Fly Me #3 "The Resurrection" Sports Talk,Good Tunes,Great Times, Anything Goes

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  • KVB
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 05-29-14
    • 74817

    #74971
    Here's the KVB NCAAF UPSET Basket through 36 plays with the crude closing line comparison and links. This Fund was -.6 units in the short week 1; +4.04 wk 2; -5.87 wk 3; +1.55 wk 4; and was up 2.3 units this week.

    Here's the whole thing...

    Date NCAAF UPSET Basket 1 Unit Closing Beat BTC ML
    per bet Line Closer? Average
    30-Aug KENNESAW ST +130 -1 120 Y 0.10
    UC DAVIS +120 1.2 120 PUSH 0.00
    1-Sep MARSHALL +120 1.2 -102 Y 0.22
    SMU +150 -1 143 Y 0.07
    MTENN ST +130 -1 134 N -0.04
    8-Sep FLOR INT +115 1.15 -154 Y 0.69
    DUKE +130 1.3 126 Y 0.04
    ARI +157 -1 150 Y 0.07
    KANSAS +167 1.67 134 Y 0.33
    COLORADO +142 1.42 141 Y 0.01
    IOWA ST +155 -1 145 Y 0.10
    UMASS +125 -1 107 Y 0.18
    FRESNO ST +115 -1 -110 Y 0.25
    CINCI +105 1.05 101 Y 0.04
    CAL +145 1.45 111 Y 0.34
    15-Sep UMASS +165 -1 145 Y 0.20
    RUTGERS +140 -1 -110 Y 0.50
    OHIO +135 -1 164 N -0.29
    BOISE ST +135 -1 -116 Y 0.51
    HOUSTON +110 -1 106 Y 0.04
    E MICH +150 -1 117 Y 0.33
    OREGON ST +155 -1 158 N -0.03
    ARK ST +115 1.15 108 Y 0.07
    USC +145 -1 135 Y 0.10
    FRESNO ST -102 0.98 -145 Y 0.43
    21-Sep WASH ST +165 -1 168 Y 0.03
    22-Sep MINN +135 -1 111 Y 0.24
    W KENTUCKY +130 1.3 131 N -0.01
    LOUISVILLE +150 -1 175 N -0.25
    COAST CAR +150 1.5 123 Y 0.27
    ILLINOIS ST +175 1.75 170 Y 0.05
    29-Sep N ILLINOIS +155 1.55 147 Y 0.08
    S CAR +100 -1 -107 Y 0.07
    NEVADA +160 1.6 152 Y 0.08
    W MICH +115 1.15 -139 Y 0.54
    STANFORD +175 -1 173 Y 0.02
    Total 1.42 30-5-1 0.15

    Comment
    • Auto Donk
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 09-03-13
      • 43559

      #74972
      after a rough vegas trip and a couple of rough weeks here since, there's only one dance I'll feel I can cautiously do at this point.....



      Comment
      • KVB
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 05-29-14
        • 74817

        #74973
        I should have rotated out of the NCAAF Totals Fund after the early season success. It's down over 5 units today with one play pending. Welcome to week 5. I always say it takes 4 games to get a forecast and two weeks to get a good play.




        Comment
        • KVB
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 05-29-14
          • 74817

          #74974
          Here's the NCAAF ATS/ML Fund, slammed in week 5. Notice the the crude closing comparison this week.

          Yikes, not sure we've seen a bottom here. Not sure I like this Fund right now as it transitions from early season.

          There have been 32 total plays...

