Nice throw by Clippers

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  • Gaze73
    SBR MVP
    • 01-27-14
    • 3283

    Nice throw by Clippers

    How often does a fav win 1Q by 20 and lose the game? 1%? Some teams get so lazy with double digit leads, they couldn't score for 4.5 and 3.5 mins in 2Q.
  • Easy-Rider 66
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 02-14-12
    • 35192

    #2
    shit happens. you must have been on the clip joint?

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    • biggie12
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 12-30-05
      • 13769

      #3
      Originally posted by Gaze73
      How often does a fav win 1Q by 20 and lose the game? 1%? Some teams get so lazy with double digit leads, they couldn't score for 4.5 and 3.5 mins in 2Q.
      I'd say 20% last two years this is nothing new.

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      • Gaze73
        SBR MVP
        • 01-27-14
        • 3283

        #4
        Originally posted by biggie12
        I'd say 20% last two years this is nothing new.
        Can't be 20%. Dogs win 32% of games, so they can't win 20% when trailing by 20.

        In seasons 2002/2003 to 2015/2016 only 1 out of 32 road teams won after a 20pt Q1 deficit, don't have recent stats.
        Last edited by Gaze73; 02-07-25, 04:23 PM.

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        • VeggieDog
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 02-21-09
          • 7214

          #5
          On Tuesday the Clippers were -8.5 favs and lost to the Lakers by 25.

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          • asiagambler
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 07-23-17
            • 6831

            #6
            Originally posted by Gaze73
            Can't be 20%. Dogs win 32% of games, so they can't win 20% when trailing by 20.

            In seasons 2002/2003 to 2015/2016 only 1 out of 32 road teams won after a 20pt Q1 deficit, don't have recent stats.
            This season there's been 13 games where the favourite won the first quarter by 20 points or more. This game was the only one that lost. (9 home, 4 away)

            Last season it happened just 1 time in 22 games (Celtics @ Hawks 3/25/24)

            L10 seasons:
            2024: 13-1
            2023: 21-1
            2022: 18-1
            2021: 23-2
            2020: 23-0
            2019: 11-0
            2018: 18-2
            2017: 13-2
            2016: 18-0
            2015: 12-1

            Comment

            • Gaze73
              SBR MVP
              • 01-27-14
              • 3283

              #7
              Originally posted by asiagambler
              This season there's been 13 games where the favourite won the first quarter by 20 points or more. This game was the only one that lost. (9 home, 4 away)

              Last season it happened just 1 time in 22 games (Celtics @ Hawks 3/25/24)

              L10 seasons:
              2024: 13-1
              2023: 21-1
              2022: 18-1
              2021: 23-2
              2020: 23-0
              2019: 11-0
              2018: 18-2
              2017: 13-2
              2016: 18-0
              2015: 12-1
              Thanks, so it was unlucky. I bring the curse upon every team. I wonder how many teams covered the inflated live spread after losing by 20. I would bet 55-60%.
              Last edited by Gaze73; 02-07-25, 06:00 PM.

              Comment

              • VeggieDog
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 02-21-09
                • 7214

                #8
                Originally posted by asiagambler
                This season there's been 13 games where the favourite won the first quarter by 20 points or more. This game was the only one that lost. (9 home, 4 away)

                Last season it happened just 1 time in 22 games (Celtics @ Hawks 3/25/24)

                L10 seasons:
                2024: 13-1
                2023: 21-1
                2022: 18-1
                2021: 23-2
                2020: 23-0
                2019: 11-0
                2018: 18-2
                2017: 13-2
                2016: 18-0
                2015: 12-1
                I'm betting you didn't go through 10 seasons, game by game. Where did you get this information, seemingly so easy and quick? Just curious....

                Comment

                • 2Sweeet
                  SBR MVP
                  • 08-31-22
                  • 1093

                  #9
                  I lost the Clippers to close a 3 teamer last night and had ML. I had no clue they were up 20 in the 1st qter.

                  Weren't you the one that made a thread before how bad underdogs play in the 2nd half? LOL u can't have it both ways bro. It's called gambling.

                  Comment

                  • 2Sweeet
                    SBR MVP
                    • 08-31-22
                    • 1093

                    #10
                    Originally posted by VeggieDog
                    I'm betting you didn't go through 10 seasons, game by game. Where did you get this information, seemingly so easy and quick? Just curious....
                    Do u think there are a ton of 20 pt leads after 1 qter in the NBA? I'd take your bet he's right

                    Comment

                    • Gaze73
                      SBR MVP
                      • 01-27-14
                      • 3283

                      #11
                      Originally posted by 2Sweeet
                      I lost the Clippers to close a 3 teamer last night and had ML. I had no clue they were up 20 in the 1st qter.

                      Weren't you the one that made a thread before how bad underdogs play in the 2nd half? LOL u can't have it both ways bro. It's called gambling.
                      Clippers threw the game in Q2. 3 out of 4 2H throws are by dogs. Q4 is often a double digit disaster even if the dog leads after Q3. The worst is when you have +10.5 and they lose by 11 in OT.

                      Comment

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