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Arizona State vs. Texas State Early Picks, Predictions & Odds Week 3

Mike Spector

Last Updated: September 9, 2024 10:27 AM EDT • 2 min 26 sec read.

Texas State Bobcats offensive lineman Nash Jones scores a touchdown against the Rice Owls.
Texas State Bobcats offensive lineman Nash Jones scores a touchdown against the Rice Owls. Photo by Tim Heitman via Imagn Images.

The Texas State Bobcats get a rare opportunity to host a Power Four conference team on Thursday Night when the Arizona State Sun Devils of the Big 12 pay a visit.

This matchup is one of two college football games on Thursday, but it's the only one featuring two 2-0 teams.

My Arizona State vs. Texas State early leans and odds factors in that this is the first road contest of the season for the Sun Devils, and they'll head to Texas Tech next week to make it back-to-back away games.

Meanwhile, Texas State is coming off its first win in six all-time head-to-head meetings with UTSA, so it enters this affair with momentum.

We've since broken down this matchup in full in our Arizona State vs. Texas State prediction.

Arizona State vs. Texas State live odds

See the college football odds from our best college football betting sites for every Week 3 game.

Moneyline

Arizona State is as short as a -130 moneyline favorite as DraftKings, while FanDuel is the biggest believer in the underdog Bobcats, instilling them as +102 home ‘dogs.

Spread

  • Arizona State best odds: -1.5 (-110) via FanDuel
  • Texas State best odds: +2.5 (-110) via BetMGM

Most of our best sports betting sites are at -2, and given that FanDuel is the only one with a smaller line, it is more likely that it moves with the rest of the market. It would likely take an exorbitant amount of money on the favorites to push this to the key number of -3 before kickoff.

Over/Under

  • Over best odds: 58.5 (-110) via BetMGM
  • Under best odds: 59.5 (-110) via FanDuel

FanDuel is the only best sports betting app not offering an O/U of 58.5. Considering both teams rank in the top five of their respective conferences in total yards and points per game, it is likely that the total will creep towards 60 points before kickoff.

My early Arizona State vs. Texas State lean

College football picks made Monday; odds subject to change. Our NEW college football player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!

Prediction: Texas State ML

Best odds: +110 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 47.62%

Bobcats head coach G.J. Kinne knows a thing or two about coaching offense, from reaching the FCS semifinals at Incarnate Word with an explosive offense, to improving the Bobcats from ranking 100th or worse in offensive SP+ for 10 consecutive years to 37th in his first year at the helm.

Texas State’s up-tempo attack (it played at a top-10 fastest pace last year) is a nightmare to prepare for, especially on a short week.

The Bobcats already dropped 49 points on a solid UTSA squad after cracking the 40-point threshold six times last year, and their fast tempo should frustrate a Sun Devils squad that was 2-4 in their last six non-conference games heading into the season.

Don't miss our guide for how to bet on college football or this week's best sportsbook promos.

How to watch Visitor vs. Host

  • When: Thursday, Sept. 12
  • Kickoff: 7:30 p.m. ET
  • Where: Bobcat Stadium, San Marcos, Texas
  • How to watch: ESPN
  • Weather: 93 degrees, 8% chance of precipitation, 9-mph NNE winds
  • Favorite: Arizona State (-122 via FanDuel)

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Written By:
Mike Spector
Mike started in the sports writing industry in July 2019, and gained a lot of followers in his first year after finishing with the No. 2 overall record in an annual NFL betting competition, which made picks against the spread, and from an Over/Under and moneyline perspective. Mike is an avid fan of the NFL, MLB, tennis, and all college sports. In his opinion, March Madness is the best sporting event there is, and he's especially euphoric starting with conference tournament time in college basketball. Mike's a big advocate of "fading the public" and making plays that are contrarian, constantly citing that "there are reasons why they have those big shiny buildings in Las Vegas." When making wagers, Mike always scours the best odds at all of the major sports betting sites, where he mostly sifts through DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and bet365. He's tried several others and is of the firm belief that bettors should not just stick to one sportsbook, as there is always likely better value to be had with the same wager. In addition, while Mike received his undergraduate degree from Villanova University, he has no issue betting against the Wildcats when it comes to college basketball wagering, and suggests other bettors should always put their “head” before their “hearts.”