College Football Player Props Week 13: Predictions & Picks
Our college football player props are based on the best NCAAF odds as we hope to end the regular season with another winning week.
For those following along, I secured a third consecutive winning week with my college football player props in Week 12. The picks posted a 4-1 record last weekend, contributing to the overall profit on college football player props, which now stands at plus-8.59 units for the year.
As I've highlighted since Week 1, this marks my first year participating in player props in college football. Learning how these markets move on a week-to-week basis has been enjoyable, and it has been even more enjoyable to profit from our best sports betting apps.
Let's try to finish the regular season with a fourth consecutive winning week and reach maximum enjoyment.
As part of our college football predictions for Week 13, here are our best college football player props for Week 13 (odds via our best college football betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
College football player props for Week 13
- Jayden Daniels Under 0.5 interceptions (-125 via Caesars) - Texas A&M vs. LSU ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ ✅
- Jacob Cowing 50-plus receiving yards (-102 via FanDuel) - Arizona vs. Arizona State ⭐⭐⭐⭐ ✅
- Joe Milton III Over 248.5 passing yards (-108 via Caesars) - Vanderbilt vs. Tennessee ⭐⭐⭐⭐ ✅
- Michael Penix Jr. Over 2.5 touchdown passes (-130 via bet365) - Washington State vs. Washington ⭐⭐⭐⭐ ❌
- CJ Baxter Under 98.5 rushing yards (-115 via Caesars) - Texas vs. Texas Tech ⭐⭐⭐⭐ ✅
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College football player props for Saturday Week 13
Jayden Daniels Under 0.5 interceptions (-125 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ ✅
LSU quarterback Jayden Daniels is the Heisman odds favorite entering the final weekend of the regular season, and the market believes he's going to put on a show against Texas A&M while capping his trophy-worthy season. The SBR team gave out four different picks for Daniels in our Week 13 expert picks.
This is my favorite angle for the finale because Daniels doesn't get enough credit for how well he takes care of the ball. Daniels has thrown just four interceptions and hasn't logged a pick in back-to-back games ahead of this matchup. He's registered just eight turnover-worthy plays in 2023, according to PFF.
Daniels is -130 to not throw an interception at most of our best sports betting sites. This Caesars price is a nice discount on something that's better than 60% of happening, as we expect Daniels to end the year with a third straight INT-free performance.
Jacob Cowing 50-plus receiving yards (-102 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐ ✅
Arizona's Jacob Cowing leads the team in receptions (74) and touchdowns (10), but he's only produced 539 yards and 7.3 yards per reception in 2023. That along with Cowing's recent form is why he's trading at 47.5 receiving yards, while Tetairoa McMillan is getting a receiving prop of 87.5 yards due to his big-play ability.
We're taking advantage of that gap in this rivalry matchup between Arizona and Arizona State. Cowing hasn't touched this mark in his last five games, but he's also been dealing with an injury the last two weeks.
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The volume was there for Cowing prior to the injury against Colorado. He had caught eight-plus passes in six of his previous seven contests. As long as the workload continues, we'll bet on the talented senior with a solid NFL future.
Thanks to a projection north of 50 receiving yards, we prefer the value on this -102 price on Cowing in the alternate market through FanDuel, as opposed to his -114 price on Over 47.5 yards elsewhere.
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Joe Milton III Over 248.5 passing yards (-108 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐ ✅
It's been an underwhelming season for the Tennessee Volunteers (7-4), but there's a chance they pour it on against Vanderbilt (2-9) at home to conclude the regular season. Quarterback Joe Milton III could be the most significant beneficiary of a showing on that level.
Our projections are forecasting that Milton will flirt with 275 passing yards in this one, so there's immense value in taking the -108 offering on Over 248.5 passing yards at Caesars. This prop would be playable up to 255 yards, but consider alternate markets to maximize your profit.
Milton threw for just 147 yards against Georgia last weekend, but he cleared this mark against both Missouri (267 yards) and UConn (254 yards) in the two previous weeks. That's closer to what we expect in the final regular-season game of Milton's collegiate career.
Michael Penix Jr. Over 2.5 touchdown passes (-130 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐ ❌
Not only was Washington quarterback Michael Penix Jr. a Heisman favorite for much of the year, but it was difficult to find value on his Overs when Washington's offense was humming. He was sometimes trading at 3.5 touchdown passes, or at least with a much higher vig on Over 2.5 touchdown passes.
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Penix and Co. haven't been quite as electric in recent weeks. He's thrown two touchdown passes in each of his last three games, two of which were road contests. I'm guessing we see better performances from Washington moving forward, starting with its home finale during Week 13 against Washington State.
The Huskies are hoping to finish off an undefeated regular season against their rival before focusing on the playoffs, and a possible Pac-12 title and College Football Playoff berth is on the line. We expect Penix and this offense to get back on track, starting with a three-touchdown effort on Saturday.
Because FanDuel offers -215 odds on Penix to toss three scores, this -130 value at bet365 is a tremendous bargain.
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Saturday college football player props made 11/24/2023 at 11:30 a.m. ET.
College football player props for Friday Week 13
CJ Baxter Under 98.5 rushing yards (-115 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐ ✅
It has become increasingly difficult to find many overreaction lines this late in the season, but this feels like one of those rare situations. Texas freshman running back CJ Baxter put on a show last weekend in his opportunity as the RB1 in place of an injured Jonathan Brooks, recording 117 yards on 20 carries in a win over Iowa State.
While Baxter has a promising future, I'm not sure he should have a rushing total that is just three yards below Texas Tech running back Tahj Brooks in the same game. Brooks has cleared 100 rushing yards in eight of his last nine games, including a 182-yard performance last time out against UCF.
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Baxter, meanwhile, recorded his first triple-digit rushing output last weekend. He began the year as the starter before an injury gave Brooks the opportunity, but Texas opted for more of a committee approach earlier in the season. Even last week, UT gave seven carries to Jaydon Blue while Baxter did most of his damage in the second half.
Texas Tech, which has surrendered only two 100-yard rushing performances in Big 12 play, has won three games in a row and comes into this matchup with plenty of momentum. Don't be surprised if Baxter is more bottled up in the regular-season finale, as we project him to finish with just below 80 rushing yards.
FanDuel has already dropped this rushing prop down to 92.5, so take advantage of this bargain price at Caesars via our Caesars promo code: SBRBONUS1000.
CJ Baxter college football player prop made 11/22/2023 at 2:05 p.m. ET.
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