Fly Me #3 "The Resurrection" Sports Talk,Good Tunes,Great Times, Anything Goes

**KVB** · 09-08-18, 11:14 AM

I'm just not happy with my current reporting of plays. It's all plays and little learning. Posting is a pain.

Thought about killing the Total Return Fund, backing off of SBR a bit and focusing on my trading room. Maybe just keep the Total Return Fund going and stop tracking anything else. I don't know.

Maybe just blast FlyMe with 100's of plays. Need to post graphs here so you can see the ups and downs.

I need some direction, like when I used to power post March Madness or playoffs. I don't really want to power post NCAAF season, lol.

**KVB** · 09-08-18, 11:36 AM

Doves? Are you going to go pro and play BTP?

**KVB** · 09-08-18, 11:37 AM

That jam.

**turtledoves** · 09-08-18, 11:42 AM

no pro bro

biggest discrepancy was on georgia state

**KVB** · 09-08-18, 11:52 AM

Probably going to hear me vent every weekend on what a pain in the ass it is to post and bet.

**KVB** · 09-08-18, 12:08 PM

My first BTP play...

Iowa State vs Iowa Under 47 (-115)NCAAF [General]
09/08/18 05:00 PM ET

**KVB** · 09-08-18, 01:09 PM

Added MLB Contrarian Fund plays...

Ch Cubs vs Washington Nationals Under 8 (-105)MLB [General]
09/08/18 03:05 PM ET

Houston Astros vs Boston Red Sox Under 8.5 (-111)MLB [General]
09/08/18 04:05 PM ET

Cleveland Indians vs Toronto Blue Jays Under 9.5 (-125)MLB [General]
09/08/18 04:07 PM ET

N.Y. Yankees vs Seattle Mariners Under 8.5 (-108)MLB [General]
09/08/18 09:10 PM ET

**turtledoves** · 09-08-18, 02:49 PM

Originally posted by turtledoves

oklahoma over 64

had this at a 60.5

**KVB** · 09-08-18, 03:44 PM

Looking for a market read here at one point.

See here's what I'm tracking at SBR right now and the threads. If I rotated into the Total Return Fund I put the plays there, except for the MLB Contrarian Fund, which is in both and tracked separately with SBR prices, not sure why at this point.

MLB Contrarian...both threads for now.

NCAAF Totals...Total Return Fund.

NCAAF Market Reads...Total Return Fund

NCAAF ATS/ML...FlyMe.

NCAAF UPSET Basket...FlyMe but probably going to wish I had bought into this basket already for the Total Return Fund.

**KVB** · 09-08-18, 04:46 PM

Added some moneylines to the Contrarian Fund but the contest page has the WASH game messed up because of a change, I think.

I picked up WASH +139 over CHC and...

Ch Cubs vs Washington Nationals Under 8 (-105)MLB [General]
09/08/18 03:05 PM ET

Houston Astros vs Boston Red Sox Under 8.5 (-111)MLB [General]
09/08/18 04:05 PM ET

Cleveland Indians vs Toronto Blue Jays Under 9.5 (-125)MLB [General]
09/08/18 04:07 PM ET

N.Y. Yankees vs Seattle Mariners Under 8.5 (-108)MLB [General]
09/08/18 09:10 PM ET

Detroit Tigers +154MLB [General]
09/08/18 06:10 PM ET

L.A. Dodgers -136MLB [General]
09/08/18 08:10 PM ET

**stevenash** · 09-08-18, 05:01 PM

https://twitter.com/ESPNCFB/status/1038521205001789440/video/1

**KVB** · 09-08-18, 05:08 PM

Originally posted by stevenash

https://twitter.com/ESPNCFB/status/1...789440/video/1

**KVB** · 09-08-18, 05:18 PM

Originally posted by KVB

My first BTP play...

Iowa State vs Iowa Under 47 (-115)NCAAF [General]
09/08/18 05:00 PM ET

Originally posted by KVB

I have added a play to the NCAAF Market Reads fund with IOWA ST/IOWA UNDER 46.5 (-101)...

**stevenash** · 09-08-18, 05:32 PM

If I saw your thread I would have doubled down.

**KVB** · 09-08-18, 05:44 PM

Hey Doves,

Tonight we see Michigan State play Arizona St.

Can you see how, in one particular sense, that the market is "selling" Arizona State? Or at least giving a reason to buy them?

The stacking forecast has Michigan State winning by 4.5 points, putting those numbers on the sideline.

**stevenash** · 09-08-18, 06:11 PM

4 and 4.5 are tough numbers.

**KVB** · 09-08-18, 07:58 PM

Doves, I'm about to make a market read on Michigan St, maybe make it a BTP play as well.

**KVB** · 09-08-18, 08:22 PM

Mich St -4.5 just dropped to even money.

I've been waiting for this move.

**KVB** · 09-08-18, 09:16 PM

Originally posted by KVB

The NCAAF Market Reads Fund has picked up MICHIGAN ST -4.5 (+100) and -185 over ARIZONA ST...

**KVB** · 09-08-18, 10:39 PM

Forgot to put Mich St. it in BTP, doh!

