Mr Octobers 2020 Tennis Plays thread

[Mr0ctober]

Season Long Tennis Thread:

Sorry had these on the wrong thread:

ATP Future: Djokovic +120 (5u)

Aussie open WTA:
Coco Gauff -1.5 sets (+150) (1u)
Keys -5.5 games (1u)
Jabeur +130 (1u)

Aussie open ATP:Gombos +110 (1u)

Money line parlays:
Keys/Kvitova -276 (2.76u wins 1u)
Keys/Kviova/QWang/Bencic (-132) (1.32u wins 1u)

[Conqueror]

Congrats on Jabeur!

[Mr0ctober]

Thanks Conqueror.

Adds:

ATP:
Money line parlay: Tsonga/Zverev/Khachanov (-130) (1.3u to win 1u)
Sousa +110 (1u)
WTA:
Svitolina -6.5 (-120) (0.5u)
Davis/Bertens (-142) (0.5u)Blinkova/Vekic (+110) (0.5u)
Brady +3.5 Games (0.6u)
Brady +192 (BM) (0.4u)
Cocciaretto (+255) 0.5u)

[Mr0ctober]

Parmenter Live +380 (.35u)

No need to trash the parlay is Qwang gets upset.

[Mr0ctober]

ATP Future: Djokovic +120 (5u)

Aussie open WTA:
Coco Gauff -1.5 sets (+150) (1u)✅ +1.5u
Keys -5.5 games (1u) ✅ +1.00u
Jabeur +130 (1u) ✅ +1.30u

Aussie open ATP:Gombos +110 (1u) ❌ -1u

Money line parlays:
Keys/Kvitova -276 (2.76u wins 1u)✅ +1u
Keys/Kviova/QWang/Bencic (1.32u wins 1u)✅ +1u

ATP:
Money line parlay: Tsonga/Zverev/Khachanov (-130) (1.3u to win 1u)❌ -1.3u
Sousa +110 (1u)❌ -1.00u
WTA:
Svitolina -6.5 (-120) (0.5u) ❌ -0.6u
Davis/Bertens (-142) (0.5u)✅ +0.5u
Blinkova/Vekic (+110) (0.5u)✅ +0.55u
Brady +3.5 Games (0.6u)❌ -0.66u
Brady +192 (BM) (0.4u) ❌ -0.4u
Cocciaretto (+255) 0.5 ❌ -0.5u
Parmenter Live +380 (.35u) ❌ -0.35u

Year to date: 7-6 +1.04u✅

[Mr0ctober]

WTA:
Swiatek/Kontaveit -105 (1u)
Guaff/kontaveit -110 (1u)
Jabeur -130 (1u)


ATP:
Fucsovics +115 (1u)
Raonic/Fognini -105 (1u)

[Mr0ctober]

Couple of adds:
money line parlay:
raonic/Osaka/RBA (-130) (1.3 wins 1u)

WTA add:
Zhang/McNally over 20.5 games -105 (1u)


I usually don’t pay attention to live movement. But I can’t figure out why Raonic is down to -280. I have him -450. Yes Garin is a tremendous returner but don’t love his form. Also everytime he has stepped up in competition he has gotten slaughtered. Unless someone knows something I don’t. I think Raonic is a valuable money line parlay piece. Same could be said with Osaka.

[Mr0ctober]

Last add:
Ann Li +364 (0.4u)
Ann Li +5.5 (0.7u)

Kenin definitely more talented but this is a bet on the two players form. Li has been impressive while Kenin has been a rollercoaster. Seems like a solid spot to fire the dog

[Mr0ctober]

Was dead on about Raonic. Swung and missed on Li. Big night all together let’s run it back tonight!

WTA:
Swiatek/Kontaveit -105 (1u)✅
Guaff/kontaveit -110 (1u)✅
Jabeur -130 (1u)✅
Zhang/McNally over 20.5 games -105 (1u)❌
Ann Li +364 (0.4u)❌
Ann Li +5.5 (0.7u)❌

ATP:
Fucsovics +115 (1u)✅
Raonic/Fognini -105 (1u)✅


money line parlay:
raonic/Osaka/RBA (-130) (1.3 wins 1u)✅

Tuesday 6-2 +4u

Year to date: 13-8 +5.04u✅

[Mr0ctober]

WTA:
Svitolina/kontaviet/Halep -200 (1u to win 0.5u)
Ostapenko/Bencic over 21.5 game -110 (1u)
Siegemund +520 (0.4u)
Siegemund +5.5 game (-120) (0.6u)
Giorgi +120 (1u)


ATP:
Anderson -130 (0.5u)
Ymer +235 (0.5u)
Ymer +5 games (0.5u) -104

[Mr0ctober]

Adds:Anderson -110 (0.7u)

Verdasco -2.5 games +105 (0.4u)

Verdasco -2.5 sets +310 (0.3u)

[Mr0ctober]

WTA:
Svitolina/kontaviet/Halep -200 (1u to win 0.5u)✅
Ostapenko/Bencic over 21.5 game -110 (1u)✅
Siegemund +520 (0.4u)❌
Siegemund +5.5 game (-120) (0.6u)❌
Giorgi +120 (1u)✅


ATP:
Anderson -130 (0.5u)❌
Ymer +235 (0.5u)❌
Ymer +5 games (0.5u) -104✅
Adds:Anderson -110 (0.7u)❌
Verdasco -2.5 games +105 (0.4u)✅
Verdasco -2.5 sets +310 (0.3u)❌

grinded out a little profit.
3-2 +0.28u. (I don’t double count the splits)

Year to date: 16-10 +5.32u✅

very good start to tennis year. Volume will slow down as rounds go on obviously

[Mr0ctober]

WTA:
Jabeur +190 (1u)

ATP:
Cilic +230 (1u)

much smaller card. Couple of good value on these dogs tonight. RBA been hot as can be but Cilic at a +230 is just too high.

