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Now lets update ...
The Reds hit with a nice easy win 6-0 picking us up $500 .So our total now is...
25-15-2 +$4220Comment -
Time for tonight's games...
Let us look at the Red Sox /White Sox. Looking at these teams they average scoring between the two 10 runs a game. They also give up defensively a total of 10 runs a game . 7 out of the last 9 between these two went over. So the play is...
Red Sox/White Sox Over 7.5 risking $550 to win $500
Also looking at the Playoff game between the Pacers /Magic.
4 of last 6 between them have gone Over. I think this one will too. So
Pacers/Magic Over 191.5 risking $1100 to win $1000Last edited by captrobey; 04-28-12, 07:14 PM.Comment -
Ok i am going with the notion they cover the spread
Orlando Over 2nd Half Over 97 Risking $1000 to win $870Comment -
Wow not good -i think i have to hope for OT in the Pacers game. Red Sox losing too .Comment -
Ok unless we get a miracle OT win lets move on ...
Going with the Over with the Mavericks at 192.5 -10 of last 14 have gone over for Dallas on the road.
Mavericks Over 192.5 risking $1100 to win $1000
Mavericks Over 1st H Over 98 risking $1100 to win $1000Comment -
Ok lets get this- I still believe this goes Over which is exactly what we need for the 2nd half so...
Mavericks Over 95 2ns Half $1150 to win $1000Comment -
Ok lets catch up here
First we lost the Red Sox that was for $550 so that puts us at...
25-16-2 +$3670
Then lost the Pacers /Magic that was $1100
25-17-2 +$2570
Then lost the 2nd H Pacers /Magic that was $1000
25-18-2 +$1570
Then we had our comeback- We got the Mavericks Over 192.5
26-18-2 +$2570
Followed by winning the first Half Mavericks Over 98 with a last Second 3-pointer buzzer beater that picked up $1000
27-18-2 +$3570
And we finished by hitting the 2nd Half Mavericks Over 98 that picked up another $1000
28-18-2 +$4570
So up to date we are at ---- 28-18-2 +$4570Comment -
Ok here we go-a big Sunday coming up.
Looking at the games i am looking at the Red Sox.At -128 and Beckett looking much better i will go with them.Boston is also 5-0 SU on the road when playing the WS.
Boston Red Sox risking $640 to win $500
Then i am looking at the early playoff game. Looking at the Spurs i like the number. The line is higher but i am gonna go with the numbers. The biggest being that the Spurs are PERFECT ATS in last 10 games. Going 9-0-1 .They are a nice 11-3-1 ATS at home against Utah. I am buying a half a point here because a couple games they pulled out a win by 12 so that .5 point could actually make a difference.
San Antonio Spurs -10.5 risking $1200 to win $1000
Also a parlay but since the spread is higher this one will be for $250
Parlay Spurs(-11)/Red Sox Risking $250 to win $600Comment -
Ok lets as we are hoping the Red Sox come back look at the next game. Padres and Giants
I like the Over at 7 . Both teams score an average of slightly Over 7 runs a game and Give up Just Over 8 a game. But i like the stat that 13 of 19 these two have played have gone Over.
Padres/Giants Over 7 risking $575 to win $500Comment -
Ok last picks for tonight.
I like Boston against Atlanta. Celtics have a more Veteran team and they are rested. They are 4-2 SU last 6 against Atlanta.
Boston +1.5 (buy .5 point) risking $1200 to win $1000
Then onto the Grizzlies.I think they will be fired up for this game. Clippers are 1-4 ATS last 5 games.
Grizzlies -5.5 risking $1100 to win $1000
And a parlay Grizzlies -5.5 and Boston +1 risking $400 to win $1040Comment -
Ok i am going for Grizzlies 1st half -3 risking $1100 to win $1000Comment -
Ok to update a bit
We lost with the Red Sox
28-19-2 +$3930
And lost on the Parlay with them +$3680
Then lost with the Celtics damn you ref
28-20-2 +$2480
And the Parlay on them +$2080
And lost with Padres O7 28-21-2 +$1505
Then won $1000 with the Spurs
29-21-2 +$2505
And hit with 1st H Grizzlies for $1000
30-21-2 +$3505
And the Grizzlies game still going but looking good so far ....Comment -
Unfking real. WTH is it with all these games that lose like this. This is five now that should have won but somehow a miracle happened and i lose.They had a 22 point lead with under 8 left. Unreal.
