Captrobeys 1st betting thread

**captrobey** · 05-07-12, 09:32 PM

Ok

This has turned into Do or Die time. Whenever if you want the big cash-which i have hit before,i believe you must take a shot at one point. I am coming up on my 100 bets soon. So here is my shot.

I am going with the notion that my Parlay will hit. The 1st Part already won -now time to hit a big hit.I am attacking with a combination of bets that if the Over does Cover -these bets will automatically win Also. These are Alternative Lines. If i lose Outright i am basically done. If we hit the Over then every one of these hits.

Alt line Over 172.5 Risking $1500 to win $500

Alt line Over 177.5 Risking $925 to win $500

**captrobey** · 05-07-12, 11:03 PM

Games like this piss me off . Freakin 58 first qtr then they only score 38 second qtr. Good news is they are more then half way there at least and if it is close there should be fouling at end. The O/U for 2nd half is 91.5 and i need 85 for a push 86 for the win . So i still have a little edge .

**captrobey** · 05-07-12, 11:52 PM

So-58 first qtr-38 the 2nd-37 the 3rd. Unfknbelievable. Still doable needing 48 points for a push 49 for the win but this really is frustrating. 7 Missed FTs did not help either. Especially if i lose in the end by 2 or 3 points.

**captrobey** · 05-08-12, 12:39 AM

Yessssss !!! OT !!!!

**frogsrangers** · 05-08-12, 12:40 AM

Originally posted by captrobey

Yessssss !!! OT !!!!

Needed it too! Thought it was a lock after that 1st quarter

**captrobey** · 05-08-12, 01:07 AM

Originally posted by frogsrangers

Needed it too! Thought it was a lock after that 1st quarter

Yea i liked the 1st but i have had a couple games like that where they scored 60 first qtr and still end up losing . This pulled through thank God

**captrobey** · 05-08-12, 01:22 AM

Ok -Time to update

We lost with the Only Under i picked on this thread for Baseball losing with the Indians /WS Under

45-38-3

Then we Hit with the Grizzlies Over for $1000

Then we Hit with the Rangers for $1000

Then we hit With the Alt Line 172.5 for $500

Then we Hit With the Alt Line 177.5 For $500

Then We Hit the Parlay Rangers/Grizzlies Over 182 for $1223

Bringing Our New Total and Record to ....

49-38-3 $7243

**captrobey** · 05-08-12, 04:32 PM

Ok-We are coming down the Home Stretch. 10 More picks left. Even if i lose all 10 I STILL would end up with a Positive record . So lets finish this .We are at 49-38-3.Our total at $7243. Would it not br GREAT if i could pull off another $10000. Not saying i will -but it would be the 3rd this year if i do. Lets see if i can in the last 10 Games.

Tonight i am looking at the Phillies game. I like the Over at 8.5 Out of the last 14 games between these two-12 have gone Over. There should be a good amount of runs scored against Batista he has am ERA of 14.71 just himself.

Risking $1000 to win $1000

**captrobey** · 05-08-12, 09:34 PM

Ok-Well BI is down at the moment so this may be the only bet today. But we did get the Win with the Over in the Phillies Game. So our new total is...

50-38-3 $8243 With 9 Games To Go !!!

**captrobey** · 05-09-12, 12:05 PM

Ok- Time for the next Bet. Looking at the Reds/Brewers Over. Did not like the fact that both these pitchers give up an AVG ERA of little Over 5. But then i looked closer at the Numbers. This opened up at 7 now i got it at 6.5. Both teams score an AVG of 8 a game and give up An AVG ERA of closer to 9. But-with 6.5 as the number we are looking at meaning we need 7 for the win-Out of the last 10 meetings between these two 10/10 Have scored 7 runs or More.And 5 Of the last 7 at home for Brewers have gone Over.

Brewers/Reds Over 6.5 to win $1000

**ngates815** · 05-09-12, 12:07 PM

Cap...I know you're up a bit now...But that 8K doesn't include the 3 times you went went through your bankroll and "re-upped"

Record is correct, but Winning amount off.

Nice run these past few days.

