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College Football Week 8 Player Prop Picks: Trust Gabriel Against Purdue

Shane Jackson

Last Updated: October 17, 2024 1:21 PM EDT • 2 min 24 sec read.

Duke Blue Devils quarterback Maalik Murphy throws the football as we look at our Week 8 college football player props
Duke Blue Devils quarterback Maalik Murphy throws the football against North Carolina Tar Heels. Photo by: Jaylynn Nash-Imagn Images.

Our college football Week 8 prop picks will be looking for a bounce-back showing.

Week 7 marked the first losing card in over a month, with Cade Klubnik’s passing yards prop being the lone winner on a 1-2 day. But we can’t spend too much time worrying about what went wrong.

Read on for my favorite player props this weekend as part of our Week 8 college football predictions.

College football player prop picks for Week 8

College football odds as of Thursday and subject to change. Track the college football scores for the latest line movement and matchup info.

  • Maalik Murphy Under 217.5 passing yards (-117 via Caesars) vs. Florida State ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Dillon Gabriel Under 0.5 interceptions (-139 via Caesars) at Purdue ⭐⭐⭐⭐

College football picks made Thursday; odds subject to change. Our NEW college football player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!

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Best player prop bets this week

Maalik Murphy Under 217.5 passing yards (-117) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Let’s start our best player props for Week 8 off with a nice winner on Friday night, shall we?

I think the best sports betting apps are being too optimistic about Murphy when his Duke squad squares off with Florida State. He hasn’t cleared this mark in three straight games despite completing passes of 65 and 71 yards over that span.

Murphy isn’t a volume passer, averaging 15.66 completions per contest over the last three games. He needs the big play to reach 200-plus yards, but his longest completion is trading at 40.5 as of this writing.

With a projection below 200 yards, I believe this Under has plenty of value and would play it at 214.5 or better. 

Best odds: -117 via Caesars | Implied probability: 53.92%

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Dillon Gabriel Under 0.5 interceptions (-139) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Fresh off a signature win over Ohio State, the Oregon Ducks won’t have to do too much as four-touchdown favorites against Purdue on Friday. That’s especially true for Gabriel.

Gabriel has averaged 35.66 attempts per contest in Big Ten play. He only had one game where he attempted more than 24 passes against inferior competition in his first three weeks.

I expect the latter when it comes to Friday’s potential game script. There is no reason for the Ducks to lean on Gabriel’s arm, which is why his passing yards prop has dropped to 292.5 after throwing for 341 yards last weekend.

Because I don’t see value in Gabriel’s passing yards line, I prefer betting on him not to throw an interception. He’s only thrown three interceptions this year, with two of them coming in one game two weeks ago. This Under is playable at -140 or better.

Best odds: -139 via Caesars | Implied probability: 58.16%

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Written By:
Shane Jackson
Shane Jackson has been writing for Sportsbook Review since 2022, though his passion for sports, writing, and betting runs much longer than that. He graduated from the University of Kansas with a journalism degree in 2017 and has been covering sports ever since, working for MLB.com, Manhattan Mercury, Lawrence Journal-World, WynnBET, Bet Chicago Sports, BetNOLA, and BetMGM. Jackson cares about creating quality sports betting content above all else. He uses a mixture of models, information, film, analysis, and a top-down approach to locate every best bet shared for SBR. He never gives out a pick that he wouldn’t be willing to spend his own money on. Jackson is focused on finding +EV bets on a daily basis for a variety of sports such as NCAAF, NCAAB, NFL, NBA, WNBA, and MLB. He usually bets on props but is willing to wager on a spread or total when there is an edge. Don’t ask him how many bets he has placed on a typical college football Saturday. Jackson doesn’t care if you follow him on social media, but his Twitter account has info on how you can follow his bets through multiple third-party platforms. He just wants you to read all the great work from the SBR team.