Colorado State vs. Nevada Picks, Predictions College Football Week 6: Don't Expect Offense
The Colorado State Rams remains winless while heading on the road to face the Nevada Wolf Pack in Week 6. Check out our top Colorado State-Nevada picks below.
Colorado State's most recent loss came by a 41-10 count against Sacramento State. The Rams have lost every game by at least 15 points and by as many as 44. They also failed to cover the spread in every game and hit the Under each time out.
Nevada started the season with back-to-back wins but has since lost three straight both outright and against the spread. The Wolf Pack won the last two head-to-head meetings by margins of 39 and 42 points.
Here are our top picks for the college football Week 6 game between Colorado State and Nevada (odds via Caesars Sportsbook and DraftKings Sportsbook; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Colorado State vs. Nevada Game Info
Date: Friday,
Oct. 7, 10:30 p.m. ET
TV: FS1
Location: Mackay Stadium, Reno, NV
Weather: 50 degrees, 0% chance of
precipitation, 7-mph E wind
Colorado State vs. Nevada Odds
Colorado State vs. Nevada Odds Analysis
The spread has grown from a consensus opening line of Nevada -3 to -3.5 with 63% of the tickets and 51% of the handle backing the Wolf Pack.
The Over/Under dropped from 47.5 on the opening line to 44.5 as of Friday morning with just 50% of the tickets accounting for 95% of the handle on the Under.
Colorado State vs. Nevada Picks
Colorado State vs. Nevada ATS Pick
Nevada -3 (-110) ★★★
Throw last year’s 52-10 thrashing of Colorado State on the road by Nevada out the window, as the Wolf Pack does not have a quarterback as talented as Carson Strong this year.
Nate Cox has underwhelmed with a 56.8 completion percentage this year, but he was not given much chance in the last game, as Nevada possessed the ball for just over 16 minutes against Air Force. That was two subpar performances in a row by Nevada’s offense, as it was blanked by Iowa the week before.
However, we like Nevada to bounce back this week after having nearly two weeks off after having to defend Air Force’s triple option for almost 44 minutes of the last game.
Colorado State is coming off arguably its worst loss in program history. The Rams lost 41-10 to FCS Sacramento State at home, which improved the Hornets to 2-23 straight-up in 25 games against FBS opponents.
The Rams have now lost 10 consecutive games, the longest active losing streak among FBS teams, and they are 0-4 against the spread to start this season. The Rams are also 0-6 ATS in their last six conference games and have covered the spread in one of their last 11 overall. We are happy to fade them until the Rams prove they can be competitive in a game.
Colorado State vs. Nevada O/U Pick
Under 44.5 (-110) ★★★★
These two teams may set football back a half-century on Friday night, given how anemic both offenses have been. Colorado State ranks dead last in the country in offensive success rate, but Nevada is not much higher (20 spots) in the same metric. The Rams have had 13 scoring opportunities and have averaged just 2.4 points per opportunity.
While Colorado State has a 29% offensive success rate overall, its 37% success rate on standard downs and 18% on passing downs are also well below average among FBS teams. Conversely, Nevada’s defense has allowed 4.4 points per scoring opportunity, but a struggling Rams offense will not be able to take advantage.
Colorado State vs. Nevada Prop Pick
First half Under 21.5 (-110) ★★
The Under is 7-2 in the last nine meetings between these teams and has cashed in each of the previous four at Nevada. The Under has also cashed in every Colorado State game this year and is 7-3 in Nevada’s last 10 home games against teams with a losing road record. With a lack of firepower among both offenses, look for a low-scoring first 30 minutes of this game.
Where to Bet on Colorado State-Nevada Picks
Colorado State-Nevada picks made 10/4/2022 at 5:51 a.m. ET
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