Fly Me #3 "The Resurrection" Sports Talk,Good Tunes,Great Times, Anything Goes

**turtledoves** · 05-09-19, 09:51 PM

thanks Bostongarbage

**ThaTopMoron** · 05-09-19, 11:35 PM

Originally posted by KVB

**turtledoves** · 05-10-19, 08:30 AM

losers

**KVB** · 05-10-19, 08:54 AM

The KVB MLB Contarian Fund picked up...

952

10-May

MIL/CHC UNDER 8.5 (-108)

I see some 8's out there, some even at (-105), that's a decent play.

**turtledoves** · 05-10-19, 11:07 AM

Originally posted by KVB

All out and it's gone. I doubt the next batch will as good.

Got some of this...

Percentage is low 20's but it's still good medicine.

usually need more than 12 to find a winner

**KVB** · 05-10-19, 12:01 PM

Originally posted by turtledoves

usually need more than 12 to find a winner

I dunno, it says out of 12 selected.

Maybe they started with many more, way early on, but at least of the 12 it says it was consistent. The Phone Home is ok, I am putting a live resin on top, so the potency doesn't really matter at that point...lol.

LNG up big, I suppose I could get used to these recent trade tensions. Sold CQP options last friday for profit but am down just as much on those LNG calls. Strike price is 70 with 5-31 and 6-21 dates.

Making a comeback.

Can't believe I was up just after the market open trying to buy an MLB Total in Wrigley. Trying to get in before it dropped to 8 with a juicy UNDER.

**turtledoves** · 05-10-19, 01:17 PM

some metrics point to a cubs loss today

**KVB** · 05-10-19, 01:23 PM

LNG stock pressing upward even more today.

Earnings a revenue good enough and Cheniere execs don't think the trade issues will impact them, yet.

Milwaukee the contarian side there but the play just isn't that good. I think MIL is the sharp move, and the line moved with some of those trades.

I passed but the UNDER 8.5 made it 7.5.

The Contrarian Fund is down just about 8.5 units. Down nearly 10 units on Totals alone this year.

That should catch up.

**KVB** · 05-10-19, 01:27 PM

Originally posted by KVB

The KVB MLB Contarian Fund picked up...

952

10-May

MIL/CHC UNDER 8.5 (-108)

I see some 8's out there, some even at (-105), that's a decent play...

Should start a "Beat the Closer Fund" and just make plays that try to beat the closing only.

They don't try to win, they just try to beat the closer.

**turtledoves** · 05-10-19, 01:27 PM

made it back to green

**turtledoves** · 05-10-19, 01:28 PM

starting the totals analysis,

mets under is looking like a huge lock

**KVB** · 05-10-19, 02:43 PM

Originally posted by KVB

...The KVB MLB Contrarian has two more additions...

908	9-May	ARI -101
909		WAS +136

Looking for a favorable market with the later games...

The Fund had another rain out on an OVER 9 bet. There were 5 runs in the 5th.

I'd almost rather see volatility and getting a chuck of units back as opposes to the stability, but stability is better than falling. We've seen 3 plays get rained out, one was a +134.

What if they had all been winners? So hard to get cut and dry when trying to determine market direction.

I can say this, the read posted above was not only correct, but also implies favorable market conditions for the Contrarian short term. It could be a good weekend, or at least Friday and Saturday, with a potential settlement style pull back on Sunday.

Those types of pullbacks will help reset impatient unit players who are up, as they bet more and give it back. This includes bettors who are less subtle with their impatience, those who are betting a percentage of the current bankroll. That increased Sunday bet gives back more than the win percentages and prices show.

But we're not there yet. I'm just offering my best prediction, right now, for this weekend which is in part based on the market turn late last night.

Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund after Thursday and through 162 plays...

903	9-May	SF +152	-1
908		ARI -101	0.99
909		WAS +136	1.36
911		CHW/CLE OVER 9 (-105)	-
919		CIN/OAK OVER 9 (+100)	-1

		Thu	0.35

		Weeks 1-5	-1.32
		Week 6	-5.13
		Mon	-2.05
		Tue	-1.77
		Wed	1.35

		Total	-8.57

Here's the KVB MLB RL Fund through 24 plays as week 7 remains stable...

957	6-May	MIA +1.5 (+110)	1.1
973		ARI +1.5 (-105)	-1
923	7-May	KC +1.5 (+100)	1
927		ARI +1.5 (-125)	-1
957	8-May	MIA +1.5 (+100)	1
961		ATL +1.5 (-105)	-1
977		ARI +1.5 (-155)	0.65
901	9-May	MIA +1.5 (+100)	-1
909		WAS +1.5 (-155)	0.65

		Week 7	0.4

		Weeks 1-5	-4.92
		Week 6	-1

		Total	-5.52

**KVB** · 05-10-19, 03:49 PM

The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has picked up...

