Most insane bluff I've ever seen

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 05-31-24, 09:48 AM

Good one, Jake.

1) Huge $$ figures in play.

2) River was not a Spade. Could have been even dirtier. Does Texas have many Ax boats?
...As played, I don't think Texas puts this guy on a Straight.
...The turn Call implies Ax. So, Texas likely thinks he has Trip aces, not a Str8.

3) I'm not going to ever question the Str8 guy.
...How can you call that bet?

Where does Texas play? Wow, he might be ripe. He didn't even have T2 (spades).

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 05-31-24, 12:08 PM

Those Dollars are outside my tax bracket. So, I'm not judging:

*To my point above, if you ASKED Texas what hand he put that guy on?
...Surely it would be a good Ace. So, a hand like AT that now improved to Trips.

A few things stick out to me:
1) Consider the Pre-Flop action. Texas has to put Hook on Ax.
2) He bet flop with just a Gutshot. And drilled it!
3) The Texas Turn Raise = him saying that he has Sets + the Straight.
4) Based on the action, I'm sure that Texas puts Hook on a high Ax. AK/AQ/AJ/AT. An Ax that is above the possible Ax boats.
5) The sizing is insane. I'm not saying that Hook should call. But his hand is > Trips. Straight is only losing to Boats. And that's a very disguised holding in this hand.

Lastly, I've only seen the Double Check-Raise a few times during the same hand. So strong that you'd say he almost has to "have it."

I did play a bit pot recently. Flopped top 2Pair on a KQT board.
...I got check-raised on Flop. I called.
...Turn was a brick. I bet small, got called.
...Admittedly, chicken-outed on river. Opponent could have AJ or TT. Viable holdings during the hand. If I get check-Raised a 2nd time on River, I would have figured that I'm beat.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 05-31-24, 12:31 PM

Very interesting hand. I now am thinking about it differently:

*Is Texas repping HOOK's hand?

...Straight is so high in the Range. I really think that Texas thinks he's betting Hook off a big Ax.

What about Hook's River sizing? Would he bet that much with Ax?

Insane bluff. Even Dwan was blown away.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 06-01-24, 09:27 AM

I ran this hand thru Solver. First, consider that they're super Deep. 400BB Effective stack.

Acknowledge that Humans play differently than Machines.

FLOP is Ace-hi with 3 to a Wheel.
*Texas - Solver mostly likes a check. Can mix a few lead-outs with 73/63.
*Hook - Recommends betting 60% of the time. Calls for checking big Pocket Pairs below the A (KK/QQ/JJ). 87c is a nice bet, the Gutshot is very disguised.
...Texas: Small portion of Check-raises. 55/44/A5/32 and 3x bluffs (63/73).

TURN is the 6.
*Texas - Solver again likes a small portion of lead-outs on the 3x and 2x bluffs.
*Hook - The 6 is gin, and the implied Odds are huge on this card. Solver rates his equity at 94%.
...What hands are Raising Hook's Turn bet? The 678 is so key to this range.
...Solver's recommended raises are the TOP end of the Straight. Which is right into Hook's HAND!
...The mix of Raises = 88/87/66 and some bluffs like 93/83.
...Note that the 2x hands should be viewed as DEAD by now.
*Hook's reaction to the Raise is spot-on. Solver recommends no re-Raise.
...Call with 2Pair+, 77, and 88. 98 is a sneaky call with the prospect of rivering a 7.

River = Ace, which Pairs the board.
*Texas - is supposed to check virtually his entire Range.
*Hook - Solver recommends betting all Boats. The bluff bets are 76 and 98.
...Amazingly, Solver recommends checking 87. The straight is no longer the Nuts.
...There's enough $$ in there. Solver may view the Str8 as a bluff-catcher against the Texas range.
*Texas - against Hook's action, Solver views 87 as a Call. Shove All In with 66 and other Boats.
*Hook - Solver indeed would Fold 87. Amazingly, Solver would Fold 55 70% of the time. It has to be a bigger Boat.

**JAKEPEAVY21** · 06-01-24, 10:19 AM

That Texas Mike guy must be filthy rich the way he plays and is enjoyable to watch as he seems to have no value of money.