          Record Date NCAAF ATS/ML Fund 1 Unit Closing Beat BTC ATS BTC ML
          ATS per bet Line Closer? Average Average
          0-1 30-Aug WAKE -6.5 (-105) -1 -7.5 Y 1
          1-Sep MIA (OH) -125 -1 -110 N 0.15
          0-2 SMU +3.5 (-109) -1 3 Y 0.5
          1-2 WASH ST -3 (-103) 0.97 3 PUSH 0
          MICH -130 -1 -151 Y 0.21
          2-2 2-Sep LSU +3 (+105) 1.05 3 PUSH 0
          2-3 3-Sep FLORIDA ST -7 (-110) -1 -7.5 Y 0.5
          2-4 8-Sep N MEX ST +23 (-105) -1 21.5 Y 1.5
          3-4 KANSAS +3 (+105) 1.05 3 PUSH 0
          4-4 COLORADO +3 (-105) 0.95 3 PUSH 0
          4-5 UMASS +1.5 (-102) -1 1.5 PUSH 0
          4-6 FRESNO ST + 1 (-110) -1 0 Y 1
          5-6 CAL +3 (-110) 0.91 2 Y 1
          6-6 13-Sep UNC CHAR +1.5 (-105) 0.95 1.5 PUSH 0
          6-7 15-Sep UMASS +3.5 (-108) -1 3.5 PUSH 0
          6-8 FLORIDA ST -3 (-108) -1 -3.5 Y 0.5
          BOISE ST -113 -1 -116 Y 0.03
          6-9 N MEX ST +3 (+100) -1 3 PUSH 0
          7-9 DUKE +4.5 (-113) 0.88 2 Y 2.5
          8-9 N TEXAS +6 (-105) 0.95 5.5 Y 0.5
          8-10 22-Sep PITT -3 (-120) -1 -3 PUSH 0
          9-10 OHIO +7.5 (-125) 0.8 7 Y 0.5
          9-11 NEVADA +10.5 (-109) -1 10.5 PUSH 0
          10-11 VIRGINIA -5 (-105) 0.95 -4.5 N -0.5
          11-11 SMU +7 (-125) 0.8 6.5 Y 0.5
          12-11 ARMY +30 (-105) 0.95 29 Y 1
          12-12 29-Sep BUFFALO -7.5 (-105) -1 -7 N -0.5
          13-12 TEMPLE +12.5 (-102) 0.98 13 N 0.5
          13-13 ARK ST -3.5 (-103) -1 -3 N -0.5
          13-14 TEXAS -8.5 (-105) -1 -8.5 PUSH 0
          13-15 MISS +10.5 (-105) -1 11 N -0.5
          13-16 MICH -15.5 (-105) -1 -14.5 N -0.5
          13-16-0 Total -6.81 14-7-11 0.310345 0.13
          Comment
          • turtledoves
            SBR MVP
            • 08-27-17
            • 3398

            #74975
            Originally posted by Auto Donk
            damn, doves go on tilt up in here or what?

            tough day on tex, lsu, and mich..... didn't even follow the ark st game.....

            oh well, at least we're not this guy:


            i always erase all my picks, trying to keep it top secret. was a good day until i fumbled the evening games
            Comment
            • KVB
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 05-29-14
              • 74817

              #74976
              Here's the NCAAF Visiting Dog Fund through 18 plays with the crude closing line comparison. It's been positive each week, 3-5 that I've posted.

              1 Unit Closing Beat BTC
              Record Date NCAAF Visiting Dog Fund per bet Line Closer? Average
              1-0 15-Sep LSU +9.5 (-105) 0.95 10 N -0.5
              2-0 C MICH +14 (-105) 0.95 14 PUSH 0
              3-0 TEXAS ST +10.5 (-105) 0.95 9.5 Y 1
              4-0 AKRON +21.5 (-110) 0.91 21 Y 0.5
              5-0 RHODE ISLAND +9.5 (-110) 0.91 9.5 PUSH 0
              5-1 DELAWARE ST +47.5 (-115) -1 47 Y 0.5
              5-2 22-Sep N ILLINOIS +10.5 (-105) -1 10 Y 0.5
              5-3 KANSAS ST +15 (-105) -1 15.5 N 0.5
              6-3 KENT ST +28 (-105) 0.95 28.5 Y 0.5
              7-3 TTECH +13 (-105) 0.95 14.5 Y 1.5
              8-3 COAST CAR +3.5 (-105) 0.95 3 Y 0.5
              9-3 TEX A&M +24.5 (-105) 0.95 24.5 PUSH 0
              9-4 29-Sep TOLEDO +7.5 (-105) -1 10.5 N -3
              10-4 S MISS +27 (-105) 0.95 27 PUSH 0
              11-4 IOWA ST +10.5 (-105) 0.95 11.5 N -1
              12-4 UTEP +10.5 (-105) 0.95 10 Y 0.5
              13-4 FLORIDA +8 (-105) 0.95 7 Y 1
              13-5 STAN +4.5 (-105) -1 4.5 PUSH 0
              13-5-0 Total 7.27 9-4-5 0.138889
              Comment
              • KVB
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 05-29-14
                • 74817

                #74977
                Once I put all the Funds out, I'll do a table with all a summary of totals.

                Visiting Dog Fund strong, but see how week 5 slammed the Total and Spread staples. I should have gotten out of the Total Return Fund with that Totals Fund. Lost some money there.

                Here's the NCAAF Market Reads Fund making a comeback, with the crude closing complarison...

