Iowa vs. UCLA Prediction, Picks & Odds: Week 11
The UCLA Bruins host the Iowa Hawkeyes in a Big Ten tilt on Friday night.
The Hawkeyes and Bruins will meet at the Rose Bowl at 9 p.m. ET (FOX), and we have you covered with our best Iowa vs. UCLA prediction for the Big Ten meeting. Both teams enter the game on two-game winning streaks, but the road team is favored by six.
As we continue our Week 11 college football predictions, we consider that the Bruins have one of the worst offenses in the country, averaging just 18.6 points per game, and ask if they will be able to score enough against the 20th-ranked scoring defense in the country, or are they doomed to fall to 3-6 on the season?
Best Iowa vs. UCLA picks
College football picks based on the odds from our best college football betting sites. Odds subject to change.
- Against the spread pick: Iowa -6 (-110 via BetMGM) vs. UCLA ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- My best bet: Ethan Garbers Under 230.5 passing yards (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
Iowa vs. UCLA against the spread prediction: Week 11
Iowa to cover the spread: -6 (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Iowa vs. UCLA opening odds:
- Iowa: -6 (-110 via BetMGM)
- UCLA: +6 (-110 via BetMGM)
Hawkeyes’ defense smothers Bruins
After failing to score 20 points in their first six games of the season, the Bruins have scored at least 27 in their last two games, combing for 62 points during that span. But this week, they’re likely to revert to what they were earlier this season as they take on a defense that has allowed fewer than 20 points in three of its last four games.
The Bruins have a bottom-five rushing offense in the country, and they’re taking on one of the best run defenses in the nation. That will make them one-dimensional, and though the Bruins are averaging the 57th-most passing yards per game, it’s hard to imagine they have the advantage against the 55th-best pass defense.
Hawkeyes’ offense seals the deal
In years past, the Hawkeyes’ offense has been a bit of a joke around the country. Not this year. They’ve scored at least 40 points in three of their last four games, and they’re averaging 29.6 on the year. They should get near their season average against a defense that allows 27.9 points per game, which will be enough to cover this spread.
The Hawkeyes are favored by six points at four of our best sports betting apps. They’re favored by 5.5 at FanDuel, but the price of -122 is far too expensive considering the Hawkeyes should win easily.
Best odds: -110 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 52.38%
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Iowa vs. UCLA best bet
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Ethan Garbers Under 234.5 passing yards (-114) ⭐⭐⭐
While Garbers has had four games of more than 270 yards this season, he’s also thrown for fewer than 220 yards in his other three contests. He’s been very inconsistent, and he tends to only have good games when the matchup calls for it or when he can pick up garbage-time yards because his team is trailing by so much.
Three of the four teams that Garbers has thrown for more than 270 yards against were ranked 75th or worse in passing yards allowed per game. While the Hawkeyes aren’t as good as they’ve been in years past, they’re still one of the best pass defenses that Garbers has faced, and he’s struggled in such matchups this season.
Only two sportsbooks have this prop right now. Not only is FanDuel offering a total four yards higher than bet365, but the sportsbook is also offering a slightly better price.
Best odds: -114 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 53.27%
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Iowa vs. UCLA odds
See all of this week's college football odds and NCAAF scores.
Iowa vs. UCLA game info
- When: Friday, Nov. 7
- Kickoff: 9 p.m. ET
- Where: Rose Bowl (Pasadena, Calif.)
- How to watch: FOX
- Weather: 57 degrees, 0% chance of precipitation, wind 2 mph NE
- Favorite: Iowa -6 (-110 via BetMGM)
College football betting odds pages
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