-
Comment -
Well, at least this worked out well.Uhhh, yea, so we're looking for Oakland and the NHL UNDER tonight.Hockey - 50 Calgary Flames vs Colorado Avalanche under 6 -105 for Game 12597520 - Baseball - Oakland Athletics vs Houston Astros / Game / Winner (2 way) / Oakland Athletics -169 12597704 - Baseball - Oakland Athletics vs Houston Astros / Game / Winner (2 way) / Oakland Athletics -155 12597744 - Hockey - Colorado Avalanche vs Calgary Flames / Match (Including OT) / Total / Under 6.5 -223 12599411 - Baseball - Oakland Athletics vs Houston Astros / Game / Winner (2 way) / Oakland Athletics -194
Forecat is dildoing around here.
I suppose the Forecat is finished with the training, time to up its game...
Comment -
Oh, bro, did we really just go there?
The dark web isn't always dark...
Last edited by KVB; 04-18-19, 12:42 AM.Comment -
Ok, let's get back on track here.
Comment -
Comment -
KVB, I have about 15 bets pending for tomorrow.
What do you think might happen???
I hope I go TITS on the books, man.
Comment -
Would be BEAST mode.
NomSayin?Comment -
Damn, I only have the UNDER 212 (-110) for the Denver/SA game tomorrow.
Only play so far.
But I say go TITS on the books, if not at least go TITS in the mouth...
Comment -
I think she's trying to tell us to get under our desks or door frame because there's an earthquake.
I think...
Comment -
KVB...
Comment -
Been working on some metrics that allow us to stack another performance percentage with the market. It's a layer that actually takes a way from raw resolutions by determining which type of market we are in both short and long term. The data is unique and there is a ton so there is much to work with. I considered a video type series to explain some of this but preparing for turbulence and dark times were a part of that.
I've mentioned before that we were hoping to grab what units we could as it was beginning, over this week, to become apparent that we might see a market downturn with high volatility.
-6 units in one day sure seems to fit that bill.
Once we get a solid month of data here, and the complexion of the market gets a little sharper and more defined, I look to apply this metric perhaps with a rating system.
Basically, I always say do your own work and then compare any plays you have to he Fund. It might take you on or pull you off one you weren't sure about. Look at the Fund plays, they might give ideas. The plays track the market well and, although volatile, overall end up ahead of the game in line with expectations.
Using a rating system to determine the type of market we're in may not be predictive, but it might give us some insight into what we are facing. It's good to have a roadmap so that when the bullets start flying, we aren't lost.
This is tricky business, capping the markets, and I'm not even sure where all this will go. Again it's tough to resolve a predictive type market rating buy itself, it may give some insight into whether or not to go over or under weight at certain times. This will lead to jiggling bet sizes, and because of that could cost money, but perhaps we can overcome that cost with precision.
In terms of insight, we certainly had some with the metrics this week. One trick now, after determining a direction, will be to try to determine whether we're more likely to see the volatility and sharp move or a slower, more drag out, type of market.
I'm going to read this tomorrow, and see if I can expand.
Comment -
I've done well live and reacting, like tonight to the markets recently, money mgt. aside, and not only were there signs of a contrarian market drop, but notice I've also been bitching about the Marlins.
They could be a problem for a while or, hopefully, the base forecasts will start weeding them out as a bad team. One issue can be that as the become weeded out as a bad team, the tend to get tastier in odds at the same time, the market moves with the stats and we still get triggered higher odds.
This is the Balty problem of last year, to some extent, and I fear it could be an issue for a while. The Fund itself will overcome because the overall market will, but it's still a biatch to work with, not sure what to do about it.
Comment -
Been working on some metrics that allow us to stack another performance percentage with the market. It's a layer that actually takes a way from raw resolutions by determining which type of market we are in both short and long term. The data is unique and there is a ton so there is much to work with. I considered a video type series to explain some of this but preparing for turbulence and dark times were a part of that.
I've mentioned before that we were hoping to grab what units we could as it was beginning, over this week, to become apparent that we might see a market downturn with high volatility.
-6 units in one day sure seems to fit that bill.
Once we get a solid month of data here, and the complexion of the market gets a little sharper and more defined, I look to apply this metric perhaps with a rating system.
Basically, I always say do your own work and then compare any plays you have to he Fund. It might take you on or pull you off one you weren't sure about. Look at the Fund plays, they might give ideas. The plays track the market well and, although volatile, overall end up ahead of the game in line with expectations.
Using a rating system to determine the type of market we're in may not be predictive, but it might give us some insight into what we are facing. It's good to have a roadmap so that when the bullets start flying, we aren't lost.
This is tricky business, capping the markets, and I'm not even sure where all this will go. Again it's tough to resolve a predictive type market rating buy itself, it may give some insight into whether or not to go over or under weight at certain times. This will lead to jiggling bet sizes, and because of that could cost money, but perhaps we can overcome that cost with precision.
In terms of insight, we certainly had some with the metrics this week. One trick now, after determining a direction, will be to try to determine whether we're more likely to see the volatility and sharp move or a slower, more drag out, type of market.
I'm going to read this tomorrow, and see if I can expand.
I've done well live and reacting, like tonight to the markets recently, money mgt. aside, and not only were there signs of a contrarian market drop, but notice I've also been bitching about the Marlins.
They could be a problem for a while or, hopefully, the base forecasts will start weeding them out as a bad team. One issue can be that as the become weeded out as a bad team, the tend to get tastier in odds at the same time, the market moves with the stats and we still get triggered higher odds.
This is the Balty problem of last year, to some extent, and I fear it could be an issue for a while. The Fund itself will overcome because the overall market will, but it's still a biatch to work with, not sure what to do about it.
Comment -
yes KVB...and depending on which metric you use, that wouldn't necessarily facilitate a gravitational shift of the Earth's polarities...it's very important to keep in mind that the MLB contrarian fund and market shifts aren't exactly mutually exclusive...especially when one considers the stacking percentage in ratio to the percentage of protons, neutrons, and electrons that make up the composition of an atom...
Comment -
Cyclops was right!Comment -
Some of you men are super human. Give lesser men an inferiority complex.
Fukkerz!Comment -
so I missed the final 3rd question on SBR trivia and then this lady pops up...
damn, I belched!...
Comment -
The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund is at it again....
951 18-Apr ARI +155
Comment -
^^^...I wonder if that scene ended up being nakadashi?...
Comment -
Fuk, was supposed to put Toronto +1.5 in the Contrarian RL Fund and not only didn't post it, but didn't even get it bought.
I hope it's a loser. But either way, I really fukked up there. Not many plays in the Fund and it will be a winner. A fukk up for sure.
Comment -
The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund picked up a Total...
We just might see KC trigger here as well.966 18-Apr KC/NYY UNDER 9 (-110)
Comment -
-
Man that Total is tough. I have it at 231 and just can't get a good read after it steamed up to 229.
Denver spread is another tough one. I have SA winning by 6 but Denver has a decent contrarian look to it, making an adjustment that puts us at the 4 or 4.5 line.
It's like they knew.
These games feel like gambles from my standpoint, but there are so many ways to cap so I dunno.
Comment -
one forecast has bkn at a 253 and spurs by 10. a forecast that consistently fails can be profitable, but is it really consistently failing? hoping it will even out and the over comes in. maybe I'm just overfitting and analyzing noiseComment -
Seriously though, I am working on methods that can fail reliably.
It actually might be a good approach but managing the money is tougher. Fukkin vig.
What about the Denver ML?
Nice price here, maybe.Comment
