Captrobeys 1st betting thread

[captrobey]

So we are at 16-9 and our total is at +$2825

Ok here we go ... Picks for today

First up - Rockies/Pirates . I like the Over in this one. Both teams score just slightly under 7 runs a game. They give up Just Over 8 a game. 4 of the last 6 the Rockies Played Pittsburgh they have gone Over . 6 of 8 games the Rockies played Pitt on the road they have gone Over. And here is a stat i like too- With 7 being the needed number for the O/U they have gone in their last 10 games 7-2-1 to the Over.

Rockies /Pittsburgh Over 7 risking $575 to win $500

Next i am looking at the Cardinals game. The Juice is a bit higher but - Cardinals hold the edge in EVERY single category so far against the Cubs. Runs scored ,Runs against,Team ERA ,Off Hits,Off walks, well you get the picture.Lynn is also pitching really well at a respectable 1.42 as Volstad is at 6.19. Lynn is 3-0 against Volstad 0-2.

Cardinals to win -165 risking $825 to win $500

ALSO

I like these two picks and i will open up with a parlay on both so

Cards at -165 and Over 7 in the Rockies /Pitt game risking $500 to win $985

[captrobey]

Not the best start but plenty of time left

[captrobey]

Well 4 done and 0 runs-horrible Offenses so far . No threats whatsoever to score.

[captrobey]

Ok not looking good halfway done still 0-0 Oh well .

[captrobey]

Every time i have tried a parlay on this thread the 1st game loses so far grrrrrrr -looking that way again

[captrobey]

Im gonna do a first 5 Inning bet for the Cardinals risking $400 to win $250

[captrobey]

Mcdonald throwing a no-hitter figures

[captrobey]

OK Pittsburgh loses putting us at

16-10 +$2250 PLus the loss with the parlay puts us at

+$ 1750

[captrobey]

Phew after a 1-0 lead then giving it up at least they held Cubs from scoring to give us a Push.

So 16-10-1 now +$1750

[captrobey]

Ok we pull out that win with the Cards winning 5-1 picking up $500. So that will put us at ...

17-10-1 +$2250

Now onto tonight ...

I really like the Clippers /Knicks over 191.5

The last 8 of 11 games have gone Over when the Clippers have traveled to play NY. But these guys have scored some high scoring games against each other, Out of the last 10 games needing 191.5 to win - 7 of 10 have gone Over. Out of those though a good amount 5 of those 7 have scored 220 or more points total. If THIS turns into one of those games we should have no problem hitting the first half total as well as the game total. So...

Clippers /NY Over 191.5 Risking $1100 to win $1000

Clippers /NY Over 1st H O96 Risking $1100 to win $1000

Ok here is the next pick

I like the Over in the Reds /Giants game . At 8 i will go Over. Heres why

17 of 25 games for the Giants have gone Over. 9 of 13 between these teams have gone Over. Both teams on Average give up over 8 runs a game and score just under 8.

Reds/Giants Over 8 risking $575 to win $500

Also a parlay on Reds/Giants Over 8 and the Clippers/NY Game Over 191.5 $500 to win $1285

[captrobey]

Wow this is looking really bad right now- all of these can lose.

[mynameismud]

87 points at half...all these guys want to do is start the playoffs. ive laid off the NBA since about 5 days ago just for the fact that these are like preseason games and way too unpredictable.

[captrobey]

87 points at half...all these guys want to do is start the playoffs. ive laid off the NBA since about 5 days ago just for the fact that these are like preseason games and way too unpredictable.

Yea i was not happy with that 1st half-have to hope they light it up rest of way or OT or something. Over at the Giants/Reds they scored and it is 4-2 going into 8th. Im praying for 2 runs by Giants that would give us the win.

[captrobey]

Well that was ugly as the parlay missed too . The bright spot was we squeezed out the 192 . So that helped a little . So we lose the Reds game

17-11-1 +$1675

Then lost the parlay +$1175

Then lost the 1st Half of NY 17-12-1 +$75

But squeezed out the NY over for $1000 so were at ...

18-12-1 +$1075

[captrobey]

Ok -rough time yesterday-lets right this ship. We are still 18-12-1 . Respectable but should be better . Looking at the early games i like the Mariners /Tigers Over 9 . Out of the last 5 4 of the Seattle played Detroit went Over. 4 of last 6 went Over for Detroit at home. Noesi gives up 9.49 ERA just by himself . So i am going with

Over Detroit /Seattle risking $500 to win $525 at +105

Also i am doing a $500 parlay -- The Over on this game plus leaving the 2nd open for now.

[captrobey]

Wow WTH is it with these 1 run misses. 3 Innings to get 1 run for the win. At least a push would win something if we hit with the other end of the Parlay. They had the chance in the 8th with a guy on 3rd with 1 out but of course they again do not score.

But it was a Push so we are at...

18-12-2 Plus the Parlay still alive to win something if we get a win .

[captrobey]

Ok here is the play for tonight. I am going with the Atlanta Hawks. Here's why...