**KVB** · 09-09-18, 12:45 AM

The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund since inception, through 264 plays, with SBR prices, links, etc...

8-Sep	CHC/WASH UNDER 8 (-105)	-1
	LAD -136	-1
	HOU/BOS UNDER 8.5 (-111)	0.9
	CLE/TOR UNDER 9.5 (-125)	-1
	NYY/SEA UNDER 8.5 (-108)	0.93
	DET +154	1.54
	WASH +139	1.39

	Sat	1.76

	Week 1	3.64
	Week 2	4.73
	Week 3	-5.88
	Week 4	2.15
	Week 5	1.32
	Week 6	-1.04
	Week 7	-3.81
	Mon	1.28
	Tue	-1.25
	Wed	2.15
	Thu	-1
	Fri	-0.64

	Total	3.41

**KVB** · 09-09-18, 01:02 AM

Here are the NCAAF spreads and moneylines and a crude measure against the closing line...

Record	Date	NCAAF ATS/ML Fund	1 Unit	Closing	Beat	BTC ATS	BTC ML
ATS			per bet	Line	Closer?	Average	Average

0-1	30-Aug	WAKE -6.5 (-105)	-1	-7.5	Y	1
	1-Sep	MIA (OH) -125	-1	-110	N		0.15
0-2		SMU +3.5 (-109)	-1	3	Y	0.5
1-2		WASH ST -3 (-103)	0.97	3	PUSH	0
		MICH -130	-1	-151	Y		0.21
2-2	2-Sep	LSU +3 (+105)	1.05	3	PUSH	0
2-3	3-Sep	FLORIDA ST -7 (-110)	-1	-7.5	Y	0.5
2-4	8-Sep	N MEX ST +23 (-105)	-1	21.5	Y	1.5
3-4		KANSAS +3 (+105)	1.05	3	PUSH	0
4-4		COLORADO +3 (-105)	0.95	3	PUSH	0
4-5		UMASS +1.5 (-102)	-1	1.5	PUSH	0
4-6		FRESNO ST + 1 (-110)	-1	0	Y	1
5-6		CAL +3 (-110)	0.91	2	Y	1

5-6-0		Total	-3.07		7-1-5	0.5	0.18

**KVB** · 09-09-18, 01:04 AM

Here's the Upset Basket...

Date	NCAAF UPSET Basket	1 Unit	Closing	Beat	BTC ML
		per bet	Line	Closer?	Average

30-Aug	KENNESAW ST +130	-1	120	Y	0.10
	UC DAVIS +120	1.2	120	PUSH	0.00
1-Sep	MARSHALL +120	1.2	-102	Y	0.22
	SMU +150	-1	143	Y	0.07
	MTENN ST +130	-1	134	N	-0.04
8-Sep	FLOR INT +115	1.15	-154	Y	0.69
	DUKE +130	1.3	126	Y	0.04
	ARI +157	-1	150	Y	0.07
	KANSAS +167	1.67	134	Y	0.33
	COLORADO +142	1.42	141	Y	0.01
	IOWA ST +155	-1	145	Y	0.10
	UMASS +125	-1	107	Y	0.18
	FRESNO ST +115	-1	-110	Y	0.25
	CINCI +105	1.05	101	Y	0.04
	CAL +145	1.45	111	Y	0.34

	Total	3.44		13-1-1	0.16

**KVB** · 09-09-18, 01:27 AM

**Fidel_CashFlow** · 09-09-18, 06:07 AM

Rams over 10 (-120)

Vikes over 10 (-129)

Seahawks under 8 (-150)

small play on Giants over 7 (-130)

**KVB** · 09-09-18, 11:24 AM

I am retiring the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund tracking at SBR for this year.

Officially. One more weight off my shoulders.

**turtledoves** · 09-09-18, 11:33 AM

**turtledoves** · 09-09-18, 11:41 AM

**turtledoves** · 09-09-18, 11:48 AM

**KVB** · 09-09-18, 11:56 AM

Originally posted by turtledoves

Buf +7.5

Thought about this, but took a shot with Indy instead for BTP...

INDIANAPOLIS 0 (+100)NFL [General]
09/09/18 01:00 PM ET

**turtledoves** · 09-09-18, 12:09 PM

**turtledoves** · 09-09-18, 03:13 PM

**KVB** · 09-09-18, 03:19 PM

Originally posted by KVB

I am retiring the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund tracking at SBR for this year.

Officially. One more weight off my shoulders...

Two plays today were Toronto +170 and Under 9 in Boston.

Toronto won...lol.

BTP plays...

Kansas City vs L.A. Chargers Under 48.5 (-115)NFL [General]
09/09/18 04:05 PM ET

Dallas vs Carolina Under 42 (-105)NFL [General]
09/09/18 04:25 PM ET

**KVB** · 09-09-18, 03:26 PM

Good Call on TB Doves, I missed that play.

Giants and Bills turrible, just turrible.

I have 9 NFL plays, none of them posted but the BTP Under in Carolina, but I did have the Giants +3.5.

If I see the opportunity, I'll buy into the KVB NFL Fund but I am not tracking it until then. Which could be week two, or could be week 5,who knows?

**turtledoves** · 09-09-18, 03:28 PM