980

10-May

KC +131

There are a lot of plays on the radar today. It could a be a big fade the public Friday tonight, whether or not plays make the Fund.

KC made it, just happy the line stayed over +130 for the trigger.

**KVB** · 05-10-19, 04:19 PM

The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has added...

955	12-May	PIT +146
977		CLE +147

**turtledoves** · 05-10-19, 04:54 PM

looking at the rockets under

**KVB** · 05-10-19, 05:02 PM

Originally posted by KVB

The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has added...

955	12-May	PIT +146
977		CLE +147

...

Obviously this is supposed to say May 10th, not 12th.

**KVB** · 05-10-19, 07:30 PM

Detroit a solid contrarian play and just out of the target circle.

Also, the UNDER in KC a strong contrarian play but not in the Fund.

A couple of big dogs out there tonight, let's see what kind of market we get.

**KVB** · 05-10-19, 08:41 PM

**turtledoves** · 05-10-19, 10:24 PM

looking forward to some nice melons this summer

**Bostongambler** · 05-10-19, 10:35 PM

And with any luck and the right surgeon you will have your melons this summer, turtlesoup

**turtledoves** · 05-10-19, 11:24 PM

**KVB** · 05-10-19, 11:29 PM

Originally posted by Bostongambler

And with any luck and the right surgeon you will have your melons this summer, turtlesoup

**KVB** · 05-10-19, 11:32 PM

Originally posted by turtledoves

looking forward to some nice melons this summer

Didn't you and your lady have enough after last summer's embarrassment?

**turtledoves** · 05-10-19, 11:41 PM

word

**turtledoves** · 05-10-19, 11:51 PM

legal sports betting in indiana

**KVB** · 05-11-19, 12:09 AM

Originally posted by KVB

...I can say this, the read posted above was not only correct, but also implies favorable market conditions for the Contrarian short term. It could be a good weekend, or at least Friday and Saturday, with a potential settlement style pull back on Sunday...

952	10-May	MIL/CHC UNDER 8.5 (-108)	0.93
955		PIT +146	1.46
977		CLE +147
980		KC +131	1.31

		Fri	3.7

Cleveland is going to the 12th vs Oakland, tied 3-3.

**KVB** · 05-11-19, 12:10 AM

Originally posted by turtledoves

who cares about using prepaid anymore right?

https://www.extractlabs.com/product/gelato-cbd-crumble/

Interesting.

Might make a purchase.

**KVB** · 05-11-19, 12:34 AM

Originally posted by KVB

...I can say this, the read posted above was not only correct, but also implies favorable market conditions for the Contrarian short term. It could be a good weekend, or at least Friday and Saturday, with a potential settlement style pull back on Sunday...

Even though the Contrarian Fund navigated the day pretty well, it wasn't exactly a good day for the overall contrarian market. Cle, Tex, Det, Sea, Balt, Mia, SF, and to a much lesser extent SD all failed today.

Pit, KC, ATL and to a much lesser extent Mil and even NYY succeeded today. I'm listing the teams here because after Saturday's I may refer back to see which teams are prime for the settlement mentioned above, and which ones may be looking to succeed as settlement on Sunday.

Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund through all 166 plays, not a bad comeback considering the Fund was at a season low -10.27 after Tuesday the 7th...

952	10-May	MIL/CHC UNDER 8.5 (-108)	0.93
955		PIT +146	1.46
977		CLE +147	-1
980		KC +131	1.31

		Fri	2.7

		Weeks 1-5	-1.32
		Week 6	-5.13
		Mon	-2.05
		Tue	-1.77
		Wed	1.35
		Thu	0.35

		Total	-5.87

There were no Contrarian RL plays today.

**KVB** · 05-11-19, 09:17 AM

The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has picked up...

904

11-May

MIL/CHC UNDER 8 (-115)

**turtledoves** · 05-11-19, 10:44 AM

word

**turtledoves** · 05-11-19, 11:27 AM

**KVB** · 05-11-19, 12:07 PM

The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has added...

917	11-May	DET +150
919		CHW+150

**turtledoves** · 05-11-19, 12:22 PM

go white sox

and sharks too i guess, this is the signal to bet them

**turtledoves** · 05-11-19, 12:27 PM

RIP Big Moe

**turtledoves** · 05-11-19, 01:01 PM