Ohio State is a Dawg in disguise

**jjgold** · 01-31-17, 03:12 PM

Maryland real hot

TRAP???????????????????????

**PAULYPOKER** · 01-31-17, 03:21 PM

Trap for who, the books?

**PAULYPOKER** · 01-31-17, 03:27 PM

Power Rating
	Estimate	Edge
MARYLAND	-3
OHIO ST

**PAULYPOKER** · 01-31-17, 03:39 PM

PAGE LAST UPDATED ON TUE JAN 31 15:33:18 EST 2017

01/31/2017 7:00 PM EST
733 MARYLAND	138.5o08	141.5	141.5u07	141.5	141.5	141.5	142		141.5	72%	71%	100%
734 OHIO STATE	-1.5 -06	-3 -05	-2.5 -03	-2.5	-2.5	-2.5	-2.5	-2.5	-3 -05	28%	29%	0%

**PAULYPOKER** · 01-31-17, 03:45 PM

points spreads
Courtesy of 5DIMES

Time

MD

OSU

01/31 01:02 pm	+3 -105 63%	-3 -105 37%
01/31 12:37 pm	+3 -109 63%	-3 -101 37%
01/31 08:29 am	+2½ -108 62%	-2½ -102 38%
01/31 08:20 am	+2 -105 63%	-2 -105 37%
01/30 11:45 pm	+2 -110 62%	-2 -110 38%
01/30 06:59 pm	+1½ -110 65%	-1½ -110 35%

Time

MD

OSU

01/31 01:02 pm	+140 65%	-150 35%
01/31 12:38 pm	+135 66%	-145 34%
01/31 10:13 am	+125 66%	-135 34%
01/31 08:31 am	+130 64%	-140 36%

Time

Over

Under

01/31 01:44 pm	141½ -103 55%	141½ -107 45%
01/31 11:44 am	141 -103 48%	141 -107 52%
01/31 10:52 am	140 -103 35%	140 -107 65%
01/31 10:13 am	139½ -103 38%	139½ -107 62%
01/31 08:29 am	138½ -107 44%	138½ -103 56%

**PAULYPOKER** · 01-31-17, 03:58 PM

733: MARYLAND
734: OHIO ST

140.0
-2.5

75.7 / 65.8
73.4 / 68.3

19-2
13-9

13-6
8-12

8-11
13-7

45.3
46.4

70.2
66.7

37.3
33.7

39.9
40.5

71.8
65.2

32.1
34.1

**chosen4th** · 01-31-17, 04:03 PM

the only problem is, this is like the 6th time books have done this

MD was +4.5 vs MINN and public was all over MD.. MD won by 7
MD was +1.5 vs Iowa and public was all over MD.. MD won by 8
MD was +4 vs Illinois and public was all over MD.. MD won by 6
MD was +2 vs Indiana and public was all over MD.. MD won by 3
MD was +7 vs Michigan and public was all over MD.. MD won by 7

And that was all in January.. be careful

**PAULYPOKER** · 01-31-17, 04:07 PM

Shooting		3pt shots		Free Throws		Rebounds
Date	Teams	Score	Line	Result	Half	FGM-A	Pct	FGM-A	Pct	FTM-A	Pct	Tot.	OFF	TO
1/31/2016	MARYLAND #8	66	-4.5	SU ATS	37	21-50	42.0%	4-16	25.0%	20-23	87.0%	41	9	13
	OHIO ST	61	138	Under	31	21-59	35.6%	5-15	33.3%	14-24	58.3%	35	12	8
1/16/2016	OHIO ST	65	137.5	Over	30	22-59	37.3%	3-12	25.0%	18-25	72.0%	30	11	13
	MARYLAND #3	100	-10.5	SU ATS	48	37-59	62.7%	11-21	52.4%	15-21	71.4%	35	6	14
1/29/2015	MARYLAND #16	56	139.5	Under	26	18-59	30.5%	9-26	34.6%	11-16	68.7%	32	9	9
	OHIO ST	80	-7.5	SU ATS	34	28-60	46.7%	10-17	58.8%	14-26	53.8%	51	16	9

**chosen4th** · 01-31-17, 04:13 PM

Originally posted by chosen4th

the only problem is, this is like the 6th time books have done this

MD was +4.5 vs MINN and public was all over MD.. MD won by 7
MD was +1.5 vs Iowa and public was all over MD.. MD won by 8
MD was +4 vs Illinois and public was all over MD.. MD won by 6
MD was +2 vs Indiana and public was all over MD.. MD won by 3
MD was +7 vs Michigan and public was all over MD.. MD won by 7

And that was all in January.. be careful

I have wanted to bet against MD in every one of those games because the line was fishy.. thankfully i do my best not to bet on MD games cause im a fan

