Fly Me #3 "The Resurrection" Sports Talk,Good Tunes,Great Times, Anything Goes

**DiggityDaggityDo** · 04-14-19, 10:07 PM

Originally posted by KVB

Had the UNDER time in a Japanese race, thought it would be over quick but they're still on the track.

I think I'm going to lose that bet...

Oh wow...

I like this sport!

**KVB** · 04-14-19, 11:02 PM

Originally posted by KVB

That's it, seen enough.

The UTAH/HOU game has bottomed I picked up OVER 213 at even money.

Liking this OVER....

Originally posted by KVB

Decided to close out the Open parlay with the OVER tonight...

Hockey - 7 Dallas Stars +1½ -210 for Game
Hockey - 10 San Jose Sharks -125 for Game Hockey - 24 Columbus Blue Jackets +1½ -210 for Game Basketball - 518 Utah Jazz vs Houston Rockets over 213 -110 for Game

The 4 pick pays 6.49 units....

Yeah, I sold the risked unit back live, but left a number of units on the table here when it landed on 212.

**omedo** · 04-15-19, 05:34 AM

Hey KVB, i would like to discuss something.

You allways say to get the inplay stats that matter for predicting future games, but i read this post and got confused.

Originally posted by KVB

That's as basic as it gets and believe it or not, sometimes the market does little more than that when lines are created and maintained. Sure times have changed and a lot of subjective input has been hardened into what will adjust the line, so the line will move more often than it used to.

Every sport is different, and one can get very detailed in trying to predict the number of possessions and potential scores per possession or the number of hits or shots on goal.

But all these factors have base lines that change. Even the basic one above doesn't offer much unless you start comparing the teams to the league.

I'm saying use weighted averages so that recent performance is calculated into the prediction. Those who stick just to season averages will fall behind quickly.

It may or may not provide value in getting into micro stats and estimated players time on the court, etc. but I wouldn't go around the block to get next door...that too can be a mistake.

and in another post you say this:

Originally posted by KVB

During the playoffs Kevin Durant has averaged 7.1 ISO possessions per game.

That's more than Russell Westbrook averaged during the playoffs.

When the Warriors were kicking as during the playoffs last year, KD averaged 2.5 ISO possessions per game.

That game plan alone could give the Cavs a few wins, if not a championship.

**DiggityDaggityDo** · 04-15-19, 09:18 AM

**KVB** · 04-15-19, 09:31 AM

The KVB MLB Early Season Contrarian Fund has picked up...

911	15-Apr	BAL +225
911		BAL/BOS OVER 11 (-105)

**omedo** · 04-15-19, 12:46 PM

GERMANY - BUNDESLIGA 2

FC Koln vs Hamburger SV

pick: FC Koln to win @ -147

**turtledoves** · 04-15-19, 02:31 PM

farts turning into shit today

**turtledoves** · 04-15-19, 02:32 PM

Originally posted by omedo

GERMANY - BUNDESLIGA 2

FC Koln vs Hamburger SV

pick: FC Koln to win @ -147

how can you bet against a team that sounds so delicious

**smokenjoke** · 04-15-19, 03:13 PM

St. Louis 1st 5 ML +115
Good Luck Gents.

**turtledoves** · 04-15-19, 05:54 PM

under 225
over 234

bos/tor over 6

cgy

**KVB** · 04-15-19, 07:23 PM

The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has picked up...

909 COL +149

Triggered while on the mobile, might be 150s out there.

Good Luck

**Bostongambler** · 04-15-19, 07:30 PM

Get it KVB!!! 👍

**Da Manster!** · 04-15-19, 07:56 PM

**Bostongambler** · 04-15-19, 08:07 PM

Hahahaha

**Da Manster!** · 04-15-19, 08:17 PM

**Da Manster!** · 04-15-19, 08:24 PM

**Da Manster!** · 04-15-19, 08:30 PM

**Da Manster!** · 04-15-19, 08:38 PM

**Bostongambler** · 04-15-19, 08:45 PM

Originally posted by Da Manster!

Awesome tune

**Bostongambler** · 04-15-19, 08:46 PM

Originally posted by Da Manster!

My college days.

**KVB** · 04-15-19, 08:49 PM

The MLB Contrarian Fund added one more...

907

15-Apr

CIN +171

Late addition here but even one of these late dogs hit we have profit.

**KVB** · 04-15-19, 08:53 PM

Originally posted by Da Manster!

**Da Manster!** · 04-15-19, 09:11 PM

**KVB** · 04-15-19, 09:12 PM

**KVB** · 04-15-19, 10:03 PM

Originally posted by turtledoves

under 225
over 234

bos/tor over 6

cgy

268 in Philly, unreal.

Like the over in game 2, bought it down to the opener for the first leg of an open 3 pick parlay...

Basketball - 524 Los Angeles Clippers vs Golden State Warriors over 230½ -163 Buying 4½ Pts for Game

Last parlay died with an OVER 213 when Houston held the ball to a shot clock violation at the end of the game...with 212 points scored.

I wonder if they still make this...

**Bostongambler** · 04-15-19, 10:07 PM

Why does she have to bite it? Lol

**KVB** · 04-16-19, 12:15 AM

The Dimples of Venus...

**Da Manster!** · 04-16-19, 12:18 AM

Originally posted by KVB

The Dimples of Venus...

**KVB** · 04-16-19, 12:55 AM

Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund through 77 plays...

909	15-Apr	COL +149	1.49
907		CIN +171	-1
911		BAL +225	2.25
911		BAL/BOS OVER 11 (-105)	-1

		Mon	1.74

		Week 1	6.73
		Week 2	-3.64
		Week 3	-3.13

		Total	1.7

Almost hit big tonight with the Fund, almost.

**DiggityDaggityDo** · 04-16-19, 01:04 AM

Any of you guys ever banged something that was alive but not a human being?

**KVB** · 04-16-19, 01:07 AM

Originally posted by DiggityDaggityDo

Any of you guys ever banged something that was alive but not a human being?

**PittsburghPlayer** · 04-16-19, 01:21 AM

Originally posted by DiggityDaggityDo

Any of you guys ever banged something that was alive but not a human being?

you mean like a poodle or sheep
or maybe a leafy plant or tree?

fukking animals is illegal, so I`ll take "leafy trees" for 200 Diggity

**KVB** · 04-16-19, 01:29 AM

Originally posted by PittsburghPlayer

you mean like a poodle or sheep
or maybe a leafy plant or tree?

fukking animals is illegal, so I`ll take "leafy trees" for 200 Diggity

You banged a leafy tree? Or trees? A leafy forest?

You banged a leafy forest?

**DiggityDaggityDo** · 04-16-19, 02:30 AM

Wow... weird bunch in here I guess.

KVB, is that Oprah Winfrey???

WOW

**Fedor** · 04-16-19, 03:03 AM

Pool jet count?