Ohio State vs. Notre Dame Odds: CFP National Championship Game Odds Movement
As Notre Dame attempts to win its first title since 1988, the Fighting Irish take on Ohio State as an underdog in the CFP National Championship at 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN) from Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta on Monday, Jan. 20.
- After some early movement, the CFP odds for Ohio State vs. Notre Dame have been stagnant since Monday with the Buckeyes -8 at most of our college football betting sites
- The college football championship odds have Ohio State -350 by the moneyline, implying a 77.78% probability Ryan Day will bring Columbus its first championship since 2014
- Despite the Irish being a major underdog, our Ohio State vs. Notre Dame preview looks at how Marcus Freeman could upset his alma mater
Ohio State vs. Notre Dame odds: CFP National Championship Game
Ohio State vs. Notre Dame moneyline
(Best odds via our best sports betting sites)
| Moneyline | Ohio State | Notre Dame |
|---|---|---|
| Opening moneyline | -400 (via BetMGM) | +328 (via Caesars) |
| Monday moneyline | -350 (via BetMGM) | +285 (via FanDuel) |
| Friday moneyline | -350 (via BetMGM) | +325 (via BetRivers) |
Ohio State vs. Notre Dame spread
| Spread | Ohio State | Notre Dame |
|---|---|---|
| Opening spread | -9.5 (-110 via bet365) | +9.5 (-110 via bet365) |
| Monday spread | -8 (-110 via Caesars) | +8.5 (-110 via BetMGM) |
| Friday spread | -8 (-110 via Caesars) | +9.5 (-112 via BetRivers) |
Ohio State vs. Notre Dame Over/Under
| Spread | Ohio State | Notre Dame |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Over/Under | Over: 45.5 (-110 via bet365) | Under: 45.5 (-110 via bet365) |
| Monday Over/Under | Over: 45.5 (-115 via Caesars) | Under: 46 (-110 via bet365) |
| Friday Over/Under | Over: 46 (-105 via Caesars) | Under: 46.5 (-112 via DraftKings) |
Although we'd give the Buckeyes the clear edge in this matchup from a talent perspective, it's still slightly surprising to see Notre Dame be such a massive underdog. Getting the Irish at +9.5 seems a little wild considering they've covered in 11 straight games.
Under Freeman's guidance, the Irish have been particularly competent as an underdog, too. While Notre Dame has been an underdog only seven times during Freeman's tenure, it's 6-1 ATS and 4-3 straight-up - that includes covering as a 15-point underdog against the Buckeyes in 2022.
I'm taking the Irish to cover the +9.5, and I'm not alone in backing the boys from South Bend, either. According to the betting consensus, the public is all over the Irish with 64% taking them to cover the spread and just 36% backing the Buckeyes.
So, it made sense seeing Ohio State open at -9.5 following the Cotton Bowl victory over Texas, before the line quickly moved to -8.5. But since then, the line has hovered between -8 and -9.5, for the most part - Ohio State's also already the 2025-26 CFP National Championship opening odds favorite, too.
While I've detailed why this Buckeyes roster is the best in the country, I still think that's too many points, and I was expecting this line to shift down to at least -7.5.
The projected score from College Football Insiders is a 25-20 win for Ohio State, and I'm right there with that - I have the Buckeyes winning 24-20. This is another reason I find this game total to be a bit of a head-scratcher.
It's moved up to 46.5 after opening at 45.5, despite the fact that these two teams both rank top five in SP+ on defense and are both top five in EPA per rush and EPA per dropback on defense. These are two of the three best defenses in the country - I'd argue only Texas over Notre Dame.
The public doesn't seem to care, though, with a whopping 72% of the money on the Over, probably because of players like Jeremiah Smith and TreVeyon Henderson being enticing CFP National Championship MVP odds options.
Notre Dame's inability to consistently throw the ball mixed with the Irish's Al Golden likely putting together a strong game plan to bracket Smith has me thinking the game total should drop back down to 45.5, but it won't.
With minimal movement to the spread throughout the week, don't expect it to change much by kick on Monday. Instead, see if that game total keeps rising because the Under is mighty appetizing.
Live CFP odds
See all of this week's college football odds and NCAAF scores.
Keep up to date with the latest odds! Odds are updated in realtime.
Ohio State vs. Notre Dame expert picks: CFP National Championship
Along with our Ohio State vs. Notre Dame expert picks, we've broken down this matchup from every angle - including full team previews for Ohio State and Notre Dame and how they compare in key areas ahead of Monday's CFP National Championship Game.
- Ohio State football preview: Roster breakdown, key stats
- Notre Dame football preview: Roster breakdown, key stats
- Ohio State vs. Notre Dame preview: Film breakdown, expert analysis
- Ohio State vs. Notre Dame comparison: Tale of the tape
- Ohio State vs. Notre Dame early picks: Predictions & odds
CFP National Championship game info
- When: Monday, Jan. 20
- Kickoff: 7:30 p.m. ET
- Where: Mercedes-Benz Stadium (Atlanta)
- How to watch: ESPN
- Weather: Indoors
- Favorite: Ohio State -8 (-110 via Caesars)
College football betting odds pages
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- bet365 Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our bet365 Review
- FanDuel Promo Code | Read our FanDuel Review
- DraftKings Promo Code | Read our DraftKings Review
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