Fly Me #3 "The Resurrection" Sports Talk,Good Tunes,Great Times, Anything Goes

**KVB** · 07-16-19, 05:04 PM

With such a big slate tonight, that journey back to -20 before a market turn is possible. Yikes.

Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund after Mon, through 406 plays...

953	15-Jul	CIN/CHC OVER 10 (-105)	-1
956		MIL -106	-1
968		KC +111	1.11

		Mon	-0.89

		Weeks 1-5	-1.32
		Weeks 6-10	-1.23
		Weeks 11-15	-4.9
		Week 16	-2.69

		Total	-11.03

Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian RL Fund after Mon, through 65 plays...

956	15-Jul	MIL +1.5 (-160)	-1

		Week 17	-1

		Weeks 1-5	-4.92
		Weeks 6-10	-4.59
		Weeks 11-15	4.86
		Week 16	-1

		Total	-7.65

There's been a small retreat there, but there haven't been many plays.

**KVB** · 07-16-19, 09:10 PM

Originally posted by KVB

The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has added...

904	16-Jul	MIA +101
915		TOR +170
924		LAA +104
927		ARI +148
929		NYM +148

...

Angels haven't started but the other 4 moneylines are all leading at this moment, as well as the RL play.

**turtledoves** · 07-17-19, 08:03 AM

nice night KVB

still think it's moving towards -20u?

i'd imagine pro gamblers probably don't get too excited over a big winning or losing night

will check out travelers

**turtledoves** · 07-17-19, 08:04 AM

**turtledoves** · 07-17-19, 08:56 AM

**turtledoves** · 07-17-19, 09:02 AM

here's another good song you can't understand

**turtledoves** · 07-17-19, 09:04 AM

smoke 2 joints ^^

**KVB** · 07-17-19, 11:09 AM

The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has picked up...

951	17-Jul	PIT +128
975		NYM +160

Back at it again.

**KVB** · 07-17-19, 11:39 AM

Originally posted by turtledoves

nice night KVB

still think it's moving towards -20u?

i'd imagine pro gamblers probably don't get too excited over a big winning or losing night

will check out travelers

Nice to have big night like that, especially since it's been a tough first half of the season and all those 0-5 and 0-6 days.

Second half started tough too, though. Since the all star break the public has been cleaning up.

Until last night, which was a huge contrarian night, Fund or not. It's probably why so many plays triggered. Hope it continues and it could get volatile. Last year, up +11 units, one weekend saw an 0-6 and 0-5 run, so you never know. It sure looks like things are turning though.

Travelers was good, sorry to see it cancelled...I think the writing could always just continue the story. They even left it open for more, but then it was cancelled.

Started watching foreign ones. Watched "The Rain" but honestly lost interest and just didn't watch the most recent season.

Also watched "Dark" which was cool. Some time went by and a new season came out. Because of the twists of the show, and all the chronic that I've gone through, I feel like I have to watch from the beginning again, before hitting the new season.

So I watched the black hole show which told us nothing new, lol.

ncaa data crazy, I've bitched about how there are so many teams for a couple of years now...breaking it down helps, conference is important but don't forget the regions.

Today's supposed to be a day off of percs, but I just don't know. Hurting.

So much more to the down days than just snoop and two big baggies, I downplayed just how bad it does get.

**KVB** · 07-17-19, 11:49 AM

Thing about those sci fi shows anymore is that all rules are off. Characters can die, anything can happen really, because they can just write in time travel or whatever and undo it all...lol.

Has the market turned or is it volatility ahead? This and more on KVB's High!!!!

Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund through 412 plays...

904	16-Jul	MIA +101	1.01
915		TOR +170	1.7
921		SEA/OAK OVER 9.5 (+100)	1
924		LAA +104	1.04
927		ARI +148	1.48
929		NYM +148	1.48

		Tue	7.71

		Weeks 1-5	-1.32
		Weeks 6-10	-1.23
		Weeks 11-15	-4.9
		Week 16	-2.69
		Mon	-0.89

		Total	-3.32

Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian RL Fund through 66 plays...

956	15-Jul	MIL +1.5 (-160)	-1
902	16-Jul	PHI +1.5 (+120)	1.2

		Week 17	0.2

		Weeks 1-5	-4.92
		Weeks 6-10	-4.59
		Weeks 11-15	4.86
		Week 16	-1

		Total	-5.45

To think, that Philly moneyline almost triggered in the Fund as well.

