or needing a run to win then having a man on 3rd at least 4 times in a game with 0 or 1 out and not scoring. That is what happened to me. The OKC game well that one should speak for itself.

So i will update my record both ways. So i am...

11-6 Overall----- In this run 4-1 +$1800

Just say your 11-6 +1300....who cares about how much money you have in rebatewager account...It's confusing when explaining what's going on with your account and how your doing this or that.

Juts make picks and continue your record at 11-6 +1300, that makes the most sense. Just some advice...just go from 11-6 record +1300 and do your 100 plays, don't worry if you go negative money, that doesn't mean you should just restart, just try and make it back in the positive and keep the stats thru 100 picks.

**captrobey** · 04-23-12, 09:50 AM

But what this boils down to is what my ability to pick winners are. I am hoping to be around 60% after 100 picks. If so i should have a good amount and hopefully hit a parlay here and there too. The nice thing is i have been playing with RW money not my own . I am still ahead which is nice. I am actually going after this and cashing out the other $5000 i won in there(i said before i won $10000 but they only let you cash out $5000 a week every monday ). But after i cash this out i will not have as much to fall back onto(i will have just under $4000 left in there).

Hopefully i can build that up and not have to redeposit .Regardless i want to do 100 picks and see how i do. I really do hope i have won and continue to hit winners so some of you can win cash. If any of you have used my picks please let me know-it will make me happy to know i helped win some cash for people.

**captrobey** · 04-23-12, 09:52 AM

Originally posted by ngates815

Just say your 11-6 +1300....who cares about how much money you have in rebatewager account...It's confusing when explaining what's going on with your account and how your doing this or that.

Juts make picks and continue your record at 11-6 +1300, that makes the most sense. Just some advice...just go from 11-6 record +1300 and do your 100 plays, don't worry if you go negative money, that doesn't mean you should just restart, just try and make it back in the positive and keep the stats thru 100 picks.

Ok i will do that

11-6 +$1300

**ngates815** · 04-23-12, 09:54 AM

Sounds good...Best of luck.

**captrobey** · 04-23-12, 11:07 AM

Originally posted by fitguy67

damn those two back-to-back o7.5 heartbreakingly bad beats (the Tribe/A's last night and the Reds/Cubs today)

...material for a "Twilight Zone" episode

He knows EXACTLY what i am talking about for those losses . Twilight Zone lol.

**crackerjack** · 04-23-12, 11:21 AM

My only point was that it evens out but us gamblers only remember the "bad beats" not the lucky wins. 11-6 is a good pct if you can maintain it...bol

**captrobey** · 04-23-12, 11:30 AM

Originally posted by crackerjack

My only point was that it evens out but us gamblers only remember the "bad beats" not the lucky wins. 11-6 is a good pct if you can maintain it...bol

I certainly will try to maintain it cracker. If i do i hope some of you can win some cash. Trust me-if i got a miracle win i would definitely say it as i would be bursting with happiness. If i was on the other side of those losses i would have been amazingly happy . I would be wondering how i managed to win them with the way they went. Instead i end up on the other side . But, in a way although i hate to lose i think i feel that if i get games like that repeatedly, most are going to win with those odds. Just frustrating that i got 3 losses like that. Maybe that means i am due to hit some miracle wins lol. Although i will take the solid no worry wins every time.

Anyway 11-6 lets keep it going later tonight shall we?!!!!!!!

**captrobey** · 04-23-12, 01:42 PM

Ok lets take a look at the early game . Giants /Mets. I like the numbers on the Over in this one .Lincecum has not been anywhere near himself. Having an inflated 10.54 ERA .But i really like the numbers on this one. SF has gone Over the last 16 of 23 on the road.Out of this 6 of 9 went Over when Giants played the Mets. THe one way this could backfire is if Lincecum gets confidence and pitches like he has in the past. But i think that if he gives up an early run or 2 that will play into his mind and rattle him. I have to go with the numbers...

Risking $600 on the Giants /Mets game to go Over 7.5 to win $500

**doin** · 04-23-12, 02:03 PM

i was liking this over too. thanks for sharing.

**captrobey** · 04-23-12, 06:01 PM

Well as we sweat out this game needing 1 run with the Mets i will give tonights pick. It is a battle between 2 special olympic kids -The Wizards and the Bobcats. Both teams are not good but the fact that the Wizards are at home and The Bobcats are 1-9 ATS and 8-15 ATS away lets me like the Wizards. So...

Wizards -10.5 risking $1100 to win $1000

**captrobey** · 04-23-12, 06:18 PM

B9th last chance. Another tough game. 7 runs first 3.5 innings and nothing since. Man on 3rd with one out and then 2nd and 3rd with 0 outs and they cannot score.

**mynameismud** · 04-23-12, 06:25 PM

Originally posted by captrobey

B9th last chance. Another tough game. 7 runs first 3.5 innings and nothing since. Man on 3rd with one out and then 2nd and 3rd with 0 outs and they cannot score.

you keep missing these by a hook. bol on the wiz.