                ATS 1 Unit Closing Beat BTC ATS BTC ML
                Record Date NCAAF Market Reads Fund per bet Line Closer? Average Average
                1-0 1-Sep BYU +10 (-104) 0.96 11 N -1
                2-0 8-Sep IOWA ST/IOWA UNDER 46.5 (-101) 0.99 46.5 PUSH 0
                2-1 MICH ST -4.5 (+100) -1 -4.5 PUSH 0
                MICH ST -185 -1 189 Y 0.04
                2-2 13-Sep BC/WAKE UNDER 54 (-110) -1 58.5 N -4.5
                2-3 15-Sep TOLEDO +10 -1 12 N -2
                HOUSTON +110 -1 106 Y 0.04
                2-4 HOUSTON +2 (-105) -1 1 Y 1
                3-4 22-Sep TEX A&M +24.5 (-108) 0.93 24.5 PUSH 0
                29-Sep WASH ST +110 1.1 102 Y 0.08
                3-4-0 Total -2.02 4-3-3 -0.92857 0.053333
                Comment
                • KVB
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 05-29-14
                  • 74817

                  #74978
                  Here's the NCAAF Totals Fund after it's 4.2 unit drop today. There have been 50 total plays so far, I will condense these to groups of weeks going forward.

                  Going to have to keep this in the Total Return Fund and just might up the investment to take advantage of the drop. I really should have rotated out. We could see a further drop here before it turns around.

                  1 Unit Closing Beat BTC
                  Record Date NCAAF Totals Fund per bet Line Closer? Average
                  0-1 30-Aug NM ST/MINN UNDER 47 (-110) -1 49.5 N -2.5
                  0-1-1 UCF/CONN UNDER 73 (-113) 0 69 Y 4
                  1-1-1 WAKE/TULANE UNDER 57.5 (-110) 0.91 56 Y 1.5
                  2-1-1 31-Aug W KENT/WISC UNDER 52 (-108) 0.93 52 PUSH 0
                  3-1-1 1-Sep KENT/ILLINOIS UNDER 56.5 (-105) 0.95 57 N -0.5
                  3-2-1 WASH/AUB OVER 49.5 (-105) -1 50.5 Y 1
                  3-3-1 WASH ST/WYO UNDER 45.5 (-102) -1 45 Y 0.5
                  4-3-1 2-Sep MIA/LSU OVER 47 (-108) 0.93 47.5 Y 0.5
                  5-3-1 8-Sep APP ST/CHARLOTTE OVER 48 (-110) 0.91 48.5 Y 0.5
                  6-3-1 E MICH/PURDUE UNDER 51 (-105) 0.95 50.5 Y 0.5
                  7-3-1 N MEX/WISC UNDER 59.5 (-102) 0.98 58 Y 1.5
                  8-3-1 GA ST/NC ST UNDER 56.5 (-107) 0.93 56.5 PUSH 0
                  9-3-1 KANSAS/C MICH UNDER 49 (-108) 0.93 48 Y 1
                  10-3-1 BAYLOR/UTSA OVER 54 (-105) 0.95 55 Y 1
                  10-4-1 WYO/MISSOURI UNDER 52.5 (-108) -1 52.5 PUSH 0
                  10-5-1 FRESNO ST/MINN OVER 50 (-105) -1 50 PUSH 0
                  10-6-1 CAL/BYU OVER 47.5 (-105) -1 47.5 PUSH 0
                  10-7-1 13-Sep BC/WAKE UNDER 54 (-105) -1 58.5 N -4.5
                  10-8-1 ODU/NC CHAR UNDER 47.5 (-108) -1 47.5 PUSH 0
                  11-8-1 15-Sep UMASS/FL INT OVER 64 (-105) 0.95 66 Y 2
                  11-9-1 MIA/TOLEDO UNDER 59 (-110) -1 58.5 Y 0.5
                  12-9-1 TROY/NEB UNDER 55.5 (-105) 0.95 55.5 PUSH 0
                  12-10-1 BYU/WISC OVER 48 (-102) -1 51.5 Y 3.5
                  13-10-1 GA SOUTH/CLEMSON UNDER 49 (-105) 0.95 49 PUSH 0
                  14-10-1 N TEX/ARK UNDER 66 (-105) 0.95 63.5 Y 2.5
                  14-11-1 OREGON ST/NEVADA UNDER 67.5 (-103) -1 68 N -0.5
                  15-11-1 M TENN ST/GEORGIA UNDER 57 (-105) 0.95 59.5 N -2.5
                  16-11-1 MISSOURI/PURDUE OVER 66.5 (-105) 0.95 67 Y 0.5
                  17-11-1 20-Sep TULSA/TEMPLE UNDER 54.5 (-108) 0.93 54.5 PUSH 0
                  17-12-1 22-Sep MINN/MARYLAND UNDER 47 (-110) -1 47 PUSH 0
                  18-12-1 CLEMSON/G TECH OVER 54 (-105) 0.95 55.5 Y 1.5
                  19-12-1 LOUISVILLE/VIRGINIA UNDER 52 (-108) 0.93 53 N -1
                  20-12-1 STAN/OREGON OVER 58 (-105) 0.95 59 Y 1
                  20-13-1 NAVY/SMU UNDER 58.5 (-108) -1 58 Y 0.5
                  21-13-1 KANSAS/BAYLOR UNDER 55.5 (-108) 0.93 55 Y 0.5
                  21-14-1 AIR FORCE/UTAH ST UNDER 59.5 (-105) -1 60 N -0.5
                  22-14-1 GEORGIA/MISSOURI OVER 67.5 (-105) 0.95 68.5 Y 1
                  22-15-1 TEX A&M/ALABAMA UNDER 59.5 (-102) -1 59 Y 0.5
                  23-15-1 28-Sep UCLA/COLO UNDER 59 (-105) 0.95 57 Y 2
                  23-16-1 29-Sep CINCI/UCONN OVER 62 (-102) -1 62.5 Y 0.5
                  23-17-1 C MICH/MICH ST UNDER 46.5 (-105) -1 45.5 Y 1
                  23-18-1 ODU/E CAROL UNDER 60.5 (-105) -1 60.5 PUSH 0
                  23-19-1 S BAMA/APP ST UNDER 57 (-105) -1 57.5 N -0.5
                  24-19-1 NEVADA/AIR FORCE UNDER 63.5 (-105) 0.95 63.5 PUSH 0
                  24-20-1 BYU/WASH OVER 45.5 (-105) -1 47.5 Y 2
                  24-21-1 FSU/LOUISVILLE UNDER 45.5 (-105) -1 47 N -1.5
                  25-21-1 S MISS/AUBURN UNDER 53 (-105) 0.95 51.5 Y 1.5
                  25-22-1 OK ST/KANSAS UNDER 59 (-105) -1 56 Y 3
                  26-22-1 USC/ARIZONA UNDER 58.5 (-105) 0.95 62 N -3.5
                  26-23-1 HAWAII/SJ ST UNDER 65 (-105) -1 63 Y 2
                  26-23-1 Total 1.51 28-10-12 0.41

