College Football Week 10 Player Prop Picks: Jeanty to Bounce Back
Fresh off a rare losing week, our college football Week 10 player prop picks plan to get back to our winnings ways this weekend.
There's no reason to focus on the past. Let’s make the most of another exciting football slate, starting with some intriguing weeknight action. Another chance for the world to watch Heisman Trophy Odds contender Ashton Jeanty headlines the schedule on Friday night.
As part of our Week 10 college football predictions, here are my favorite player props this weekend based on the latest odds from our best college football betting sites.
College football player prop picks for Week 10
College football odds as of Thursday and subject to change. Track the college football scores for the latest line movement and matchup info.
- Mario Williams long reception Under 29.5 yards (-110 via FanDuel) at Charlotte ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Ashton Jeanty Over 171.5 rushing yards (-115 via bet365) vs. San Diego State ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Harrison Wallace III Over 37.5 receiving yards (-114 via FanDuel) vs. Ohio State ⭐⭐⭐⭐
College football picks made Thursday; odds subject to change. Our NEW college football player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!
Best player prop bets this week
Mario Williams long reception Under 29.5 (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Tulane should focus on its ground game as a two-touchdown favorite against Charlotte, which ranks 115th in the country in yards per rush allowed (5.2). That’s why Green Wave running back Makhi Hughes is getting a rushing yards prop in the 130s for Thursday’s matchup.
But I don’t see any value in betting on an inflated rushing prop. The more savvy strategy is to fade Tulane’s passing attack, including the team’s top receiver.
Mario Williams is getting a receiving prop of 58.5, while his long reception is at 29.5. Williams hasn’t cleared either prop in three consecutive games, recording six catches for 59 yards over that span.
More importantly, his average depth of target is 16 yards this year, and he's only cleared this number in three of eight games. I’ll bet against Williams making a significant play in a game when the Green Wave might not need much from him.
Meanwhile, our own Brenden Schaeffer is bravely backing Hughes in his Tulane vs. Charlotte prediction.
Best odds: -110 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 52.38%
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Ashton Jeanty Over 171.5 rushing yards (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Generally, I’d advise against betting an Over on a high rushing prop, but this mark is actually low by Ashton Jeanty’s standards. The Boise State running back averages 196.6 rushing yards per game, clearing this total in five of his seven outings this year.
Jeanty’s rushing prop is this low because he ran for 128 yards on 33 carries against UNLV last week. If he gets anywhere close to 30 carries this Friday, I see no reason why the star tailback can’t cash the Over here against San Diego State.
FanDuel is typically one of the sharper prop betting sites for college football, so it’s notable that Jeanty’s rushing prop is 10 yards higher at that shop. Take advantage of this bargain at bet365 as part of your college football Week 10 predictions.
Our Phil Wood is also backing Jeanty in his San Diego State vs. Boise State prediction.
Best odds: -115 via bet365 | Implied probability: 53.49%
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Harrison Wallace III Over 37.5 receiving yards (-114) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
If you can access ESPN BET, I’d recommend Harrison Wallace Over 2.5 receptions (-150) as a five-star prop prediction. That same shop offers -130 odds for Over 34.5 yards for the Penn State receiver, whose team sits fifth in the college football championship odds.
But this receiving prop at FanDuel will also work, as I project Wallace to clear 40 yards in Saturday’s showdown with Ohio State. He's averaging 51 receiving yards per game in Big Ten play, getting past this plateau in all four contests.
I’m especially interested in Wallace’s props due to his recent workload. Wallace earned seven targets in last week’s win over Wisconsin, and he's played 30-plus passing snaps in back-to-back weeks.
Rob Paul is taking Penn State to cover as the underdog in our Ohio State vs. Penn state early picks.
Best odds: -114 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 53.27%
College football betting odds pages
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- DraftKings Promo Code | Read our DraftKings Review
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