Fly Me #3 "The Resurrection" Sports Talk,Good Tunes,Great Times, Anything Goes

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  • KVB
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 05-29-14
    • 74817

    #84316
    Comment
    • KVB
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 05-29-14
      • 74817

      #84317
      Originally posted by turtledoves
      barely made it to the gas station

      seems 2016 was the year of the unders for ncaaf...
      I think you are off a line or a digit.

      I think you mean to say 2017, or 2006.

      Amirite?

      Last edited by KVB; 09-03-19, 01:10 AM.
      Comment
      • Da Manster!
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 07-13-07
        • 17720

        #84318
        Originally posted by KVB
        The NCAAF UPSET Basket has added...

        385 7-Sep STANFORD +135

        I guess it all comes down to whose 2nd string QB is better...Stanford's or USC?...I know USC QB
        JT Daniels tore his ACL and is done for the year...Is KJ Costello out this week for the Cardinal?
        Comment
        • turtledoves
          SBR MVP
          • 08-27-17
          • 3398

          #84319
          Originally posted by KVB
          I think you are off a line or a digit.

          I think you mean to say 2017, or 2006.

          Amirite?

          might have something to do with the 55,000 point totals in my db. only big Daddy can get lines that good

          The query was around the ratio of lines dropping to lines rising. 2016 showed 55-57%

          was working on sanitizing the data. loop over all the intraday odds and compare them to the median. any difference of > 15 is bad data. didn't see any 15 point movement at first glance. will have to have different checks depending on the sport and type of line. might have to manually correct a few that are close to the threshold.

          comparing to other books would be best, first check can eliminate the obvious errors
          Comment
          • KVB
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 05-29-14
            • 74817

            #84320
            The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has picked up...

            959 3-Sep SD +142
            971 DET +137
            973 LAA +159
            978 MIL +139


            Comment
            • KVB
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 05-29-14
              • 74817

              #84321
              The KVB MLB Contrarian RL Fund has pickedup...

              975 3-Sep TOR +1.5 (+100)
              978 MIL +1.5 (-115)

              Comment
              • KVB
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 05-29-14
                • 74817

                #84322
                Originally posted by Da Manster!
                I guess it all comes down to whose 2nd string QB is better...Stanford's or USC?...I know USC QB
                JT Daniels tore his ACL and is done for the year...Is KJ Costello out this week for the Cardinal?
                Costello is still questionable, not sure if you saw the hit, it looked a bit dirty, with no penalty called...

                Good bit on it here...



                I'm all over Stanford plus money here, especially with the USC QB out. This game should have been a pick em and the line has already dropped to and then off of 3.

                The Funds made the right calls here.

                As far as the Stanford QB, it doesn't look like he was concussed, or he would be out on protocol. Instead, he's listed as questionable.

                He might play. Liking both the Stanford moneyline and spread bets here.

                Comment
                • KVB
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 05-29-14
                  • 74817

                  #84323
                  The NCAAF UPSET Basket has added its 7th plays this week...

                  317 3-Sep SYRACUSE +115
                  Cuse was favored here but that line moved the other way, it could hit 3 and the ml could get better, but the +115 will be acceptable for the UPSET Basket. Who knows, it might even drop when the limits raise and some groups come in against the public betting.

                  It's tough sometimes, the way these lines bounce around...

                  Comment
                  • DiggityDaggityDo
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 11-30-08
                    • 81454

                    #84324
                    Originally posted by KVB
                    Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund through 587 plays...

                    915 2-Sep BAL +251 -1
                    Mon -1
                    Weeks 1-5 -1.32
                    Weeks 6-10 -1.23
                    Weeks 11-15 -4.9
                    Weeks 16-20 6.19
                    Week 21 4.49
                    Week 22 0.58
                    Week 23 -10.25
                    Total -7.44
                    The Fund has lost 4 straight plays and 5 of the last six. While all units are tracked one unit per bet, I have capitalized on the increasing units when the Fund was down about -12 units, around play 400 (a double bottom) and pulled back when we were up around 2 units.

                    After the non volatile sideways action following the run from the bottom, anyone paying attention could have seen this drop coming.



                    Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian RL Fund through 105 plays...

                    911 2-Sep TEX +1.5 (+100) 1
                    919 TOR +1.5 (+125) -1
                    Week 24 0
                    Weeks 1-5 -4.92
                    Weeks 6-10 -4.59
                    Weeks 11-15 4.86
                    Weeks 16-20 -4.55
                    Week 21 -1.13
                    Week 22 3.21
                    Week 23 -5.85
                    Total -12.97


                    ^^^^^^^ Hot Diggity Dog!!!

                    You guys see that ass??????
                    Comment
                    • Bostongambler
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 02-01-08
                      • 35581

                      #84325
                      It’s scrumptious!!!! 🤭🤭🤭
                      Comment
                      • turtledoves
                        SBR MVP
                        • 08-27-17
                        • 3398

                        #84326
                        Last edited by turtledoves; 09-03-19, 09:22 PM.
                        Comment
                        • Bostongambler
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 02-01-08
                          • 35581

                          #84327
                          Best of luck turtlesoup
                          Comment
                          • KVB
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 05-29-14
                            • 74817

                            #84328
                            Was waiting for the next page, so I could post this...



                            Did you see it^^^^?
                            Comment
                            • Bostongambler
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 02-01-08
                              • 35581

                              #84329
                              Yup ....
                              Comment
                              • KVB
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 05-29-14
                                • 74817

                                #84330
                                Originally posted by Bostongambler
                                Yup ....
                                How about this one...



