Tulane vs. Army Prediction Tonight: AAC Championship Picks & Odds
Ahead of a busy slate over Championship Week, Army hosts Tulane in the AAC Championship with kickoff slated for tonight at 8 p.m. ET (ESPN).
Although there are no College Football playoff odds implications, a title for the underdog Black Knights (+5.5) during their first season in the conference should be enough motivation.
Our Tulane vs. Army prediction and picks envision the Black Knights leaning on the blueprint that Memphis used last week to outperform expectations against the Green Wave.
Mike Spector projects a low-scoring affair from Michie Stadium in West Point, N.Y. as part of his college football championship week best bets.
Tulane vs. Army odds movement
Despite Tulane's loss to Memphis during the final week of the regular season, the Green Wave opened as 3.5-point favorites at our best sportsbooks. Bettors hammered the visitors early in the week and the line reached Tulane -6 on Monday.
The spread has since settled around -4.5 in favor of the Green Wave at BetMGM. The public is split with 50% of spread bets on either side ahead of tonight's game.
Tulane vs. Army prediction & best pick
College football picks based on the odds from our best college football betting sites. Odds subject to change.
- Against the spread pick: Army +5.5 (-108 via FanDuel) vs. Tulane ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- My best pick: Bryson Daily Over 127.5 rushing yards (-115 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Tulane vs. Army ATS prediction: AAC Championship
Army to cover the spread: +5.5 ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: -108 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 51.92%
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The similarities between Tulane and Army are fascinating. Army ranks No. 1 in the country in rushing yards per game and time of possession. Tulane is 13th in rushing and No. 3 in time of possession.
But the team that ranks second nationally in time of possession just beat Tulane at its own game, laying the groundwork for Army to do the same.
Memphis punked the Green Wave
Memphis controlled the ball for nearly 40 minutes while upsetting the Green Wave 34-24 as a 13.5-point underdog last week. A team using Tulane's style bullied the Green Wave, which rushed for just 57 yards in that loss.
Even in Army’s defeat to Notre Dame it still cleared 200 rushing yards, as it has in every game of the season.
Army has been more consistent in its execution of these mirror-image styles. We like the Black Knights at +5.5 through FanDuel better than the +4.5 and +5 lines at some of our other best sportsbooks.
Tulane vs. Army best pick
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Bryson Daily Over 127.5 rushing yards ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: -115 via bet365 | Implied probability: 53.49%
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While we expect to see both sides attempt to establish a rushing attack, nobody else in the game is likely to get more rushing opportunities than Army quarterback Bryson Daily.
All Daily, all the time
The Black Knights' offense has consolidated around Daily’s legs in recent weeks, with the senior QB averaging 33.0 rushing attempts over his past four games.
Daily has logged 110-plus rushing yards in nine straight outings, falling below this line only twice during that stretch. It’s hard to trust the Green Wave’s run defense to slow down Daily after Tulane gave up 326 yards on the ground last week.
Daily’s 127.5-yard rushing line at bet365 (-115) or Caesars (-118) is more favorable for Over bettors than the 128.5-yard mark at FanDuel or 132.5 through BetMGM. The value at DraftKings is comparable to bet365, which is offering 127.5 rushing yards at -120 odds for one of your college football championship week predictions.
Our Shane Jackson is also featuring Daily as part of his college football championship week player prop bets.
Tulane vs. Army odds
See all of this week's college football odds and NCAAF scores.
Tulane vs. Army live odds
Tulane vs. Army opening odds:
- Tulane: -3.5 (-110)
- Army: +3.5 (-110)
Tulane vs. Army game info
- When: Friday, Dec. 6
- Kickoff: 8 p.m. ET
- Where: Michie Stadium, West Point, NY
- How to watch: ABC
- Weather: 28 degrees, 0% chance of precipitation, wind 14 mph W
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