**captrobey** · 04-23-12, 06:26 PM

Another one of those damn losses . 12 left on base 7 runs in 3.5 innings. All i can do is shake my head at this point.

So thats now 11-7 +700

**captrobey** · 04-23-12, 06:27 PM

Originally posted by mynameismud

you keep missing these by a hook. bol on the wiz.

Totally frustrating. I keep getting screwed on these over and over . Its not so much that i keep missing by a run,it is that they keep on having chances which normally would score but they keep on coming up empty.Oh well ...

**captrobey** · 04-23-12, 06:58 PM

Ok on to my next pick. I like the Dodgers Over the Braves at -128 . The Dodgers are 13-4 last 17 games SU. They are 4-1 SU at home against Atlanta. So...

Risking $640 to win $500 for the Dodgers at -128

**captrobey** · 04-23-12, 07:10 PM

Wizards looking good up 24 at half . So that's good to see(knock on wood). Especially after a tough loss .

**captrobey** · 04-23-12, 08:19 PM

Ok there is a nice solid easy win with the Wizards. Nice after that bad loss earlier . So that picks up $1000 so our total is...

12-7 + $1700

With the Dodgers still coming up...

**captrobey** · 04-23-12, 08:31 PM

Another play on the Dodgers - Dodgers 1ST 5 innings -130 risking 325 to win $250

**captrobey** · 04-23-12, 11:06 PM

Ok there is a win for $250 with the first 5 Innings with the Dodgers. Plus we are looking pretty good for the game . Although i am not sure what Kemp was thinking when he tried to score on that single from first . Should be another run . Hopefully that will not make a difference.I will have to update the result for the game tomorrow. Gotta get some sleep lol .But at least the Dodgers are up 5-1 in the 6th inning .So that puts us at...

13-7 + $1950

**captrobey** · 04-24-12, 07:04 AM

Ok so there is another win as the Dodgers won 7-2.So that picks up another $500 . That will now put us at ...

14-7 +$2400

**evicktd** · 04-24-12, 04:25 PM

doin well my friend

**captrobey** · 04-24-12, 05:40 PM

Originally posted by evicktd

doin well my friend

TY lets keep it going shall we

**mynameismud** · 04-24-12, 05:46 PM

Originally posted by captrobey

TY lets keep it going shall we

what are you playing tonight?

**captrobey** · 04-24-12, 06:20 PM

Originally posted by mynameismud

what are you playing tonight?

Tonight i am focusing on the Sacramento / OKC game. I Love OKC here as the numbers favor them . The Kings are 1-10 ATS last 11 games. They are 1-4 ATS playing OKC. I want to attack both halves as i feel OKC will dominate this entire game. So

OKC 1ST Half -5 Risking $575 to win $500

And

OKC Game -9 Risking $1000 to win $909

**captrobey** · 04-24-12, 07:38 PM

Wow Kings shooting over 80% that 1st Qtr . That 3 at the end hurt too. Cmon OKC take control...

**captrobey** · 04-24-12, 07:47 PM

Wow they are still shooting near 80% unreal- Kings are playing like OKC should be .

**captrobey** · 04-24-12, 08:09 PM

Well that first half is a loss -lets hope OKC play like they should be and take Over 2nd half.

14-8 now +1825

**captrobey** · 04-24-12, 08:12 PM

I am going to have total faith in the numbers . 1-10 ATS so i am counting on OKC doing what they should be doing and not only cover the spread for the game but cover the 2nd half spread .

OKC -8 2nd H risking $1100 to win $1000

**captrobey** · 04-24-12, 08:55 PM

Sorry guys this game has turned out to be a total nightmare . One Qtr left but we need them to dominate and hopefully cover at least one of the 2 bets left.

**mynameismud** · 04-24-12, 09:13 PM

so you got 1k on -9 and 1.1k on -8? man, i hope you hit.

**captrobey** · 04-24-12, 09:38 PM

You know what i will take that at least we hit with the last bet -just missed with the game though. So...

OKC -9 Loss puts us at 14-9 +$825

Then the 2H win takes in $1000 and puts us at 15-9 and back to +$1825

**captrobey** · 04-24-12, 09:43 PM

Ok next pick- I like the Jazz -5. At home and they are tough at home. They need to make sure to take a playoff spot so i think i will go with the Jazz

Utah Jazz -5 risking $1100 to win $1000

**captrobey** · 04-24-12, 09:44 PM

Originally posted by mynameismud

so you got 1k on -9 and 1.1k on -8? man, i hope you hit.

Yes i was going with the numbers that they would cover the -9 (came close) which would also of course cover the -8 2nd H . Got the -8 2H and just missed the other.

**captrobey** · 04-24-12, 10:42 PM

Up 7 at half lets keep it goin Jazz !!!

**captrobey** · 04-25-12, 12:15 AM

We pick up the win with the Jazz so that picks up another $1000 and puts us at ...

16-9 + $2825