                                Did you see it ^^^^?
                                Comment
                                • Bostongambler
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 02-01-08
                                  • 35581

                                  #84331
                                  No, I didn’t see it on that one. 😞
                                  Comment
                                  • Bostongambler
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 02-01-08
                                    • 35581

                                    #84332
                                    I see something but can’t freeze it
                                    Comment
                                    • KVB
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 05-29-14
                                      • 74817

                                      #84333
                                      Originally posted by Bostongambler
                                      I see something but can’t freeze it
                                      Well, then.

                                      Here's a double shot to make up for it...

                                      Comment
                                      • Bostongambler
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 02-01-08
                                        • 35581

                                        #84334
                                        Yes, but I’ll need to have a closer look in person. Could you arrange that ? Please & thank you.
                                        Comment
                                        • DiggityDaggityDo
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 11-30-08
                                          • 81454

                                          #84335
                                          I saw them all.
                                          Comment
                                          • KVB
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 05-29-14
                                            • 74817

                                            #84336
                                            Originally posted by Bostongambler
                                            Yes, but I’ll need to have a closer look in person. Could you arrange that ? Please & thank you.
                                            Go right ahead. Pardon the plastic, I don't know where your hands have been...

                                            Comment
                                            • DiggityDaggityDo
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 11-30-08
                                              • 81454

                                              #84337
                                              Originally posted by KVB
                                              Go right ahead. Pardon the plastic, I don't know where your hands have been...

                                              Comment
                                              • Bostongambler
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 02-01-08
                                                • 35581

                                                #84338
                                                WTF Earl?????
                                                Comment
                                                • KVB
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 05-29-14
                                                  • 74817

                                                  #84339
                                                  Just in case you might miss this ass, I went ahead and covered it in purple glitter...



                                                  Let me know if you saw it. You know, that ass ^^^^.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • KVB
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 05-29-14
                                                    • 74817

                                                    #84340
                                                    She knows how to get it in the hole...

                                                    Comment
                                                    • KVB
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 05-29-14
                                                      • 74817

                                                      #84341
                                                      Comment
                                                      • turtledoves
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 08-27-17
                                                        • 3398

                                                        #84342
                                                        why didn't the cow place her bet?

                                                        she was waiting for the line moovement
                                                        Last edited by turtledoves; 09-03-19, 10:17 PM.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • DiggityDaggityDo
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 11-30-08
                                                          • 81454

                                                          #84343
                                                          Originally posted by turtledoves
                                                          why didn't the cow place his bet?

                                                          he was waiting for the line moovement
                                                          How much was he looking to steak?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • DiggityDaggityDo
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 11-30-08
                                                            • 81454

                                                            #84344
                                                            Originally posted by KVB
                                                            She knows how to get it in the hole...

                                                            I want to get into HER hole.

                                                            Her butthole.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • turtledoves
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 08-27-17
                                                              • 3398

                                                              #84345
                                                              Originally posted by DiggityDaggityDo
                                                              How much was he looking to steak?
                                                              whatever she could milk together

                                                              cows are female
                                                              Comment
                                                              • turtledoves
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 08-27-17
                                                                • 3398

                                                                #84346
                                                                Originally posted by DiggityDaggityDo
                                                                I want to get into HER hole.

                                                                Her butthole.
                                                                rectal exam?

                                                                all jokes aside, remember to get regular colonoscopies
                                                                Comment
                                                                • DiggityDaggityDo
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 11-30-08
                                                                  • 81454

                                                                  #84347
                                                                  Originally posted by turtledoves
                                                                  whatever she could milk together

                                                                  cows are female
                                                                  I call bull shit
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • KVB
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 05-29-14
                                                                    • 74817

                                                                    #84348
                                                                    Making a case that it's better than a coin flip...



                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • KVB
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 05-29-14
                                                                      • 74817

                                                                      #84349
                                                                      Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund after 591 plays and I can't help but think about the 5 units in mistakes earlier in the season and then 3 more two weeks a go...

                                                                      959 3-Sep SD +142 -1
                                                                      971 DET +137 -1
                                                                      973 LAA +159 -1
                                                                      978 MIL +139 1.39
                                                                      Tue -1.61
                                                                      Weeks 1-5 -1.32
                                                                      Weeks 6-10 -1.23
                                                                      Weeks 11-15 -4.9
                                                                      Weeks 16-20 6.19
                                                                      Week 21 4.49
                                                                      Week 22 0.58
                                                                      Week 23 -10.25
                                                                      Mon -1
                                                                      Total -9.05
                                                                      Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian RL Fund after 107 plays, having an even week...

                                                                      911 2-Sep TEX +1.5 (+100) 1
                                                                      919 TOR +1.5 (+125) -1
                                                                      975 3-Sep TOR +1.5 (+100) -1
                                                                      978 MIL +1.5 (-115) 0.87
                                                                      Week 24 -0.13
                                                                      Weeks 1-5 -4.92
                                                                      Weeks 6-10 -4.59
                                                                      Weeks 11-15 4.86
                                                                      Weeks 16-20 -4.55
                                                                      Week 21 -1.13
                                                                      Week 22 3.21
                                                                      Week 23 -5.85
                                                                      Total -13.1
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • DiggityDaggityDo
                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                        • 11-30-08
                                                                        • 81454

                                                                        #84350
                                                                        Originally posted by KVB
                                                                        Comment
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