Utah vs. Arizona State Prediction, Picks & Odds: Week 7

The last time Utah took the field, it was upset by Arizona. But the Utes should be ready to get back in the Big 12 race with a win over Arizona State.
Utah running back Micah Bernard runs against Utah State. We're backing Bernard in our Utah vs. Arizona State prediction.
Utah running back Micah Bernard runs against Utah State. Photo by Jamie Sabau via Imagn Images.

A year ago, this would have been a "Pac-12 After Dark" showdown between Utah and Arizona State. But in the new college football landscape, the two meet as Big 12 rivals on Friday at 10:30 p.m. ET from Mountain America Stadium in Tempe, Ariz.

  • Coming off an upset loss against Arizona, our Utah vs. Arizona State prediction expects the Utes to get back into the Big 12 Championship odds race
  • After being the Big 12 favorite by the College Football Playoff odds, Utah needs a win to reignite its chances
  • While not on the same level as Heisman Trophy odds favorite Ashton Jeanty, Utah's Micah Bernard has been one of the best running backs in the country this season.

In the first game of our Week 7 college football predictions involving a ranked team, the Utes are 4.5-point road favorites against the Sun Devils.

Best Utah vs. Arizona State picks

College football picks based on the odds from our best college football betting sites. Odds subject to change.

  • Against the spread pick: Utah -4.5 (-110 via Caesars) vs. Arizona State ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • My best bet: Micah Bernard Over 92.5 rushing yards (-115 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Utah vs. Arizona State against the spread prediction: Week 7

Utah to cover the spread: -4.5 (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Utah vs. Arizona State opening odds:

  • Utah: -3.5 (-110)
  • Arizona State: +3.5 (-110)

Whether it's paranoia or gamesmanship, there's nothing Utah head coach Kyle Whittingham loves more than keeping everyone in the dark about QB Cam Rising's status.

It doesn't matter if Rising takes the field or not, though, as the Utes are positioned to bounce back coming off a bye. The Sun Devils have overachieved this season, but their four wins have come against four teams that rank outside the top 50 in SP+.

Utah's 24th in SP+ and Bernard, wide receiver Dorian Singer, and tight end Brant Kuithe should be able to do enough to support freshman QB Isaac Wilson (Zach's brother) if Rising can't go again.

The Whittingham way

With a defense that's allowing the 15th-fewest points per game in the country (15.0), Whittingham's going to lean on his front seven to shut down Cam Skattebo and ASU's run game. The Utes are allowing only 107.2 rushing yards per game.

Kenny Dillingham's squad is also just two games removed from putting up only 22 points in a loss to Texas Tech, which ranks 79th in SP+ on defense. Utah's defense is 11th by that same metric.

If the Utes can run the ball and shut down the run, like Whittingham's teams are known to do, they should cover. I'm expecting a 29-23 win for Utah, which would pay a $9.09 profit on a $10 bet at Caesars.

Best odds: -110 via Caesars | Implied probability: 52.38%

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Utah vs. Arizona State best bet

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Micah Bernard Over 92.5 rushing yards (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

With this line set as high as 95.5 at our college football betting sites, this price is a nice value with a $10 winning bet paying an $8.70 profit. It helps that Bernard has gone over this line in three of his last four games.

The Utes' star is the engine that makes this offense go, and if Rising's out again, Bernard should see a heavy dose of carries. Since the Baylor game, when Rising left injured, Bernard is averaging 19.2 carries for 128.5 yards per game.

He also ranks top 25 nationally in yards after contact (381), missed tackles forced (31), and 15-plus-yard runs (7), per PFF. Bernard's in for another big performance against a defense that has missed 55 tackles in five games.

Best odds: -115 via bet365 | Implied probability: 53.49%

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Utah vs. Arizona State odds

See all of this week's college football odds and NCAAF scores.

Utah vs. Arizona State game info

  • When: Friday, Oct. 11
  • Kickoff: 10:30 p.m. ET
  • Where: Mountain America Stadium (Tempe, Ariz.)
  • How to watch: ESPN
  • Weather: 91 degrees, 0% chance of precipitation, wind 6 mph NW
  • Favorite: Utah -4.5 (-110 via Caesars)

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