Jabeur should be a live dog as well.

[Mr0ctober]

One add

atp
Raonic +225 (1u)

[Mr0ctober]

Last add ATP:Tommy Paul +115 (1u)

[Mr0ctober]

WTA:
Jabeur +190 (1u)✅

ATP:
Cilic +230 (1u)✅
Raonic +225 (1u)✅
Tommy Paul +115 (1u)❌

cash those Dogs!!

3-1 on the night +5.45u

Year to date: 19-11 +10.77u✅

[leetreaper]

Subscribed

[Mr0ctober]

Slight value on these. Nothing like yesterday. Gonna push a little bit since running well. That’s why you see the smaller unit sizes.

Friday Jan 24
ATP:
Monfils/Medvedev (-132) (0.66 to win 0.5u)
Rublev/Medvedev (-134) (0.67 to win 0.5u)
Wawrinka -126 (0.63 to win 0.5u)


WTA:
Bencic -144 (0.72 to win 0.5u)
Swiatek +117 (0.7u to win 0.82u)

[Mr0ctober]

Be smart. If you have followed along don’t risk giving it all back!!

[Mr0ctober]

Friday Jan 24
ATP:
Monfils/Medvedev (-132) (0.66 to win 0.5u)✅
Rublev/Medvedev (-134) (0.67 to win 0.5u)✅
Wawrinka -126 (0.63 to win 0.5u)✅


WTA:
Bencic -144 (0.72 to win 0.5u) ❌
Swiatek +117 (0.7u to win 0.82u)✅

4-1 night +1.6u

Year to date: 23-12 +12.37u✅

[tcarn01]

great work in here.

[tcarn01]

any good plays tonight?

[Mr0ctober]

Saturday night tennis:
ATP:
Cilic +160 (risk 0.4u)

WTA:
Kvitova/Sakkari over 21 games -108 (to win 0.5u)


money line parlay WTA/ATP
Kenin/roger fed -105 (to win 0.5u)

[Mr0ctober]

ATP:
Cilic +160 (risk 0.4u)❌

WTA:
Kvitova/Sakkari over 21 games -108 (to win 0.5u)✅


money line parlay WTA/ATP
Kenin/roger fed -105 (to win 0.5u)✅

2-1 +0.6u✅

Year to date: 25-13+12.97u✅

card up later.

[Mr0ctober]

Awful news about Kobe Bryant and the others that have been killed in the helicopter crash. Thoughts and prayers to all the family and friends and everyone out there. Very sad news. Value the people close to you- young and old- children, parents, siblings, friends, etc. We often forget that tomorrow is never promised. Enjoy the moments you get with the ones close to you.

Sunday tennis:
ATP:
Kyrgios +423 (risk 0.3u)
Kyrgios +2.5 sets -140 (0.98u to win 0.7)

WTA:
Swiatek +108 (risk 0.8u)
Muguruza -136 (1.36u to win 1.0u)

[Conqueror]

Swiatek almost completed the comeback.
BOL with Muguruza and Kyrgios!

[Mr0ctober]

ATP:
Kyrgios +423 (risk 0.3u)❌
Kyrgios +2.5 sets -140 (0.98u to win 0.7)✅

Impressed Swiatek yet again. Tough loss. Got what I wanted from Kyrgios. He got a set and then lost a couple tiebreakers. Super competitive just didn’t have enough to knock of Rafa.

WTA:
Swiatek +108 (risk 0.8u)❌
Muguruza -136 (1.36u to win 1.0u)✅

2-1 +0.6u✅

Again just to clarify if I split a bet between ML and games or sets and they split I count it as a cancel. Same with money line and split if they both win it’s only 1 win. And if both lose it’s only 1 loss.

Year to date: 27-14 +13.57u✅

card later

[Mr0ctober]

Only one play and really don't see a big edge.

Djok -5.5 Games -120 (risk 0.6u to win 0.5u)

Best of luck tonight guys!

[Mr0ctober]

Recap
Djok -5.5 Games -120 (risk 0.6u to win 0.5u)✅

Year to date: 28-14 +14.07u✅

[Mr0ctober]

Sorry so late guys:

Halep/Muguruza +109 ML Parlay (risk 0.5u)

[Mr0ctober]

Halep/Muguruza +109 ML Parlay (risk 0.5u) Winner +0.545u

Year to date: 29-14 +14.615u✅

[Mr0ctober]

My numbers have a very small edge with Zverev against Stan but im going to sit this one out. i would suggest maybe a small play on the over as it seems like this match could be rather lengthy but again im staying off of everything the rest of the night. hard to find value deeper into these tournaments.

Best of luck out there if you dabble.

[SCI]

Nice run man. You follow the sport well. BOL the rest of the year

[Mr0ctober]

Thanks guys:

jan 29th

WTA
kenin +290 (0.3u)
kenin +4.5 (-110) (0.5u)
Kenin/Barty over 21.5 (0.5u)

Mugurzua +150 (0.35u)

Nothing in Men’s just rooting for our Djok future.

[Conqueror]

BOL tonight!