Captrobeys 1st betting thread

**captrobey** · 05-02-12, 12:14 AM

Wow unreal -another bad beat. by half a fking point.

33-25-2 +$1311

**captrobey** · 05-02-12, 10:01 AM

Ok this afternoons picks-

Mets game i like the Over 8. Both teams score Over 8 runs a game average. They give up almost 9 a game Average.11 of 15 games at home for Houston have gone Over.

Over Mets 8 Risking $550 to win $500

The i like the Detroit game. I think they win outright here.Detroit edges them out in almost every category. Detroit is 5-0 SU last 5 against KC.I am going with 2 bets here.

Detroit -275 Risking $1375 to win $500

Detroit -1.5 risking $625 to win $500

Parlay $500 Detroit -1.5 /Over Mets 8 risking $500 to win $1183

Parlay $500 Detroit -275/Mets O 8 risking $500 to win $775

I am pretty much risking almost everything left in RW with this one so wish me luck.

**crackerjack** · 05-02-12, 10:12 AM

Good luck...hope you aren't on tilt and chasing last night's losses.

**captrobey** · 05-02-12, 12:27 PM

Originally posted by crackerjack

Good luck...hope you aren't on tilt and chasing last night's losses.

Ya i am a bit mad but i am so overdue for a parlay to hit. Athough it is 1-0 KC early

**crackerjack** · 05-02-12, 01:10 PM

Yeah Detroit hasn't got a hit yet... This ones not looking good. Went all in on a steamer...not good. Ive been there.

**crackerjack** · 05-02-12, 02:38 PM

Cashed on mets...you might actually pull in a profit

**captrobey** · 05-02-12, 03:15 PM

Originally posted by crackerjack

Cashed on mets...you might actually pull in a profit

I have never had as much bad luck as i have had then on this thread. I did not hit a single damn Parlay despite the fact i am picking Over 50% for my picks. This was another tough loss (Of course i have had NO breaks on any great wins ) and this pretty much did me in as i went from $7000 down to fking $1300 in RW. Just really Frustrating.

So Mets wins and that is all

34-25-2 +$1811

And then i get murdered

Detroit Blows it 34-26-2 +$436

Detroit -1.5 Loses 34-27-2 - $189

Both Parlays Lose -$1189

So i have about left in RW $1400 -a couple days ago i was at $7000 so these Hard losses have killed me. Last night Lakers game with the last second bucket (Even though they were down 6 )they went for 2 instead of 3 which made no sense. To the game today coming back late and giving up a run with 2 outs T9th and he threw it right down the middle up in the count 1-2. Bad beat after bad beat yet i am still at 34-27-2 Go figure .

**captrobey** · 05-02-12, 05:34 PM

Ok last chance to stay alive . I have 1400 left to work with.

Padres Over 6.5 parlay with Orlando Over 183.5 500 to win 1218

Also Orlando 906 to win 824

Orlando has gone Over 6 last of 7 at home .

**captrobey** · 05-02-12, 09:10 PM

Ok goin with giants Over 7 Both give up Over 7 runs and score Over 7 runs AVG combined.

Giants O7 to win $500

**captrobey** · 05-02-12, 09:36 PM

Ok well that cash is RW is gone. So i will start from where i am at cashwise . But keep the record i have had until i reach 100 bets.

Padres lost 34-28-1

Orlando Over lost 34-29-2

Now i redeposited $500 so i have a bit Over that . I finally get a run early in 1st with Giants game. It has seemed like forever where i have had a guy on 3rd with 0 or 1 out and they score. So early it is 1-0

**captrobey** · 05-03-12, 12:45 AM

Wow i think the wheels are falling off

34-30-2

**captrobey** · 05-03-12, 12:34 PM

Ok next bet

I like the Pirates Over 7 -6 of 7 last games have gone Over

I just deposited Bet Islands just thinking maybe a different book will change my luck lol. So that is $500 and a FP of 35% . I need to do a RO of 9xs but that is fine i would not cash out unless i got it to $5000 anyways.

Pirates Over $598 to win $478

FP to win $140

**captrobey** · 05-03-12, 04:13 PM

Finally a nice win . That Pirates Over puts us at

35-30-2 And i am at BI $1200

**crackerjack** · 05-03-12, 04:30 PM

Good luck...I hope you can turn it around

**mynameismud** · 05-03-12, 04:37 PM

cappy, you had to reload? that sucks, you were running pretty hot for a while there.

**captrobey** · 05-03-12, 05:11 PM

Originally posted by crackerjack

Good luck...I hope you can turn it around

Ty me too -finally ended a bad losing streak

**captrobey** · 05-03-12, 05:14 PM

Originally posted by mynameismud

cappy, you had to reload? that sucks, you were running pretty hot for a while there.

Yea i was Mud -despite having a winning record the Parlays KILLED me. Keep in mind most of what i lost was money i was ahead with . So yes i did reload but i still feel if i can get to about 60% wins i should be able to nail a Parlay or two.The Pirates game ended what felt like a forever bad run and i am still up a few games wins to losses.

**boeing power** · 05-03-12, 05:17 PM

Forget the parlays man, you would be up nicely if you stuck to straight bets.

**captrobey** · 05-03-12, 05:50 PM

OK 2nites Picks

First -The Heat /Knicks
I like the Over in this at 186 .Last one they scored 198-think this one goes there too.

