Nevada vs. Air Force Picks, Predictions College Football Week 4: Falcons Face Tough Test From Nevada

Philip Wood

Last Updated: September 22, 2022 1:29 PM EDT • 1 min 34 sec read. Twitter link Google News Link

What Nevada-Air Force picks offer the best value when the two teams meet in Week 4?

Air Force faced its first real test of the season in Week 3, and the Falcons lost 17-14 at Wyoming. Meanwhile, the Wolf Pack continued their less than impressive start, dropping to 2-2 following a 27-0 loss to Iowa.

Air Force is a heavy favorite in this game. Can the Wolf Pack do enough to keep it close?

Here are our top Nevada-Air Force picks for the Week 4 college football matchup (odds via DraftKings and FanDuel sportsbooks, and PointsBet; Pick confidence is based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Nevada vs. Air Force Picks

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Nevada vs. Air Force Spread Pick

Nevada +24.5 (-110) ★★

The Wolf Pack are struggling in 2022, but they only allow 111.5 rushing yards per game. The Falcons showed in Week 3 that their offense isn't as explosive when the rushing attack is minimized. They should be able to run more in Week 4, but they won’t log anywhere near the team's season average of 396.0 yards per game.

The Falcons’ defensive numbers are inflated because of weak offensive opponents. Nevada is going to score enough to keep this within three scores.

Nevada vs. Air Force O/U Pick

Over 45 (-105) ★★★

Do not let Week 3 scores distract you. The Wolf Pack went up against one of the best defenses in college football, while the Falcons battled one of the top units in the Mountain West. These are two offensive-minded teams, and the Falcons could cash this Over alone if they're in peak form.

The Over has hit in five of the six meetings between these two teams., and this is the lowest total ever for a Nevada-Air Force matchup. Look for the Over to move to 6-1.

Nevada vs. Air Force Prop Pick

Nevada Over 19.5 (+270) ★★★

Both teams have scored 20-plus points in each of the six meetings. The Wolf Pack will limp along in 2022, but that doesn’t mean they're hopeless.

There's nothing shameful about suffering a shutout against Iowa. The Wolf Pack have scored 23-plus points in every other game.

Meanwhile, the Falcons’ defense has benefited from playing some pretty bad offenses. The Wolf Pack’s offense isn’t great, but it’s good enough to put up points against an untested Air Force unit.

Where to Bet on Nevada-Air Force Picks

Here are our top-rated sportsbooks:

Nevada-Air Force picks made 9/20/2022 at 12:53 p.m. ET

Written By:
Philip Wood

Phil has covered sports betting since 2016, and he has been with SportsBook Review since 2022. He previously hosted the College Football Pick 'Em podcast for CanesInsight.com. He is always looking for value, especially on lines that just seem too good to be true. His belief is that if a line doesn't make sense just assume oddsmakers know something you don't. He also loves in-season futures. There is so much value to be had as the public overreacts weekly. Bettors tend to forget just how long NFL and college football seasons are. After all, the Green Bay Packers were 2-5 in 2023 and they made it to the Divisional Round. When deciding where to bet, it comes down to value over everything. +100 is always better than -110. An alumnus of The U, Phil always holds out hope that the next head coach will be the one who turns the football program around. He is also a diehard Detroit Lions fan and is willing to forgive Dan Campbell for forgetting that a kicker can be useful.