                  Comment
                  • Da Manster!
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 07-13-07
                    • 17720

                    #74979
                    Deez bitches on backpages be like "NO GLOVE, NO LOVE!"....
                    Comment
                    • Da Manster!
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 07-13-07
                      • 17720

                      #74980
                      Furthermore, why do bitches be sticking their tongues out like goddamn dogs when posting selfies?!...
                      Comment
                      • turtledoves
                        SBR MVP
                        • 08-27-17
                        • 3398

                        #74981
                        Originally posted by turtledoves
                        i guess theres enough time to quote your own posts

                        over 160.5

                        manster hibernating til football season?
                        knew you'd be back manster
                        Comment
                        • turtledoves
                          SBR MVP
                          • 08-27-17
                          • 3398

                          #74982
                          Originally posted by Da Manster!
                          good luck, KVB.......hope things pick up for you....I took a break from the forum and only played two MLB games this year...enjoying life, working hard, and fukking my brians out...I will post my football plays again on my thread...Hopefully, I can pick up from where I left off from last year....an all-time record of +100 units!...
                          you like to have sex with men named Brian?
                          Comment
                          • KVB
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 05-29-14
                            • 74817

                            #74983
                            Originally posted by turtledoves
                            knew you'd be back manster

                            Comment
                            • KVB
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 05-29-14
                              • 74817

                              #74984
                              The Summary...

                              NCAAF Week 5 Season to Date
                              Funds # Plays Units # Plays Units
                              Totals 12 -4.2 50 1.51
                              ATS/ML 6 -4.02 32 -6.81
                              UPSET Basket 5 2.3 36 1.42
                              Visiting Dog 6 1.8 18 7.27
                              Market Reads 1 1.1 10 -2.02
                              Total: 30 -3.02 146 1.37
                              Comment
                              • turtledoves
                                SBR MVP
                                • 08-27-17
                                • 3398

                                #74985
                                Originally posted by turtledoves
                                Comment
                                • Da Manster!
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 07-13-07
                                  • 17720

                                  #74986
                                  Originally posted by turtledoves
                                  knew you'd be back manster
                                  you get a gold star for the day and an "E" for effort!...