I saw a clip yesterday where he lost a huge pot to Alan Keating(another wild player very fun to watch) and they said he was down around $2.75 million on the streams.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 06-01-24, 10:50 AM

Originally posted by JAKEPEAVY21

That Texas Mike guy must be filthy rich the way he plays and is enjoyable to watch as he seems to have no value of money.

I saw a clip yesterday where he lost a huge pot to Alan Keating(another wild player very fun to watch) and they said he was down around $2.75 million on the streams.

Ya, that fun only lasts so long. The insane bluffs should have better blocker value. Guess he was repping 32.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 06-01-24, 11:05 AM

Jake, this guy's all over the place.

If he flops a Draw, he goes All In:

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 06-01-24, 11:46 AM

24:00 Watch this hand. Ha-ha-ha.

**JAKEPEAVY21** · 06-01-24, 12:18 PM

Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat

Ya, that fun only lasts so long. The insane bluffs should have better blocker value. Guess he was repping 32.

Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat

Jake, this guy's all over the place.

If he flops a Draw, he goes All In:

Not sure what his profession is? Perhaps he's got some of that Texas oil money?

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 06-01-24, 12:55 PM

Exactly, Jake. His dad must be an executive at an Oil Company.

It was very telling to watch the Opponents at the table. They were lining up to get him All In with their Ace-hi or medium Pocket Pair.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 06-01-24, 09:54 PM

More of this guy. Holy shit, is he loose:

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 06-01-24, 10:10 PM

Insane hand. Face-mask guy rivers Str8. But he mucks it.

Misread his hand? Gives pot to Steve, who was making strange comments all nite.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 06-02-24, 01:24 AM

Been reading the Youtube comments:

1) Sounds like Tex Mike's parents are indeed wealthy. So, the Oil angle may not be make-believe.
2) This guy seriously might have a learning disability. His VPIP is to the moon.

On the T2 hand, if he had T2(s) I could see it more.
...If he was repping 32, there's actually a scenario where he could have had 32 and be dead to 87.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 06-14-24, 02:39 PM

Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat

I ran this hand thru Solver. First, consider that they're super Deep. 400BB Effective stack.

Acknowledge that Humans play differently than Machines.

FLOP is Ace-hi with 3 to a Wheel.
*Texas - Solver mostly likes a check. Can mix a few lead-outs with 73/63.
*Hook - Recommends betting 60% of the time. Calls for checking big Pocket Pairs below the A (KK/QQ/JJ). 87c is a nice bet, the Gutshot is very disguised.
...Texas: Small portion of Check-raises. 55/44/A5/32 and 3x bluffs (63/73).

TURN is the 6.
*Texas - Solver again likes a small portion of lead-outs on the 3x and 2x bluffs.
*Hook - The 6 is gin, and the implied Odds are huge on this card. Solver rates his equity at 94%.
...What hands are Raising Hook's Turn bet? The 678 is so key to this range.
...Solver's recommended raises are the TOP end of the Straight. Which is right into Hook's HAND!
...The mix of Raises = 88/87/66 and some bluffs like 93/83.
...Note that the 2x hands should be viewed as DEAD by now.
*Hook's reaction to the Raise is spot-on. Solver recommends no re-Raise.
...Call with 2Pair+, 77, and 88. 98 is a sneaky call with the prospect of rivering a 7.

River = Ace, which Pairs the board.
*Texas - is supposed to check virtually his entire Range.
*Hook - Solver recommends betting all Boats. The bluff bets are 76 and 98.
...Amazingly, Solver recommends checking 87. The straight is no longer the Nuts.
...There's enough $$ in there. Solver may view the Str8 as a bluff-catcher against the Texas range.
*Texas - against Hook's action, Solver views 87 as a Call. Shove All In with 66 and other Boats.
*Hook - Solver indeed would Fold 87. Amazingly, Solver would Fold 55 70% of the time. It has to be a bigger Boat.

Re-visiting this hand. When I first saw this hand, my jaw dropped. I later watched more Texas Mike video. Post #12 is amazing. This guy literally could blow thru $100Mill if it was at his disposal.

On the T2 hand versus Hook, I actually think the Ace on the River SAVED Texas Mike. Imagine that the River is more of a brick, like a Q. He might put Hook on AQ and rep the Set or small Str8 with 32.

If River = Q, I think Mike would do the same thing. Check-Raise All In trying to fold out Top 2 Pair. No, he'd be betting into the Nuts.