**captrobey** · 05-09-12, 02:12 PM

Ok next bet

Rockies And Padres have scored an AVG of Over 8 a game and give up an AVG of Over 9 a game. Moscoso has an ERA of 11.58 and the Over is at 6.5 .

Over 6.5 Rockies/Padres to win $1000

Over 3.5 1ST 5 IN To Win $743

**boeing power** · 05-09-12, 02:15 PM

Originally posted by ngates815

Cap...I know you're up a bit now...But that 8K doesn't include the 3 times you went went through your bankroll and "re-upped"

Record is correct, but Winning amount off.

Nice run these past few days.

Or the times he misclicked and actually bet teams he didn't mean to bet.

**captrobey** · 05-09-12, 02:21 PM

Correct-this is just on this run. And i did not include that wrong click on my record . But it is on my total because i still got it.

**mynameismud** · 05-09-12, 02:25 PM

Originally posted by boeing power

Or the times he misclicked and actually bet teams he didn't mean to bet.

that 1k misclick was unreal.

**captrobey** · 05-09-12, 02:27 PM

Originally posted by mynameismud

that 1k misclick was unreal.

Yea i know but it happened. I did not even realize it until i had thought i lost and it did not show.

**captrobey** · 05-09-12, 03:18 PM

Not Liking how this is looking so far .

**mynameismud** · 05-09-12, 03:22 PM

4 games going on or are done and all have been a pitchers duel.

**captrobey** · 05-09-12, 04:23 PM

Originally posted by mynameismud

4 games going on or are done and all have been a pitchers duel.

Just hit the Over ashame both did not hit of course my luck with that earlier just missed HR but hey i will take it at this point .

**captrobey** · 05-09-12, 06:03 PM

Ok tonights picks

I am looking at the Marlins/Astros. I like the Over at 8.Both Pitchers give up 11 Runs a game . 14 of the last 21 at home for the Astros have gone Over.

Astros/Marlins Over 8 to win $1000

Astros/Marlins 1st 5 Innings Over 4.5 for $1000

**captrobey** · 05-09-12, 11:24 PM

Ok Lets update

Brewers /Reds lost

50-39-3

Rockies /Padres Lost 1st 5 Inning bet

50-40-3

Rockies/Padres won the game Over

52-41-3

Astros Over hit 1st 5 Innings

53-41-3

And we Pushed on the whole game for the Astros

53-41-4 So i am at $8300 With 2 games to go

**boeing power** · 05-09-12, 11:31 PM

What is your actual profit?
Not including games you forgot to post, or games you misclicked and thought you bet team A but really bet team B ,and times you reloaded and money your grandmother sent your account

You would make a great tout.

**captrobey** · 05-10-12, 12:04 AM

Originally posted by boeing power

What is your actual profit?
Not including games you forgot to post, or games you misclicked and thought you bet team A but really bet team B ,and times you reloaded and money your grandmother sent your account

You would make a great tout.

Yes but if you want my ACTUAL profit -cash i did not spend out of my own pocket, then it would have to include my misclick. I did not add that in to my record as a win but i did get that cash. The cash in the beginning i used was money i already won from RW . So that was money i had already won. The only cash of my own were the times i reloaded after that . I think that was 3 times at 550 a shot. so that would be $1650 . Right now at Betislands i am at $8300 . That includes my mis-click but that is still my actual profit. So my Actual Profit if i subtract the $1650 is $6650 . If you were to not include that mis-click then it would be less but it does not change the fact that it happened and i did pick up that money.

**captrobey** · 05-10-12, 12:22 AM

Ok -well i am down to the final 2 shots. It comes down to this. I would Love to cash out another $10000 . I would Love to do it while i am doing my 100 picks. I am down to my last 2 Picks. This means i need to Hit both at $1000 each to reach the $10000. Unless i lose both i still ended up with a decent profit. But i am close enough at the end here to take a shot. So two more picks and then we are done ......

**captrobey** · 05-10-12, 04:08 PM

Ok -we are down to our last 2 picks. Must nail both to cash out $10000. Here is tonights...