30-22 -2 +$2506Comment -
I should be more mad but the reality is since i have been getting a bunch of losses along this line i am mad but not as mad as i should be. It is more like here we go again .Comment -
Ok lets go with the Over in the Marlins. Both give up close to 8 runs a game
Over 7.5 Marlins risking $550 to win $500Comment -
Ok nothing like a nice easy win after that insane hell of a game last night . Marlins go over the 7.5 runs and that picks up $500
31-22-2 +$3006Comment -
Ok lets keep this new streak going.
Kansas City /Detroit- I like the Over at 8.5 . Both these teams score an average of Over 9.5 runs a game. KC has gone Over 4 of last 6 games. 5 of 7 detroits at home have gone Over.
KC/DETROIT Over 8.5 risking $575 to win $500
Plus i am using this game and leaving a second spot open for a parlay for $500Comment -
Ok 2nd bet
Knicks /Heat Over 186 to win $1000
I think these two are way overdue for a higher scoring game.
Also they will complete the parlay.Last edited by captrobey; 04-30-12, 08:41 PM.Comment -
cap, what online book u with that allows open-ended parlays (i'd guess 5dimes)...i've never placed an open-ended parlay like this, but am intrigued by the flexibility it gives
General q first...When u open up one of these open-ended parlays, I'd assume u must specify exactly how many games will be included in it before it's finally graded (cuz it'd be to the book's disadvantage if you could just keep adding winners till YOU decide to stop). Is my assumption correct?
Specific question about today...u opened a two-game parlay and specified the KAN/DET over as the first leg of it...then the game was postponed...what happens? Does the Knicks/Heat over complete your parlay that started with a push, or must you "make up" for the postponed game, making Knicks/Heat over your new game-1 of a two-teamer?
Whatever, i'm on the over tonight too, BOLComment -
Ok lets update ...
Knicks/Heat got the Over easily so our total there is
32-22-2 +$4006
Then we got a push and tie with the Parlay
32-22-2 $4561
Next bet...
Looking at Padres/Brewers
Both these pitchers have an ERA of almost almost 12 runs a game. The Over has hit 7 of last 10 Padres Home games. It has hit the Over 8 of 11 last Brewers road games.
Padres /Brewers Over 6.5 risking 525 to win $500Comment -
Hi Fitguy
The book my cash is in right now is Rebatewager. They have a place upper left corner that says open Spots. You pick the amount of open spots you want and enter it. Then when i am ready i just go on live chat and tell them what the open game is.
If a game is rained out(Happened to me 2xs ) on a parlay-the parlay is treated as a win and a push. So you still win something just not as much as it could have been. So i already as you see above cashed in something for that which although is not as great as two wins at least i pulled out something which is generally the same amount as a straight bet on the game that won.Comment -
Here we go again. 2nd and 3rd nobody out and they cannot score.Comment -
thanks, let's get 'em tomoro...btw, the memphis loss yesterday is the leading nominee for "heartbeaking bad-beat of the year"...and is predicted to be in the running for bad-beat of the decade a few years down the road...
you often get amazing comebacks...you often get amazing collapses...but yesterday you had'em both going full tilt simultaneously...cuz nothing less than that could erase 22 points withing the last 8 minutes of a PLAYOFF game, no less..."where amazing happens", indeedComment -
Ok there is the easy win as it turns out Padres /Brewers picking us up $500. So that puts us at...
33-22-2 +$5061Last edited by captrobey; 04-30-12, 10:34 PM.Comment -
PAST THE HALFWAY POINT
Time to reflect . OK-lets see. We are now more than halfway to the 100 bets that i said i would do. Looking at how i am doing there is good and there is bad.