**PAULYPOKER** · 01-31-17, 05:52 PM

849: MARYLAND

#8

850: OHIO ST

138.0
+4.5

77.3 / 64.3
71.1 / 65.8

18-3
14-8

9-10
12-10

9-12
9-13

50.0
44.6

76.0
65.4

36.6
34.0

40.5
38.8

67.2
71.3

30.6
33.1

Power Rating
	Estimate	Edge
MARYLAND #8	-4
OHIO ST

527: OHIO ST
528: MARYLAND#3

137.5
-10.5

72.3 / 64.6
77.8 / 63.9

12-6
15-2

9-9
7-8

7-11
8-9

45.5
50.5

64.7
76.0

33.8
37.7

38.2
41.2

72.2
66.9

33.8
31.9

Power Rating
	Estimate	Edge
OHIO ST
MARYLAND#3	-10

511: MARYLAND

#16

512: OHIO ST

138.5
-8.0

72.5 / 63.0
80.0 / 61.8

18-3
16-5

7-10
9-10

8-7
10-8

44.5
50.9

74.7
70.0

37.8
38.6

39.2
39.9

65.9
71.1

30.3
31.5

Power Rating
	Estimate	Edge
MARYLAND #16
OHIO ST	-9

721: MARYLAND
722: OHIO ST#5

136.0
-10.0

74.3 / 62.1
74.5 / 53.3

5-2
6-0

4-1
2-3

3-2
1-3

45.9
46.2

60.4
66.5

40.0
35.8

38.7
35.3

70.2
70.1

33.3
24.5

Power Rating
	Estimate	Edge
MARYLAND
OHIO ST#5	-14

						Shooting		3pt shots		Free Throws		Rebounds
Date	Teams	Score	Line	Result	Half	FGM-A	Pct	FGM-A	Pct	FTM-A	Pct	Tot.	OFF	TO
12/4/2013	MARYLAND	60	136.5	Under	26	25-64	39.1%	2-18	11.1%	8-13	61.5%	44	17	14
#5	OHIO ST	76	-10	SU ATS	43	25-48	52.1%	8-18	44.4%	18-29	62.1%	30	5	11

**chico2663** · 01-31-17, 05:53 PM

All i know is I was doing a ml all in and had it up to 900. Took maryland against nebraska all in. They had 12 point lead with 6 minutes to go and didn't score again. this team is wacked but i did play them as a dog.

**PAULYPOKER** · 01-31-17, 06:07 PM

TOP TEN BETS
TODAY'S GAMES

1

Maryland

77%

POINT SPREAD

2

Wisconsin

MONEY LINE

3

Ohio State

23%

POINT SPREAD

23%

4

Maryland

77%

MONEY LINE

5

Houston Rockets

POINT SPREAD

6

Butler

POINT SPREAD

7

Washington Wizards

POINT SPREAD

8

Iowa State

POINT SPREAD

9

Butler

MONEY LINE

10

New York Knicks

POINT SPREAD

*OSU's 23% share of ML did not make top 10*

**squarenfl** · 01-31-17, 06:09 PM

Originally posted by chosen4th

the only problem is, this is like the 6th time books have done this

MD was +4.5 vs MINN and public was all over MD.. MD won by 7
MD was +1.5 vs Iowa and public was all over MD.. MD won by 8
MD was +4 vs Illinois and public was all over MD.. MD won by 6
MD was +2 vs Indiana and public was all over MD.. MD won by 3
MD was +7 vs Michigan and public was all over MD.. MD won by 7

And that was all in January.. be careful

this.

/thread

**No coincidences** · 01-31-17, 06:39 PM

Originally posted by chosen4th

the only problem is, this is like the 6th time books have done this

MD was +4.5 vs MINN and public was all over MD.. MD won by 7
MD was +1.5 vs Iowa and public was all over MD.. MD won by 8
MD was +4 vs Illinois and public was all over MD.. MD won by 6
MD was +2 vs Indiana and public was all over MD.. MD won by 3
MD was +7 vs Michigan and public was all over MD.. MD won by 7

And that was all in January.. be careful

Books don't learn their lesson with college basketball because they rely strictly on KenPom to set their lines. That's why you see this kind of thing over and over again; there are no "leans" by oddsmakers when it comes to college hoops. Strictly numbers game now, for better or worse.

**DOM_Toretto** · 01-31-17, 06:54 PM

Reading lines is one thing - LM shows OSU strength

Reading schedules in another - very tough for 3 freshmen to win back to back road wins @ Minn @ OSU in 3 days. Ohio state needs this home win at this point in their schedule.

Reading matchups is another - talented frosh + Trimble vs. experienced & strong (physically strong) team protecting home court.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 01-31-17, 07:00 PM

Great analogy. OhioSt looked like dogshit last game.

The trap = Maryland. The bet = OhioSt.

**krk1030** · 01-31-17, 07:03 PM

Maryland keeps it rolling with another win here.