This game we are veering off the numbers a bit.The numbers in a normal situation favor Dallas . However. Dallas should be resting their guys for the Playoffs. So they should not be playing their stars at all or a limited amount. Atlanta is still fighting for Home Advantage .

Atlanta Hawks -5 risking $1100 to win $1000

Atlanta Hawks -2.5 1st H to win $1000

And Atlanta to complete our $500 parlay .

[captrobey]

Ok next bet Padres/Nats Over 6.5

Both pitchers give up average over 8.5 runs a game

Risking $500 to win $500

[captrobey]

Sorry this was posted so late could not get it to enter into thread .

[captrobey]

Ok lets update

We gained in the Parlay with Detroit /Seattle Push and the Hawks win. That gained $455 so we are at

+$1530

Then we hit with the Atlanta Hawks first half -2.5 as they Blew Dallas away and that picks up $1000 putting us at

19-12-2 +$2530

But we are not done yet -we also hit for the game as Atlanta easily covered the -5 and picked up another $1000 putting us at

20-12-2 +$3530

[captrobey]

Ok unless a miracle happens in the next 2 innings this Padres/Nats game is a loss. Looks like we will just miss by 6 runs lol. So now unless i wake up tomorrow and get shocked we are at

20-13-2 +$3030

[captrobey]

All right lets get the picks in for tonight.

First i like the Over in the Marlins /Dbacks game . It is at 7.5. The total has gone Over 4 of the last 5 these two have played.Also 6 of the last 7 games for the Dbacks have gone Over. Both teams combined give up an average of Over 8 runs a game.

Dbacks/Marlins O7.5 Risking $550 to win $500

Also lets look at the Rays /Rangers game. Rangers are tough at home and all the numbers point that way. Texas is 11-2 SU last 13 games . They are a great 20-5 SU at home last 25 games. They edge the Rays out in almost every category. Rays have the edge in Off Walks,Off Ks and Def Ks but Rangers have the edge in Def Hits,Def Walks ,Off Hits ,Team ERA,Runs Scored and Runs Against.

Texas Rangers -143 risking $715 to win $500

Also a Parlay on Rangers -143 /and Over on Dbacks Over 7.5 Risking $500 to win $1122

[captrobey]

Wow this has turned into a really bad looking night. Rangers getting killed at home early 7-1 and Marlins Over looking bad.

[captrobey]

All right here is next bet -

The Over in the Padres game. Out of 17 games 12 have gone Over

Padres Over 7 to win $500

Padres 1st 5 Innings Over 3.5 to win $250

[captrobey]

Painful night so far

Marlins Over Miss so we go to

20-14-2 +$2480

Then the Parlay misses (Again) +$1980

And then the Rangers got killed (Just missed tying it with a GS

20-15-2 +$1265

[captrobey]

We pick up the win with the first 5 Innings with the Padres O2.5 and pick up $250

21-15-2 +$1515

[captrobey]

And there is the Win for the game for the Padres with an inning to spare with the Over 7 picking up $500 more

22-15-2 +$2015

[captrobey]

Wow what is really killing me is i am 0-6-1 on parlays since starting this thread. I need to start hitting these.

[captrobey]

Early bet i like the Soccer game with Newcastle United

The Over at 2.5 For $250 Both teams give up an average of over 3.0 goals a game.

[captrobey]

Ok this is a win as it is 4-0 at HT . So this will put us at...

23-15-2 +$2265

[captrobey]

I want to get to 100 bets-Once i get to 50 i will dissect where i am and how i am doing .

[captrobey]

Ok here we go into the Playoffs. First up is Bulls/Sixers

I love the Over at 175. Between both these teams out of the last 10 games looking at 175 as the number- 9 out of 10 have passed 175 .So 90% of their games have passed that . Also between these teams both score an average of almost 190 PPG and give up an average of 177.5 AVG a game.

Risking $1100 to win $1000 on the Over at 175

Next is the Twins/Royals game.

I like the Over in this one . Being at 8.5 both teams give up an average of Over 10 runs a game. Between these two the Twins at home out of the last 22 games 15 went Over . 4 Of the Last 5 between these two have hit the Over.

Twins/Royals risking $525 to win $500 on the Over 8.5

Also time to end this bad parlay run

A parlay on Twins/Royals Over 8.5 and Sixers Over 175 risking $500 to win $1300

[captrobey]

Over is looking good as they go into the 4th-but the other game was rained out but we still come out ahead with this win.

[captrobey]

Ok well we had one game rained out so that parlay does not get a total win but we will get something out of it...

First- Philly and Chicago hit the Over at 175 with 190 and we pick up $1000 so that puts us at...

24-15-2 +$3265

And we also pick up another $455 on the parlay-although not a double win it goes as a win and a push so that picks up $455 and puts us at...

24-15-2 +$3720

[captrobey]

Ok next game - Houston at Cinci--i like the Reds at -190 . Higher Juice but the numbers are good. Reds are 17-6 last 23 at home against Houston

Reds risking $950 to win $500