Alabama vs. LSU Player Prop Bet Odds & Touchdown Picks: Nussmeier to Dominate SEC Clash
Garrett Nussmeier and the LSU Tigers host Jalen Milroe and the Alabama Crimson Tide in a top-25 showdown in Baton Rouge, La.
I make my best Alabama vs. LSU player prop bet picks to accompany our Alabama vs. LSU prediction. The SEC foes meet at Tiger Stadium at 7:30 p.m. ET (ABC), where the Crimson Tide are 2.5-point road favorites looking to move to 4-2 in SEC play.
These two teams have both displayed their explosive offenses multiple times this season. As we continue our Week 11 college football predictions, should we expect big things from Jalen Milroe and Garrett Nussmeier, or will the defenses show up?
Alabama vs. LSU college football player prop bets: Saturday
Odds as of Saturday and subject to change.
- Jalen Milroe touchdown pick: Score 2+ touchdowns (+320 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐
- Garrett Nussmeier Over 297.5 passing yards (-115 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Ryan Williams Under 4.5 receptions (+125 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
College football picks made Saturday; odds subject to change. Our NEW college football player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!
Alabama vs. LSU touchdown pick
Jalen Milroe to score 2+ touchdowns (+320) ⭐⭐⭐
Milroe started the season scoring multiple touchdowns in four consecutive games. Since then, he’s only scored two touchdowns in one of four games, but he has scored at least one touchdown in all but one game this season.
The Tigers only allow 23.0 points per game, but they’ve benefitted from a rather easy schedule. They’ve allowed at least 26 points to the three best offenses they’ve faced, allowing at least 33 in two of those games.
The Crimson Tide are averaging 37.6 points per game, 12th-most in the nation. Milroe is their red zone threat, and he should have plenty of opportunities in this game. Prices range from +245 to +320. With our best sports betting apps listing him to score one touchdown at -165 or better, they clearly think his floor is one. For this price, picking him to get one more is a must-play.
Best odds: +320 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 23.81%
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Best Alabama vs. LSU prop bets
Garrett Nussmeier Over 297.5 passing yards (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Nussmeier has thrown for at least 300 yards in six of his eight games this season. His lowest passing total came against the Arkansas Razorbacks when he managed 233 yards. However, his team also won that game by 24 points, something that’s almost certainly not going to happen tonight.
Besides that one performance, Nussmeier has thrown for at least 285 yards every game. The Crimson Tide defense allows 193.3 passing yards per game, but they’ve only played one Power 4 team that ranks in the top 70 in the nation in passing yards. In that game, they allowed Carson Beck to throw for 439 yards.
Nussmeier’s total ranges from 297.5 to 299.5 at each of our sites with the best sportsbook promos. FanDuel is offering the best price of -114, but they have the total set at 298.5.
Best odds: -115 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 53.49%
Ryan Williams Under 4.5 receptions (+125) ⭐⭐⭐
Williams has led the Crimson Tide in receiving yards in six of their eight games. He leads the team with 702 receiving yards, which is 239 yards more than the next leading receiver. And while he leads the team with 35 receptions, he has consistently gone under 4.5 receptions this season.
Williams has caught four or fewer passes in six of his eight games. Even against the Georgia Bulldogs when he set a season-high with 177 yards, he only caught six passes. He has caught four passes in four games, so this number is set right at his average, but the Under is the way to go in a matchup that doesn’t scream mismatch.
Additionally, the price for the Under at bet365 is tremendous. FanDuel has the price set at -102, which is still very good, but it implies a nearly 7% difference in probability compared to the bet365 price.
Best odds: +125 via bet365 | Implied probability: 44.44%
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Alabama vs. LSU game info
- When: Saturday, Nov. 9
- Kickoff: 7:30 p.m. ET
- Where: Tiger Stadium (Baton Rouge, La.)
- How to watch: ABC/ESPN+
- Weather: 75 degrees, 40% chance of precipitation, wind 9 mph SE
- Favorite: Alabama -2.5 (-110 via Caesars)
College football betting odds pages
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