**KVB** · 07-17-19, 12:41 PM

Here's the Contrarian Fund so far this year.

The chart is still relative but if you count the couple of plays missed (including the Tex +230 earlier in the season) much of the chart could be adjusted so that the bottom of 23 could be more like 20, the recent double bounce more like 10 and the current units more like even.

Either way, it's still relative...

Notice we are coming off a double bounce of about 12 here. That's a good sign and given it can be a season of halves, perhaps the idea of bouncing off -20 again is put off for a while.

We could be seeing the market turn for the season, it's something I've been anticipating and the rate at which the public was winning post all star break was really bringing it to a head.

There can be volatility but hopefully we, at the worst, go a bit sideways here.

Time to break down a teams performance against the market and see how it behaves in past years.

Like the clean up on aisle NCAA Football.

**KVB** · 07-17-19, 12:43 PM

This page needs some beach...

**KVB** · 07-17-19, 12:43 PM

**KVB** · 07-17-19, 01:25 PM

Dang, when the Chicago Sky were down 9-0 it triggered as a likely comeback scenario, was going to post about it. Down 10 at half they come back to win by one.

Not surprising but no bet here.

**DiggityDaggityDo** · 07-17-19, 01:46 PM

Thank you, KVB.

**KVB** · 07-17-19, 04:15 PM

The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has added...

967

17-Jul

TOR +220

Would be a nice day if so.

**KVB** · 07-17-19, 05:12 PM

The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has added...

978

17-Jul

BAL +162

The original forecast has Balty winning this one comfortably.

**DiggityDaggityDo** · 07-17-19, 05:48 PM

Would you lick them?

**KVB** · 07-17-19, 06:57 PM

Oh for fuksake.

Get up from icing my shoulder to see this.

Un-fukkin-real.

...and reported.

**Fidel_CashFlow** · 07-17-19, 07:16 PM

Sounds exciting

**Fidel_CashFlow** · 07-17-19, 07:20 PM

**DiggityDaggityDo** · 07-17-19, 09:15 PM

Originally posted by KVB

Oh for fuksake.

Get up from icing my shoulder to see this.

Un-fukkin-real.

...and reported.

Originally posted by Fidel_CashFlow

Sounds exciting

**KVB** · 07-17-19, 10:41 PM

Hey DDD, how was Taco Bell?

Now that sounds exciting.

**KVB** · 07-17-19, 10:55 PM

Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund through 416 plays...

951	17-Jul	PIT +128	-1
967		TOR +220	-1
975		NYM +160	1.6
978		BAL +162	1.62

		Wed	1.22

		Weeks 1-5	-1.32
		Weeks 6-10	-1.23
		Weeks 11-15	-4.9
		Week 16	-2.69
		Mon	-0.89
		Tue	7.71

		Total	-2.1

There were no Contrarian RL plays today.

**KVB** · 07-17-19, 10:59 PM

**Bostongambler** · 07-17-19, 11:01 PM

I love summer games.

**DiggityDaggityDo** · 07-17-19, 11:44 PM

Taco Bell was cool, KVB.

My mom got a little feisty with a Taco Bell employee, but that’s just how she is. She’s a big flirt.

**KVB** · 07-18-19, 09:16 AM

The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has picked up...

918

18-Jul

TOR/BOS UNDER 10 (-110)

**KVB** · 07-18-19, 11:20 AM

The KVB MLB Contrarain Fund has added...

917

18-Jul

TOR +252

I used to do a little but a little wouldn't do it so the little go more and more.

**turtledoves** · 07-18-19, 11:38 AM

**turtledoves** · 07-18-19, 11:52 AM

**KVB** · 07-18-19, 01:01 PM

Originally posted by turtledoves

i wonder how extreme heat affects pitchers, batters, fielders, umpires, totals

What do we consider extreme heat? Humidity matters too. I have data. Will break some of this down but I can say that Totals have been affected as heat went up. Looking at 85-100 degree temps.

Closed domes are always 72 degrees.

**KVB** · 07-18-19, 01:19 PM

The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has added...

925

18-Jul

TB +146

**KVB** · 07-18-19, 01:21 PM

**turtledoves** · 07-18-19, 01:35 PM