**TheMoneyShot** · 01-31-17, 07:12 PM

Don't know who will win... but public numbers are still 50/50 with college basketball kids. Truth be known.

Hard to rig a college basketball game.

I noticed a game last year that closed with 82% on spread and 89% on ML. That team still won.

**No coincidences** · 01-31-17, 07:15 PM

Originally posted by TheMoneyShot

Don't know who will win... but public numbers are still 50/50 with college basketball kids. Truth be known.

Hard to rig a college basketball game.

I noticed a game last year that closed with 82% on spread and 89% on ML. That team still won.

First of all, no it's not. There are a lot of different ways to manipulate both refs and players.

Second, who said anything about "rigging" this game?

**DOM_Toretto** · 01-31-17, 07:17 PM

Originally posted by TheMoneyShot

Hard to rig a college basketball game.

Not trying to come down on you too hard... But Wake the Fukk Up!!!

Numerous instances of rigged/shaved college basketball games have come to light. Imagine how many will never come out.

It's shouldn't be a nightly excuse for gamblers but it certainly DOES happen.

**No coincidences** · 01-31-17, 07:22 PM

Originally posted by DOM_Toretto

Not trying to come down on you too hard... But Wake the Fukk Up!!!

Numerous instances of rigged/shaved college basketball games have come to light. Imagine how many will never come out.

It's shouldn't be a nightly excuse for gamblers but it certainly DOES happen.

It's the easiest American sport to manipulate by far.

**No coincidences** · 01-31-17, 07:53 PM

Can't treat college hoops like pro lines, PP. Just doesn't work that way anymore.

Vegas has its stubborn KenPom copycat system and they stick to it no matter what.

**PAULYPOKER** · 01-31-17, 08:01 PM

PAGE LAST UPDATED ON TUE JAN 31 19:49:27 EST 2017

TOP TEN BETS
TODAY'S GAMES

1	Maryland 74%	POINT SPREAD
2	Maryland 81%	MONEY LINE
3	Ohio State 26%	POINT SPREAD
4	Wisconsin	MONEY LINE
5	Butler	POINT SPREAD
6	Washington Wizards	POINT SPREAD
7	Houston Rockets	POINT SPREAD
8	New York Knicks	POINT SPREAD
9	Iowa State	POINT SPREAD
10	Creighton	POINT SPREAD



01/31/2017 7:00 PM EST
733 MARYLAND	138.5o08	143	143	143	142.5	141.5	143.5	143	143	74%	81%	76%
734 OHIO STATE	-1.5 -06	-2.5	-3	-3	-3	-3	-2.5	-2.5 -05	-2.5	26%	19%	24%

**PAULYPOKER** · 01-31-17, 08:10 PM

points spreads

time

md

osu

01/31 07:04 pm	+3 -110 59%	-3 -110 41%
01/31 06:11 pm	+3 -109 59%	-3 -101 41%
01/31 05:37 pm	+3 -102 62%	-3 -108 38%
01/31 05:03 pm	+3½ -109 63%	-3½ -101 37%
01/31 04:32 pm	+3½ -105 63%	-3½ -105 37%
01/31 04:25 pm	+3½ -107 62%	-3½ -103 38%
01/31 03:26 pm	+2½ -107 62%	-2½ -103 38%
01/31 01:02 pm	+3 -105 63%	-3 -105 37%
01/31 12:37 pm	+3 -109 63%	-3 -101 37%
01/31 08:29 am	+2½ -108 62%	-2½ -102 38%
01/31 08:20 am	+2 -105 63%	-2 -105 37%
01/30 11:45 pm	+2 -110 62%	-2 -110 38%
01/30 06:59 pm	+1½ -110 65%	-1½ -110 35%

money lines

time

md

osu

01/31 07:04 pm	+135 60%	-155 40%
01/31 06:12 pm	+140 61%	-150 39%
01/31 05:37 pm	+135 65%	-145 35%
01/31 05:03 pm	+143 66%	-153 34%
01/31 04:34 pm	+148 66%	-158 34%
01/31 04:25 pm	+150 66%	-160 34%
01/31 04:10 pm	+125 66%	-135 34%
01/31 03:26 pm	+130 65%	-140 35%
01/31 01:02 pm	+140 65%	-150 35%
01/31 12:38 pm	+135 66%	-145 34%
01/31 10:13 am	+125 66%	-135 34%
01/31 08:31 am	+130 64%	-140 36%

total

time

over

under

01/31 07:04 pm	143 -110 62%	143 -110 38%
01/31 06:40 pm	143 -103 61%	143 -107 39%
01/31 05:03 pm	142 -102 58%	142 -108 42%
01/31 04:10 pm	141½ -107 51%	141½ -103 49%
01/31 01:44 pm	141½ -103 51%	141½ -107 49%
01/31 11:44 am	141 -103 48%	141 -107 52%
01/31 10:52 am	140 -103 35%	140 -107 65%
01/31 10:13 am	139½ -103 38%	139½ -107 62%
01/31 08:29 am	138½ -107 44%	138½ -103 56%

