North Carolina, Bill Belichick Open with 6.5 Win Total Over/Under for 2025
It's not often that the University of North Carolina is the first team to have a win total Over/Under posted by our best college football betting sites, but that's what'll happen when you finalize a deal with Bill Belichick to be your next head coach.
As UNC reportedly finalized a deal with Belichick to take over for the fired Mack Brown, FanDuel opened the Tar Heels' 2025 win total at 6.5, with equal -113 odds on the Over and Under. Belichick takes over a UNC program that went 6-6 this season, good enough to secure a berth in the Fenway Bowl on December 28.
North Carolina win total 2025
| Over 6.5 | Under 6.5 |
|---|---|
| -113 | -113 |
North Carolina went 6-6 this regular season. That was its worst record since the same mark in 2021, also under Brown. The Tar Heels haven't had a 10-win campaign since going 11-3 in 2015 under then-head coach Larry Fedora before losing 49-38 in the Russell Athletic Bowl.
UNC hasn't won a bowl game since the 2019 Military Bowl against Temple (55-13).
The -113 odds on both the Over and Under would return a profit of $8.85 on a winning $10 bet.
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How many games will North Carolina win?
Prediction: Over 6.5 (-113)
Belichick was hired early in the transfer portal process, and more and more names will flood the portal as more players opt out of their bowl games. North Carolina is a 3-point favorite in the Fenway Bowl against UConn by the latest bowl game odds.
With UNC going 6-6 this season and with Belichick expected to have plenty of pull in the transfer portal, Over 6.5 is an easy early pick. I'd expect this total to rise by the start of the 2025 college football season.
What to know about Bill Belichick
Bill Belichick is a six-time Super Bowl winner - all with the New England Patriots and QB Tom Brady - while appearing in two others. He was head coach of the Patriots from 2000-2023 and was named the AP NFL Coach of the Year three times.
His father was an assistant coach with UNC in the 1950s.
North Carolina football history
| Year (Coach) | Conference record | Overall record | Bowl |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 3-5 | 6-6 | Fenway Bowl |
| 2023 | 4-4 | 8-5 | Lost Duke's Mayo Bowl |
| 2022 | 6-2 | 9-5 | Lost Holiday Bowl |
| 2021 | 3-5 | 6-7 | Lost Duke's Mayo Bowl |
| 2020 | 7-3 | 8-4 | Lost Orange Bowl |
| 2019 (Mack Brown) | 4-4 | 7-6 | Won Military Bowl |
| 2018 | 1-7 | 2-9 | - |
| 2017 | 1-7 | 3-9 | - |
| 2016 | 5-3 | 8-5 | Lost Sun Bowl |
| 2015 | 8-0 | 11-3 | Lost Russell Athletic Bowl |
| 2014 | 4-4 | 6-7 | Lost Quick Lane Bowl |
| 2013 | 4-4 | 7-6 | Won Belk Bowl |
| 2012 (Larry Fedora) | 5-3 | 8-4 | Ineligible |
| 2011 (Everett Withers) | 3-5 | 7-6 | Lost Independence Bowl |
| 2010 (Butch Davis) | 4-4 | 8-5 | Won Music City Bowl |
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