Fly Me #3 "The Resurrection" Sports Talk,Good Tunes,Great Times, Anything Goes

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  • DiggityDaggityDo
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 11-30-08
    • 81454

    #83791
    More like:

    Comment
    • KVB
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 05-29-14
      • 74817

      #83792
      Comment
      • Da Manster!
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 07-13-07
        • 17720

        #83793
        Originally posted by DiggityDaggityDo
        More like:

        what I tell you bout stealin' Fidels private home videos?...
        Comment
        • KVB
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 05-29-14
          • 74817

          #83794
          For much of the day and even by the close of the markets PIT was one of the "sharpest" plays we've seen in a week. There were many factors making it an ideal play and we were glad to get the meager price we got.

          That money fell huge and it's nothing more than an attempt to scare off so many successful strategies down the stretch here because it's not what they bring; it's how they bring it.

          Despite the debacle in PIT, it was a good day for the Funds.

          Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund through 538 plays...

          902 19-Aug PIT +107 -1
          903 SD +138 1.38
          914 TEX +102 1.02
          Mon 1.4
          Weeks 1-5 -1.32
          Weeks 6-10 -1.23
          Weeks 11-15 -4.9
          Weeks 16-20 6.19
          Week 21 4.49
          Total 4.63
          Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian RL Fund through 88 plays...

          917 19-Aug DET +1.5 (+182) 1.82
          Week 22 1.82
          Weeks 1-5 -4.92
          Weeks 6-10 -4.59
          Weeks 11-15 4.86
          Weeks 16-20 -4.55
          Week 21 -1.13
          Total -8.51
          Like I said, we are expecting to win more units than we lose over the near term and the rest of the season in the RL Fund. Today was a start.

          Comment
          • KVB
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 05-29-14
            • 74817

            #83795
            Here's the Totals breakdown. The UNDERs, of which there were 10 in a row from Aug 13 to Aug 18 continue to under perform.

            KVB MLB Contrarian Fund TOTALS performance:
            19-Aug 1 Unit
            per bet Wins Loss Push Cancel Total
            OVER 4.83 35 28 1 1 65
            UNDER -8.69 48 54 5 3 110
            Total -3.86 83 82 6 4 175
            19-Aug Plays Units
            Overall 538 4.63
            Totals 175 -3.86
            ML's 363 8.49
            Hitting nearly + 8.5 units on the moneyline here, and just getting back half the mistakes on the moneylines would double the ML's ROI.

            It's the UNDERs, which are nearly twice as many plays as the OVERs that are holding the market back and negating all of the Fund's moneyline profit.

            Again, post collapse, the chart looks healthy, it just takes patience...



            Comment
            • KVB
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 05-29-14
              • 74817

              #83796
              Comment
              • KVB
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 05-29-14
                • 74817

                #83797
                Roll up a fat one and pass it around.

                I want to get blunted my brother.

                Comment
                • KVB
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 05-29-14
                  • 74817

                  #83798
                  Originally posted by KVB
                  DET, OAK, and TOR are all on the Contrarian RL Fund radar.

                  Anyone paying any attention knows we are hoping for more opportunity in that Fund as we believe we are turning a market corner for the rest of this year and then some. In fact, after being down -10.33 units, I've increased my stake and thus my units in the Fund, hitting a +182 for the increased unit.

                  This is likely to be effective at least through this year...
                  In one week all the charts I've posted previously will be deleted, but I've saved all those screen shots by date. It doesn't really matter, I thin my points have been made with the charts and there are some football ones I still want to go over.

                  I kind of wish I had posted all those basketball plays I made last season. There was a great comeback and those charts would be great too. It's better than football because we have more plays to chart, it's more meaningful, like MLB.

                  The RL Fund only has 88 plays, but the chart still shows patterns...



                  Comment
                  • KVB
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 05-29-14
                    • 74817

                    #83799



                    Comment
                    • KVB
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 05-29-14
                      • 74817

                      #83800
                      PIT on the Contrarian Fund radar again.

                      Just got a bad feeling about these guys and while we normally see some give and take in the marketplace between teams, sometimes noticeably after extreme results, Pit seems like a literal pitfall here.

                      If it triggers it triggers, and it might trigger.

                      Comment
                      • KVB
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 05-29-14
                        • 74817

                        #83801
                        Comment
                        • KVB
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 05-29-14
                          • 74817

                          #83802
                          The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has picked up...

                          955 20-Aug MIA +225
                          971 DET +240


                          Comment
                          • KVB
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 05-29-14
                            • 74817

                            #83803
                            The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has added...

                            952 20-Aug PIT +144
                            Going to the well again. Again, PIT and the UNDER very decent contrarian plays.

                            Comment
                            • KVB
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 05-29-14
                              • 74817

                              #83804
                              Comment
                              • turtledoves
                                SBR MVP
                                • 08-27-17
                                • 3398

                                #83805


                                Last edited by turtledoves; 08-20-19, 05:44 PM.
                                Comment
                                • KVB
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 05-29-14
                                  • 74817

                                  #83806


                                  Watch them all...

                                  Comment
                                  • KVB
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 05-29-14
                                    • 74817

                                    #83807
                                    Afternoon strawberry cooler hitting me hard, lol.