**chosen4th** · 01-31-17, 08:17 PM

Originally posted by PAULYPOKER

points spreads

time

md

osu

01/31 07:04 pm	+3 -110 59%	-3 -110 41%
01/31 06:11 pm	+3 -109 59%	-3 -101 41%
01/31 05:37 pm	+3 -102 62%	-3 -108 38%
01/31 05:03 pm	+3½ -109 63%	-3½ -101 37%
01/31 04:32 pm	+3½ -105 63%	-3½ -105 37%
01/31 04:25 pm	+3½ -107 62%	-3½ -103 38%
01/31 03:26 pm	+2½ -107 62%	-2½ -103 38%
01/31 01:02 pm	+3 -105 63%	-3 -105 37%
01/31 12:37 pm	+3 -109 63%	-3 -101 37%
01/31 08:29 am	+2½ -108 62%	-2½ -102 38%
01/31 08:20 am	+2 -105 63%	-2 -105 37%
01/30 11:45 pm	+2 -110 62%	-2 -110 38%
01/30 06:59 pm	+1½ -110 65%	-1½ -110 35%

money lines

time

md

osu

01/31 07:04 pm	+135 60%	-155 40%
01/31 06:12 pm	+140 61%	-150 39%
01/31 05:37 pm	+135 65%	-145 35%
01/31 05:03 pm	+143 66%	-153 34%
01/31 04:34 pm	+148 66%	-158 34%
01/31 04:25 pm	+150 66%	-160 34%
01/31 04:10 pm	+125 66%	-135 34%
01/31 03:26 pm	+130 65%	-140 35%
01/31 01:02 pm	+140 65%	-150 35%
01/31 12:38 pm	+135 66%	-145 34%
01/31 10:13 am	+125 66%	-135 34%
01/31 08:31 am	+130 64%	-140 36%

total

time

over

under

01/31 07:04 pm	143 -110 62%	143 -110 38%
01/31 06:40 pm	143 -103 61%	143 -107 39%
01/31 05:03 pm	142 -102 58%	142 -108 42%
01/31 04:10 pm	141½ -107 51%	141½ -103 49%
01/31 01:44 pm	141½ -103 51%	141½ -107 49%
01/31 11:44 am	141 -103 48%	141 -107 52%
01/31 10:52 am	140 -103 35%	140 -107 65%
01/31 10:13 am	139½ -103 38%	139½ -107 62%
01/31 08:29 am	138½ -107 44%	138½ -103 56%

You should probably stop posting charts and pay attention to the games

**goduke** · 01-31-17, 08:23 PM

Yeah these methods didn't work. The stuff you use has been a dead method for at least two years. Time to change your approach

**krk1030** · 01-31-17, 08:23 PM

Trimble better get going, dont see them holding this lead on the road with him playing like shit.

**funnyb25** · 01-31-17, 08:34 PM

Mad tight

**No coincidences** · 01-31-17, 09:01 PM

Originally posted by chosen4th

the only problem is, this is like the 6th time books have done this

MD was +4.5 vs MINN and public was all over MD.. MD won by 7
MD was +1.5 vs Iowa and public was all over MD.. MD won by 8
MD was +4 vs Illinois and public was all over MD.. MD won by 6
MD was +2 vs Indiana and public was all over MD.. MD won by 3
MD was +7 vs Michigan and public was all over MD.. MD won by 7

And that was all in January.. be careful

Once again, books do nothing about these trends. Literally no adjustments whatsoever. All about what KenPom tells them to do, which blindly leads them off a cliff.

**Ryermkd** · 01-31-17, 09:01 PM

**rizespor** · 01-31-17, 09:03 PM

This team just KEEPS WINNING

**chosen4th** · 01-31-17, 09:03 PM

Originally posted by chosen4th

the only problem is, this is like the 6th time books have done this

MD was +4.5 vs MINN and public was all over MD.. MD won by 7
MD was +1.5 vs Iowa and public was all over MD.. MD won by 8
MD was +4 vs Illinois and public was all over MD.. MD won by 6
MD was +2 vs Indiana and public was all over MD.. MD won by 3
MD was +7 vs Michigan and public was all over MD.. MD won by 7

And that was all in January.. be careful

I hate to say I told you so, but....

**t-wizzle** · 01-31-17, 09:04 PM

Ohio State is so bad. And no talent coming through the pipeline.

**funnyb25** · 01-31-17, 09:06 PM

Maryland just gets no respect from the books. I would look it up, but im sure they have covered nearly every game recently

Ohio State is a Dawg in disguise

Ohio State is a Dawg in disguise

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