                                  but seriously...had a very busy summer...work, family issues, and lot's of other bullshit...no time to cap MLB totals or even post on here!......and there were other legit reasons why I took a break from the forum...
                                  Comment
                                  • Da Manster!
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 07-13-07
                                    • 17720

                                    #74987
                                    Originally posted by turtledoves
                                    you like to have sex with men named Brian?
                                    I'll try anything once!...
                                    Comment
                                    • Da Manster!
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 07-13-07
                                      • 17720

                                      #74988
                                      Originally posted by KVB
                                      kicked some ass today, KVB!......and I went all in and/or double or nothing from today's winnings on tomorrow's action...4TM 13PT teaser that I posted in my thread...if I hit, I'm back in the black!...
                                      Comment
                                      • turtledoves
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 08-27-17
                                        • 3398

                                        #74989
                                        Originally posted by Da Manster!
                                        you get a gold star for the day and an "E" for effort!...

                                        but seriously...had a very busy summer...work, family issues, and lot's of other bullshit...no time to cap MLB totals or even post on here!......and there were other legit reasons why I took a break from the forum...
                                        good to have you back bro

                                        Comment
                                        • turtledoves
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 08-27-17
                                          • 3398

                                          #74990
                                          Originally posted by Da Manster!
                                          I'll try anything once!...


                                          Comment
                                          • Fidel_CashFlow
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 12-03-12
                                            • 53970

                                            #74991
                                            very nice to hear from you Manny
                                            Comment
                                            • Fidel_CashFlow
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 12-03-12
                                              • 53970

                                              #74992
                                              and tell Brian I said Hi , too
                                              Comment
                                              • Da Manster!
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 07-13-07
                                                • 17720

                                                #74993
                                                Originally posted by Fidel_CashFlow
                                                very nice to hear from you Manny
                                                you too, Mr. Clint
                                                Comment
                                                • Da Manster!
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 07-13-07
                                                  • 17720

                                                  #74994
                                                  Originally posted by Fidel_CashFlow
                                                  and tell Brian I said Hi , too
                                                  and tell Samantha I said Hi as well!...
                                                  Comment
                                                  • turtledoves
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 08-27-17
                                                    • 3398

                                                    #74995


                                                    Last edited by turtledoves; 09-30-18, 08:01 PM.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • KVB
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 05-29-14
                                                      • 74817

                                                      #74996
                                                      Sea/Zona Over.

                                                      Comment
                                                      • turtledoves
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 08-27-17
                                                        • 3398

                                                        #74997




                                                        tailing kvb is always a loser
                                                        Last edited by turtledoves; 09-30-18, 08:01 PM.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Fidel_CashFlow
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 12-03-12
                                                          • 53970

                                                          #74998
                                                          i know you would
                                                          Comment
                                                          • turtledoves
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 08-27-17
                                                            • 3398

                                                            #74999
                                                            bears win
                                                            Last edited by turtledoves; 09-30-18, 08:02 PM.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Fidel_CashFlow
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 12-03-12
                                                              • 53970

                                                              #75000
                                                              texans Pick Emm

                                                              thats a steal at even

                                                              Texans win easily

                                                              Mark it down
                                                              Comment
                                                              • turtledoves
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 08-27-17
                                                                • 3398

                                                                #75001


                                                                Last edited by turtledoves; 09-30-18, 08:02 PM.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Fidel_CashFlow
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 12-03-12
                                                                  • 53970

                                                                  #75002
                                                                  Originally posted by turtledoves
                                                                  good luck, have that one at IND -2.2
                                                                  thanks
                                                                  only increases my odds of winning
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Fidel_CashFlow
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 12-03-12
                                                                    • 53970

                                                                    #75003
                                                                    be nice to actually watch some football

                                                                    then back to the grind at around 3pm
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Fidel_CashFlow
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 12-03-12
                                                                      • 53970

                                                                      #75004
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Fidel_CashFlow
                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                        • 12-03-12
                                                                        • 53970

                                                                        #75005
                                                                        I do think texans will win

                                                                        but damn , whats up with this team

                                                                        they were suppose to be an auto playoff team ....
                                                                        Comment
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