                                    Just waiting for DET +1.5 to pull off of +125.

                                    Looking for a little +130 here.

                                    Comment
                                    • turtledoves
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 08-27-17
                                      • 3398

                                      #83808
                                      gonna have some new outs soon



                                      Comment
                                      • KVB
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 05-29-14
                                        • 74817

                                        #83809
                                        The KVB MLB Contrarian RL Fund has picked up...

                                        971 20-Aug DET +1.5 (+130)
                                        Caught the 130.

                                        OAK and TOR both still on the RL Fund radar.

                                        Comment
                                        • KVB
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 05-29-14
                                          • 74817

                                          #83810
                                          Both big dogs with the early 1-0 lead.

                                          Comment
                                          • KVB
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 05-29-14
                                            • 74817

                                            #83811
                                            The KVB MLB Contrarian RL Fund has added...

                                            979 20-Aug TOR +1.5 (+150)


                                            Comment
                                            • KVB
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 05-29-14
                                              • 74817

                                              #83812
                                              Comment
                                              • Da Manster!
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 07-13-07
                                                • 17720

                                                #83813
                                                Originally posted by KVB
                                                Are we playing Charades?...hmmm!...I got it!...Pornograffiti!...(Extreme's album)
                                                Comment
                                                • KVB
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 05-29-14
                                                  • 74817

                                                  #83814
                                                  Comment
                                                  • KVB
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 05-29-14
                                                    • 74817

                                                    #83815
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Da Manster!
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 07-13-07
                                                      • 17720

                                                      #83816
                                                      Originally posted by KVB
                                                      damn I belched!...
                                                      Comment
                                                      • KVB
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 05-29-14
                                                        • 74817

                                                        #83817
                                                        The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has picked up...

                                                        913 21-Aug CHW +163
                                                        It's an early game today.



                                                        Comment
                                                        • KVB
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 05-29-14
                                                          • 74817

                                                          #83818
                                                          Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund through 541 plays...

                                                          952 20-Aug PIT +144 1.44
                                                          955 MIA +225 -1
                                                          971 DET +240 -1
                                                          Tue -0.56
                                                          Weeks 1-5 -1.32
                                                          Weeks 6-10 -1.23
                                                          Weeks 11-15 -4.9
                                                          Weeks 16-20 6.19
                                                          Week 21 4.49
                                                          Mon 1.4
                                                          Total 4.07
                                                          Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian RL Fund through 90 plays...

                                                          917 19-Aug DET +1.5 (+182) 1.82
                                                          971 20-Aug DET +1.5 (+130) -1
                                                          979 TOR +1.5 (+150) -1
                                                          Week 22 -0.18
                                                          Weeks 1-5 -4.92
                                                          Weeks 6-10 -4.59
                                                          Weeks 11-15 4.86
                                                          Weeks 16-20 -4.55
                                                          Week 21 -1.13
                                                          Total -10.51

                                                          A few mistakes between both Funds and everything is even.

                                                          Here's the RL Fund chart, we see a lot more of a chance for the chart to rise, than fall...



                                                          Could I be underestimating the effects of the juiced ball on the favorites winning, and by how much?

                                                          Could that be making a difference with this particular set of 90 runline plays?

                                                          Originally posted by KVB
                                                          ...Now the extra runs do favor the favorites, in fact, a place where LT is negative, but it would be very, very difficult for LT to move forward business wise with his method if forced to speculate on just what the adjustment would be moving forward in the season.

                                                          Maybe there's just not enough data, maybe there are just too many assumptions to make and few ways to test them to make a decision to invest...
                                                          Will be interesting to see.

                                                          Comment
                                                          • stevenash
                                                            Moderator
                                                            • 01-17-11
                                                            • 65147

                                                            #83819
                                                            And now for something completely different.

                                                            Rhiannon Gidden can harmonize like no other.
                                                            And she's dreamy too.
                                                            Give it a chance fellas.
                                                            Your pal Nasher wouldn't steer you wrong. (OK maybe he would but not this time)


                                                            Comment
                                                            • DiggityDaggityDo
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 11-30-08
                                                              • 81454

                                                              #83820
                                                              Originally posted by KVB
                                                              Comment
                                                              • KVB
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 05-29-14
                                                                • 74817

                                                                #83821
                                                                Originally posted by Da Manster!
                                                                damn I belched!...
                                                                Comment
                                                                • DiggityDaggityDo
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 11-30-08
                                                                  • 81454

                                                                  #83822
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • stevenash
                                                                    Moderator
                                                                    • 01-17-11
                                                                    • 65147

                                                                    #83823
                                                                    Originally posted by DiggityDaggityDo
                                                                    I like the pussy.
                                                                    Whaaaa? I was talking about the cat.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • KVB
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 05-29-14
                                                                      • 74817

                                                                      #83824
                                                                      The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has added...

                                                                      907 21-Aug MIA +173
                                                                      917 LAA +113
                                                                      925 PHI +150


                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • DiggityDaggityDo
                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                        • 11-30-08
                                                                        • 81454

                                                                        #83825
                                                                        Ya'll probably gonna want an Oreo cookie after you smoke up.

                                                                        Just ONE cookie.

                                                                        Comment
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