Then i have a Parlay on The Over Heat /Knicks and Indians Over 8.5 I like that Both pitchers give up a good amount of runs . Between both they are at about 11.5 . Plus 5 of 6 for Cleveland on road have gone Over

Heat Over 186 Risking $716 to win $669

And Heat Over 186 / Cleveland Over 8.5 risking $500 to win $1300 Parlay

**captrobey** · 05-03-12, 05:59 PM

Originally posted by boeing power

Forget the parlays man, you would be up nicely if you stuck to straight bets.

Yea i would be up that is for sure. Problem is even though my record is more wins then losses i have still missed every Parlay. I have hit for $10000 2xs in the last 3 months and part of that is when i was nicely up i hit a parlay. I was up to $7000 in RW but i missed every one so it backfired. I still believe in them though.If i would have hit when up there that would have been a 3rd time i would have cashed out $10000. If you feel you can hit over 50% in picks and do a well placed parlay here and there -you will end up really getting your bankroll up. Problem now was it just backfired on that run.

**captrobey** · 05-03-12, 07:25 PM

Not the best 1st Half-either they score a lot in 2nd half and foul a ton at the end or have OT .

**crackerjack** · 05-03-12, 07:45 PM

The over is done without at least two OTs...sorry. You've just hit a losing streak. Lower your stakes

**mynameismud** · 05-03-12, 07:49 PM

yep, over is toast. on pace for like 160 points if that.

**captrobey** · 05-03-12, 08:09 PM

Yea even OT would not probably help unless it was Triple OT lol .

**captrobey** · 05-03-12, 08:18 PM

Hey i only need 72 More !!! Let dream a little here. It is close enough that if it stays this way maybe we can get lucky and get OT. If they can score say 50 points 4th qtr that leaves 22 points needed going into OT . And that is doable. And i do have to say this game at the moment has that OT feel to it . Yes- I can dream.And i have had losses as insane as the description i just told you lol.

**captrobey** · 05-03-12, 08:46 PM

Ok my last bet-this loses i will take a break and just give picks. Do not wanna give back the $20000 i won lol.

Mavericks Over 193.5 and Blue Jays Over 7 530 to win 1396 Parlay or burn

**crackerjack** · 05-03-12, 09:16 PM

I faded you on these....sorry. I think you're a really good capper who is on a steamer chasing loses and that never works out. I think the angels game could hit of the two but I bet since it's a parlay you don't hit both. I like your idea of taking a break...I'll still follow your picks.

**captrobey** · 05-03-12, 09:58 PM

Wow WTF 58 1st qtr 33 2nd .

**captrobey** · 05-03-12, 09:59 PM

Originally posted by crackerjack

I faded you on these....sorry. I think you're a really good capper who is on a steamer chasing loses and that never works out. I think the angels game could hit of the two but I bet since it's a parlay you don't hit both. I like your idea of taking a break...I'll still follow your picks.

Dont blame you the way my luck has been lol

**captrobey** · 05-03-12, 11:26 PM

What a rut i am in.

Dallas was not even close -pretty frustrating when they score 58 1st qtr then 33 the 2nd. And despite a 3-run homer in the 3rd the Blue Jays lost too.

35-33-2

At least Cleveland won

36-33-2

**captrobey** · 05-04-12, 12:37 PM

Ok- after thinking about it i redeposited. I figure i may as well finish what i started. I said i would do 100 bets and see where i am and i am staying with that.I am still up nicely from the cash i won before so i am okay .I am only like 30 bets from getting to the 100 so lets finish this.

Next bet-Cubs Over 7.5

Yes the wind is blowing in . But only at 7MPH . Both teams give up an average of Over 8 runs a game.4 of last 5 the Dodgers played here have gone Over.

Cubs O7.5 Risking $531 to win $558
FP $to win $184

**mynameismud** · 05-04-12, 12:50 PM

Originally posted by captrobey

Ok- after thinking about it i redeposited. I figure i may as well finish what i started. I said i would do 100 bets and see where i am and i am staying with that.I am still up nicely from the cash i won before so i am okay .I am only like 30 bets from getting to the 100 so lets finish this.

Next bet-Cubs Over 7.5

Yes the wind is blowing in . But only at 7MPH . Both teams give up an average of Over 8 runs a game.4 of last 5 the Dodgers played here have gone Over.

Cubs O7.5 Risking $531 to win $558
FP $to win $184

another reload cappy? you might want to think about lowering your bet size...just saying. at least til you get back to running hot.

**crackerjack** · 05-04-12, 01:16 PM

Why are you stuck on overs? Fading again...nothing personal. Oh and it's now at 7...hope the hook doesn't bite you.

**captrobey** · 05-04-12, 01:48 PM

Originally posted by mynameismud

another reload cappy? you might want to think about lowering your bet size...just saying. at least til you get back to running hot.

Yea i know i figure i have to believe in the numbers they have done well in the past for me.

**captrobey** · 05-04-12, 01:49 PM

Originally posted by crackerjack

Why are you stuck on overs? Fading again...nothing personal. Oh and it's now at 7...hope the hook doesn't bite you.

the Unders have been killing me but i normally go Over because i think Over has a better Chance then Under especially if the trends point that way. Of course nothing is guaranteed but i think if you go with the numbers it increases your chances.