THE BAD
Well-to put it simply, the Parlays have killed me. 0-7-3 is my up to date total. I do not consider a push and a win a win --i consider that a push even though i won something. That is just how i look at it. A win to me is when both games win. Although i do pick up something for a push and a tie.
Out of my 22 loses so far --- 5 were (including the other nights beyond insane non-cover with the Grizzlies.)losses that should have won. Games that i absolutely thought were gonna win but insanity intervened and they lost. What i mean by this is say losing by a run when they had the bases loaded 5 times and a guy on 3rd repeatedly with 0 outs and cannot score . Like the Double OT game where they gave up the lead in the last 4 minutes then has a chance to cover in not just the last shot of regulation but the last shot of the 1st OT . There were 5 of those types of games.
The thing that REALLY killed was that 2 of the Parlays that lost involved 2 of those games. That cost me big time. But not getting a single Parlay is what really hurt me.
THE GOOD
Well - at this point 33-22-2 is not bad . My goal by the end is to be at 60%. I am on pace for that. I am not where i think i could have been but overall it is not bad.
Being at $5061 is not totally bad either. Although it should be higher. But even though i missed some tough Parlay losses -the fact that they missed like that is actually good. It shows that if i keep this pace up i should hit some because those type of losses that cost me normally would not. Out of all the wins i got only 1 was really a miracle win. So i should be due for some going my way now. If that bigger Parlay would have hit that would have put me at $7500 instead of $5061. So you can see where hitting the Parlays would have helped make a difference.
So-with that being said my goal is to land a couple Parlays as i take this toward the 100 bets. And to finish at least 60%. If i can do that i will come out i would think-over $10000 . Right now i have about $2500 more then that in RW . Yes these bets you see on here i am making the exact same ones on RW. Except i have a cushion to work with as i hit a couple bets before i started this thread. So as you see $5061 i am in RW about $7500 . So-if i do reach $10000 on this thread by the end i can once again cash out $10000 and still have $2500 to leave in there to maybe try again.
So Overall i am doing Okay- Now lets finish the second half of my run. Keep the pace and finish at 60% . Hopefully i am helping some of you with these picks and someone had won some cash .Comment -
Ok here we go...
Huge attack on tonight. Going heavy on 2 games and a Parlay.Both will be Playoff NBA games .
First -looking at the Lakers -4.5 against the Nuggets. Lakers are 20-4 SU at home vs the Nuggets. Although they are not great VS the spread this is a different matter. Lakers size outdid the Nuggets last game and it should be the same here. They are playing more inspired and being at home will help. I bought .5 point to bring it to -4.5 . I like that number i feel they should cover that.
Lakers -4.5 risking $1200 to win $1000
Next -we move to the Bulls-Sixers game. D Rose is out of course. Do not think it will matter Bulls are still the better team .They have played fine without him before.Against a better team then Sixers it may matter but not here. Bulls are 7-1 SU last 8 against Sixers at home. They are 38-27-1 ATP VS Sixers 34-32 ATS . I like those numbers.
Bulls -6.5 risking $1100 to win $1000
And lets get this tonight with a big Parlay hit---
Bulls -6.5 /Lakers-5 Risking $500 to win $1300
We are WAYYYYYY overdue for hitting a parlay . LETS GET THIS !!!!!!Comment -
Ok not looking good with sixers. Lets look at Angels Over 8.5 . Both pitchers are high ERAs .Combined 16 between both. Plus 17 of last 25 have gone Over.
Risking $550 to win $500 Over 8.5
Plus a Parlay on Angels Over 8.5 and Lakers -5.5 Risking $500 to win $1300Comment -
Ok an update-not a great night
We lose the Sixers game
33-23-2 +$3961
Then lose the Angels game
33-24-2 +$3411
Then lose the Parlay again with Angels
33-24-2 +$2911
And Parlay with Sixers +$2411Comment
