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Oklahoma State vs. BYU Prediction, Picks & Odds: Week 8

Matt MacKay

Last Updated: October 17, 2024 2:29 PM EDT • 3 min 25 sec read.

Oklahoma State's Ollie Gordon II celebrates in the second half of the college football game between the Oklahoma State Cowboys and the Arkansas Razorbacks as we look at our Oklahoma State vs. BYU prediction.
Oklahoma State's Ollie Gordon II celebrates in the second half of the college football game between the Oklahoma State Cowboys and the Arkansas Razorbacks. Photo by Sarah Phipps/The Oklahoman/USA Today Network.

No. 13 BYU hosts unranked Oklahoma State to wrap up Friday's Week 8 college football slate with a late kickoff from Provo, Utah.

Our Oklahoma State vs. BYU prediction based on odds from our best college football betting sites tries to gauge a game between two teams that have put together completely different seasons in 2024.

The Oklahoma State Cowboys are 3-3 after losing three consecutive games to Utah, Kansas State, and West Virginia, with the last two defeats by double-digit margins. Conversely, the 6-0 BYU Cougars have been dominating teams defensively, including a signature 38-9 win over No. 17 Kansas State in mid-September. 

Best Oklahoma State vs. BYU picks

College football picks based on the odds from our best college football betting sites. Odds subject to change.

  • Against the spread pick: BYU -8.5 (-110 via FanDuel) vs. Oklahoma State ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • My best bet: BYU Over 30.5 points (-130 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Oklahoma State vs. BYU against the spread prediction: Week 8

BYU to cover the spread: - 8.5 (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Oklahoma State vs. BYU opening odds:

BYU's defense can shut down Cowboys’ offense

Oklahoma State has completed under 59% of its passes during the team's three-game slump, and the challenge doesn't get any easier against the Cougars in Provo on Friday night.

BYU’s defense is allowing a stingy 50.9 completion percentage in 2024 while giving up four total passing touchdowns, including none to Kansas State. Oklahoma State QB Alan Bowman has recorded 12 touchdowns and eight interceptions, throwing two-plus picks during each of the Cowboys’ three losses.

The Cougars’ defense is also good at forcing turnovers. It's recorded eight in the team's last three games against Kansas State, Baylor, and Arizona. 

BYU will undoubtedly win the turnover battle. The Cougars’ offense will be able to finish drives with short fields to rack up points and make Oklahoma State's offense one-dimensional. 

Momentum and home-field advantage

Momentum from turnovers, plus the home-field advantage at Provo, will prove to be too much for Mike Gundy’s Cowboys to overcome. 

Even BYU’s run defense is good while allowing 3.7 yards per carry and only two rushing touchdowns during conference play. Running back Ollie Gordon hasn't fulfilled preseason expectations yet, and it’ll be tough sledding against the Cougars’ defense with a loud crowd and most likely a BYU lead for the duration of this game.

Oklahoma State did beat BYU 40-34 on the Cowboys' home turf a year ago. But these are two different programs right now, and the Cougars are simply too good defensively to not cover -8.5 as part of your college football Week 8 predictions.

Best odds: -110 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 52.38%

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Oklahoma State vs. BYU best bet

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BYU team total Over 30.5 points (-130) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

BYU’s offense has also been a significant reason for the team's success.

QB Jake Retzlaff has thrown 14 touchdown passes and five interceptions with only a 60.0 completion percentage. However, the Cougars’ run game is strong, cycling between Retzlaff and the team's two lead running backs (Hinkley Ropati and LJ Martin) to average over 4.6 yards per carry. 

Retzlaff has been lethal in the red zone, recording three-plus passing touchdowns in four of BYU’s six games this season. Oklahoma State’s defense is allowing 5.5 yards per carry, and it's surrendered seven rushing touchdowns in the school's last two games while failing to generate takeaways.

Retzlaff doesn’t commit many turnovers. So with a stout defense backing him up, BYU's offensive efficiency will remain strong enough to score at least 31 points. That's why I’m backing the Cougars to go Over their team total of 30.5 points.

BYU has scored 31-plus points in five of six games this season, so let’s continue backing this trend against a weak Oklahoma State defense at home on Friday night.

Best odds: -130 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 56.52%

Oklahoma State vs. BYU odds

See all of this week's college football odds and NCAAF scores.

Oklahoma State vs. BYU game info

  • When: Friday, Oct. 18
  • Kickoff: 10:15 p.m. ET
  • Where: LaVell Edwards Stadium, Provo, Utah
  • How to watch: ESPN
  • Weather: 34 degrees, 60% chance of precipitation, 10-mph winds
  • Favorite: BYU -8.5 (-110 via FanDuel)

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Written By:
Matt MacKay
Matt MacKay has handicapped golf, the NFL, NCAAF, and NHL since joining the sports betting industry as a writer in 2020. He’s worked for several prominent sites, recently expanding his coverage to include sports betting news and the regulatory industry. Bringing a background in communications and writing, earning a Masters Degree in Organizational Communication from Ohio University, Matt has co-hosted a fantasy football and sports betting podcast, while continuously refining his handicapping methods. This includes identifying recent trends, head-to-head statistics, and comparing individual and team strengths and weaknesses to accurately predict the outcome in certain betting markets before a game or event. He’s a daily bettor and tends to wager on FanDuel, with DraftKings and Hard Rock Bet as preferred sports betting app alternatives. An avid researcher, writer, editor, and podcaster, Matt is eager to dig into matchups to offer readers and subscribers value on his picks. He’s a big proponent of building bankroll by avoiding poor betting habits and tendencies, like chasing losses, placing too many wagers, and managing bankroll. His worst beats to date both came on two separate NFL parlays, losing due to Tyreek Hill and A.J. Brown dropping passes. NRFIs have quickly become one of Matt’s favorite betting markets, recently diving into MLB game props.