Going with the Toronto Blue Jays. They are at -140. The twins are absolutely horrible ,and the BJs beat them in every category except Def Walks and Def Ks. Every other category goes to the BJs.The twins are 1-6 last 7 VS the BJs.

Toronto BJs to win $1000.

**captrobey** · 05-10-12, 10:19 PM

Ok-Got the 1st of the last two games i needed. That is the good news. However i am a bit worried about BI . The site has been down ever since i made my earlier bet. There are rumors flying around the forum from just having server problems, to being hacked, and now some are saying they no longer have a domain . So idk what is going on especially since there is a large amount of my cash in there now.

I have never read anything bad about the book so hopefully they will come back soon. But in the meantime i will update where i am at after the win tonight.

So after tonight's win we are at...

54-41-4 $9300 with 1 game to go !!!

**fitguy67** · 05-11-12, 04:07 AM

good stuff CR...a 56.8% hit rate with reasonably-priced plays like this is definitely good enough to still do very nicely should one prefer a much more patient/more risk-averse approach to account growth...

please consider doing an encore set of 100 plays...and good luk with your sportsbook concerns

**captrobey** · 05-11-12, 08:56 AM

Originally posted by fitguy67

good stuff CR...a 56.8% hit rate with reasonably-priced plays like this is definitely good enough to still do very nicely should one prefer a much more patient/more risk-averse approach to account growth...

please consider doing an encore set of 100 plays...and good luk with your sportsbook concerns

Thanks Fitguy, my goal was to hit 60% and i came pretty close no matter how the final game turns out tonight.And i will consider doing another 100 plays sometime. After all is said and done though i hope i was able to win some people some cash who tailed (or faded me when i did parlays lol) .I have been on this site awhile now and just wanted to always try this to see how i would do.

**captrobey** · 05-11-12, 06:29 PM

Ok -Here we go -the final shot ...

We have reached the 100th bet. I have done what i said i would try . And the final bet here has turned out to be the most exciting bet of them all to me. It comes down to this. If i hit this bet i will be at $10000 in BetIslands. That would be great to do that during my 100 bet run. But to do it ON my 100th bet itself-What more exciting way to end a thread.

If i miss i will still of course try to get it to $10000 . But i would LOVE to pull this off on the span of the 100 bets. Either way i will come out nicely ahead. But with all the crap that happened with those few bad losses that would have hit large Parlays-this would be a great way to end this thread on a HUGE positive note. So...

It comes down to this . The final 100th bet...

The Blue Jays once again. The game last night if you watched it will sum up why i am going with them. That one play where the infield stood around on a routine pop-up and it falls between them should show the kind of season the Twins are having. It was like watching the Bad News Bears. You can tell the guy jogging in from 3rd that ended up scoring had no clue he was actually gonna score. That made it even more funny .All the numbers point to the BJs . So my final bet is..

Toronto Blue Jays to win $1000

If we miss it was a good run. If it hits..... $10000 to cash out !!!

**mynameismud** · 05-11-12, 06:33 PM

nice job cappy

**captrobey** · 05-11-12, 06:41 PM

Originally posted by mynameismud

nice job cappy

Thanks Mud-It was a pleasure chatting with you on this thread .You and Fitguy both gave me words of encouragement and ngates gave me some ideas on how to keep track of things .

**chips1031** · 05-11-12, 06:49 PM

nice keep up the good work

**captrobey** · 05-11-12, 07:19 PM

Originally posted by chips1031

nice keep up the good work

Thanks- if i go to do this again(And i most likely will) i will try to do what i did here again with better luck on the Parlays lol.

**captrobey** · 05-12-12, 12:20 AM

Damn so fkin close -you walk i think it was 9 batters that cost me the game 7-6 Oh well.

**fitguy67** · 05-12-12, 03:43 AM

i'll never forget that one week where we had 3/4 mlb games get all but 1 run early in the game and then strand literally dozens of baserunners on third with 0/1 outs, inning-after-heartbreaking-inning...followed by the playoff meltdown of the century by memphis...if Murphy's Law broke down in any one of those multi-mooses you would have easily hit your targets instead of falling just short, but still very profitable