Utah vs. Oregon State Predictions, Picks & Odds Week 5: Would Rising Return Swing Matchup?
We make the case for value on the Utes regardless of whether Cameron Rising makes his season debut in our Utah vs. Oregon State prediction based on the latest college football odds from our best sports betting apps.
It’s been a grind for Utah through the first four weeks without its starting quarterback, but the team has navigated the schedule to stay unbeaten to this point.
How much will the status of Utah quarterback Cameron Rising determine the outcome? On the other side, Oregon State (3-1) is motivated to return home after suffering its first loss of the season in Week 4.
Here is our best Utah vs. Oregon State prediction and college football picks (odds via our best college football betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Utah vs. Oregon State prediction
Utah +3.5 (+110 via BetMGM, bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Rising hasn't played yet this season (torn ACL), but that hasn’t been a problem yet for the Utes. Nate Jackson handled QB1 duties in Rising’s stead, helping guide Utah to a 4-0 record with a 14-7 win over UCLA.
Sure, the Utes haven’t been as explosive behind Jackson as they would have been with Rising. But this Utah defense ranks third in adjusted efficiency, something overlooked considering the significant line movement on this matchup.
After Utah opened as a 1.5-point favorite, the line swung toward Oregon State by a field goal or more. The Beavers rank 10th in college football in adjusted offensive efficiency but lost their only game against a Power Five opponent last weekend in Pullman.
Utah won three games against Power Five foes, including one on the road. All this happened without Rising, who split first-team reps in practice this week. We don’t know if Rising will be ready for this matchup, but if he is, Utah’s offense isn’t the same unit that ranked 82nd in adjusted efficiency. But even that unit can compete when it has Utah’s sixth-ranked scoring D on its side.
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Utah vs. Oregon State best odds
BetMGM, bet365 (-110)
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utah +3.5 | Utah +3.5 | Utah +3.5 | Utah +3 | Utah +3.5 |
| -112 | -120 | -110 | -110 | -110 |
If we knew Rising would be the starter, we'd hammer the Utah moneyline (+145 at bet365 are the most favorable odds). Since we don’t, we’re sticking with Utah on the spread, leaving room for a Rising return to move the odds in our favor after we bet it.
BetMGM and bet365 offer the most favorable price on Utah at +3.5 with standard -110 odds. DraftKings is at -112, while FanDuel’s odds are a fade at a heavily-juiced -120. Avoid Caesars, as it’s the only book not to offer the hook to +3.5.
Utah vs. Oregon State odds
Utah vs. Oregon State odds analysis
Utah opened as a 1.5-point road favorite but the line swiftly shifted to Oregon State -3.5 across most of our best sports betting apps. More than 51% of the wagers came in on the Beavers.
The total opened at 47.5 and decreased across the board to 44.5 at our best sports betting sites. A chance for precipitation could play a role in the declining total.
Utah vs. Oregon State game info
- When: Friday, Sept. 29, 2023 at 9 p.m. ET
- Where: Reser Stadium, Corvallis, OR
- How to watch: Fox Sports 1
- Weather: 58 degrees, 38% chance of precipitation, 6-mph winds
Utah-Oregon State prediction made Wednesday, 9/27/23 at 4:04 p.m. ET.
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