Fly Me #3 "The Resurrection" Sports Talk,Good Tunes,Great Times, Anything Goes

**KVB** · 11-22-18, 11:43 AM

Originally posted by turtledoves

tiger and phil match gonna be fun. tiger too expensive still?

Don't see Phil winning, Tiger might be the right price...lol.

**KVB** · 11-22-18, 11:44 AM

Originally posted by DiggityDaggityDo

**DiggityDaggityDo** · 11-22-18, 11:57 AM

**KVB** · 11-22-18, 12:05 PM

Originally posted by turtledoves

what you looking at? you play pc games?

Loving the OMEN...

**DiggityDaggityDo** · 11-22-18, 12:20 PM

**KVB** · 11-22-18, 12:20 PM

The NCAAB ATS/ML Fund has added two plays...

703	22-Nov	DAYTON +12.5 (-105)
707		BUTLER -13 (-105)
718	22-Nov	UMASS +3 (-110)

**DiggityDaggityDo** · 11-22-18, 12:30 PM

**DiggityDaggityDo** · 11-22-18, 01:22 PM

Simetimes you just want an ass that can swallow a handrail on a bus.

**DiggityDaggityDo** · 11-22-18, 01:33 PM

I wonder where these train tracks go?

**KVB** · 11-22-18, 01:39 PM

**DiggityDaggityDo** · 11-22-18, 01:42 PM

Originally posted by KVB

**KVB** · 11-22-18, 02:20 PM

The NCAAF Visiting Dog Fund has picked up...

209 LSU +3.5 (-105) over TEXAS A&M

Good Luck you Turkey eatin' muddafukkas.

**DiggityDaggityDo** · 11-22-18, 03:35 PM

**DiggityDaggityDo** · 11-22-18, 05:53 PM

**KVB** · 11-22-18, 07:18 PM

The NCAAF UPSET Basket has triggered a play...

129 COAST CAR -105 over S ALABAMA

Posting on mobile.

Good Luck.

**DiggityDaggityDo** · 11-22-18, 07:38 PM

**DiggityDaggityDo** · 11-22-18, 11:10 PM

**KVB** · 11-23-18, 12:18 AM

Baby Octopus...

**turtledoves** · 11-23-18, 12:18 AM

texas/kansas over 49

**KVB** · 11-23-18, 12:20 AM

Originally posted by DiggityDaggityDo

Just wait until Donkey wakes up and sees this.

He's going to want to do it again.

**KVB** · 11-23-18, 12:21 AM

Originally posted by turtledoves

texas/kansas over 49

**turtledoves** · 11-23-18, 12:22 AM

**KVB** · 11-23-18, 12:22 AM

**turtledoves** · 11-23-18, 12:24 AM

here's a winner

kansas state/iowa state over 40.5

**KVB** · 11-23-18, 12:31 AM

That Oprah face made me laugh.

I have a high score forecast, with Texas winning 38-21.

Public all over that Over. Could be upwards of 70 percent of the tickets.

But there's even more of a discrepancy with the money, on the Under. The heavier money dropped that line with a some sharp plays as well off of 51.

But there's another but with the but in that money and tickets all over Texas.

Kansas a decent contrarian play while that Total becomes a much more difficult market look.

Right now you are looking at an open stadium in David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium with very cool weather, make that cold weather and high winds.

Latest report shows wind over 15 to 18 mph before game time.

It's no wonder the line went from 51 to 49 with "sharp" reverse line movement.

**turtledoves** · 11-23-18, 12:32 AM

vegas is back on

**turtledoves** · 11-23-18, 12:35 AM

Got Phil

**KVB** · 11-23-18, 12:42 AM

Originally posted by turtledoves

here's a winner

kansas state/iowa state over 40.5

That low Total didn't go unnoticed.

I'm on K ST +14 in one of those lower Total situations.

I forecast a 50 point game so that Over seems decent.

Not a lot of volume from my info but Tickets and money heavy on the Under. Books holding that line because the money simply isn't very high yet.

Jack Trice Stadium, open, cold, like 40 degree cold. Not much wind.

My Kansas St +14 is down to 13 and even 12.5.

Liking that.

Could see the Over here, despite the cold.

That is, as long as the ref lets them play...

**KVB** · 11-23-18, 12:48 AM

Originally posted by turtledoves

thanks for the insights. 40F at tipoff, the arena won't be that cold. seems like too much of an adjustment.

gonna use this weather site's API to get historical weather, have forecasts to the minute ie. "rain stopping in 23 minutes"

https://darksky.net/details/38.959,-...-11-23/us12/en

Agreed not that cold, weather not 40 degrees, more like 46 and rising through game time. 50 by halfitme.

I just got the more detailed update, as I was typing here. It gives 1 hour before to 2 hours after game start. I see 47 at gametime. Earlier I only had the 1 hour before game start info, not sure why.

It's the wind in Kansas that's the factor with that line, not the temp.

It's rarely the temp, it's almost always the wind that matters.

I see 17.5 mph winds at game time.

That should move a line, remember these totals came out Monday.

**KVB** · 11-23-18, 12:55 AM

3-0 hoops today.

Great show here, widely considered to be one of the finest which is saying a lot....

**KVB** · 11-23-18, 01:00 AM

As gameplans are formed during the week, I think potential high wind situations are taken into account, altering the plans a bit.

Passing is affected and this is a bigger deal in college than in the pros.

To recognize or realize that edge could mean high volume plays, since it does just present an edge and many games during the season will be in the wind situation. Remember the Total Baskets I started?

When playing Totals that have some weather factored in, there's usually those one or too weeks where weather is shitty over a broad swath and the volume plays pay off during those times.

This year the best weeks we've seen for broad weather still only gave us slight winners. In fact, one week I bet a shitload of Totals and weather was terrible everywhere, no coincidence there. But the week wasn't very profitable.

That's disappointing.

Maybe it will hit bigger next year.

**turtledoves** · 11-23-18, 06:32 AM

next year, works last years, not this year, don't decommission it. I'm sure there are "angles" that become unprofitable. how many losing seasons before an "angle" is decommissioned?

Kent State +13.5

**turtledoves** · 11-23-18, 03:10 PM

Got Phil

**KVB** · 11-23-18, 04:27 PM

"Angle"

lol.

**KVB** · 11-23-18, 04:28 PM

The NCAAB ATS/ML Fund has picked up a batch of plays..

530	23-Nov	MARYLAND -9 (-115)
533		N IOWA +7 (-110)
585		UMASS +14 (-105)
593		ARK ST +4 (-110)
601		CAL POLY +8.5 (-110)

Still capping, will post later.