John Deere Classic Odds & Favorites 2025: AI Prediction & Preview for TPC Deere Run
Ben Griffin (+1600), Jason Day (+2500), and Denny McCarthy (+2500) are the John Deere Classic odds front-runners, with the tournament at TPC Deere Run in Silvis, Illinois, underway.
Defending champion Davis Thompson, +3500 at FanDuel, is focused on repeating, while household names like Rickie Fowler (+5500) and Max Homa (+11000) look to make a splash.
I'm offering my best John Deere Classic picks, while calling upon ChatGPT for its AI prediction. A big win from an impact player this week could shake up the British Open odds, with the major teeing off in a few weeks.
📊 PGA Tour odds this week: 2025 John Deere Classic
Our live John Deere Classic odds will update in real time based on the odds from our best sports betting sites to help with your golf picks.
🏌️ Who's favored to win the John Deere Classic?
Ben Griffin
Best odds: +1600 via FanDuel (bet $10 to win $160) | Implied win probability: 5.88%
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Griffin's recent play has made it easy for bookmakers to make him the favorite at the John Deere Classic. He's racked up multiple wins this year - one at the Charles Schwab Classic, another at the Zurich Classic, and has come T-14 or better over his last three tournaments, which includes a top-10 finish at the U.S. Open.
TPC Deere Run plays right into his style, he's been quietly improving his game around the green, and is now 13th in the world in Strokes Gained: Total. Griffin has been knocking on the door of a win all season, and on a Par-71 setup like TPC Deere Run, he might finally break through.
🚩 John Deere Classic picks: My best prop bet
✅ Best prop bet: Rickie Fowler top-20 finish (+240 via DraftKings)
✅ Implied probability: 16.67%
It'll be Rickie's first start at the John Deere Classic since 2010, and we like him to finish inside the top 20 as part of our best John Deere Classic picks. Fowler hasn't had the best season, that's no secret, but he's quietly been piecing his game together. He was in the final grouping at the Charles Schwab Challenge, and has finished inside the top 20 three times across his last six tournaments. If he can avoid a blowup round, something we've also seen from him this year, he should be able to squeak into the top 20.
We love the betting odds on this play, and I'd play it down to +210.
🤖 John Deere Classic AI prediction
I asked ChatGPT, a large language model chatbot from OpenAI, for its best pick to win the John Deere Classic. Please note that ChatGPT is not an experienced bettor and should be used only to gather additional information and insights.
"Jason Day at +2200 is a compelling pick to win the John Deere Classic this week based on both form and fit."
Why Jason Day?
🔍 Course Fit: TPC Deere Run
- TPC Deere Run is a scoring-friendly layout that rewards players who keep the ball in play, hit quality approach shots, and convert on birdie opportunities.
- Day ranks among the top 25 in Strokes Gained: Approach this season, which is critical at a course where wedges and short irons dominate the approach game.
- His consistent putting on bentgrass greens - like those at Deere Run - is another subtle edge.
📈 Recent form
- Day is heating up at the right time. He finished T-4 at the Travelers Championship, showing sharpness in both tee-to-green play and putting.
- Over his last five events, he’s gained strokes in every major category, indicating a well-rounded game that can hold up over four rounds in a shootout-style event.
🎯 Experience and poise
- As a former World No. 1 and major champion, Day has the mental game to stay composed and close on Sunday.
- He’s shown a renewed confidence and rhythm in 2025, with three top-10 finishes and no missed cuts since April.
⛳ 2025 John Deere Classic info
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Where | TPC Deere Run (Silvis, Ill.) |
| When | Thursday, July 3 – Sunday, July 6 |
| Field | 156 players |
| Favorite | Ben Griffin (+1200 via DraftKings) |
| Defending Champion | Davis Thompson |
| Purse | $8.4 million |
| FedEx Cup Points | 500 to the winner |
💰 John Deere Classic betting history
Here are the recent winners of the John Deere Classic at TPC Deere Run.
| Year | Winner | Score to Par | Margin of Victory | Winner’s Odds (Pre-tournament) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Davis Thompson | −28 | 4 strokes | +5500 |
| 2023 | Sepp Straka | −21 | 2 strokes | +1200 |
| 2022 | J.T. Poston | −21 | 3 strokes | +1400 |
| 2021 | Lucas Glover | −19 | 2 strokes | +10000 |
| 2020 | Canceled (COVID-19) | — | — | — |
| 2019 | Dylan Frittelli | −21 | 2 strokes | +2500 |
Historical odds via GolfOdds.com.
❓ How to bet on golf
When it comes to golf betting, it's essential to understand the various types of wagers available and how to assess player performance effectively.
- Outright winners
- Each-way bets (which encompass both a win and a top finish)
- Head-to-head matchups
- Proposition bets tailored to specific tournament events, like hole-in-one occurrences or player performances on designated holes
Delve into player statistics, recent tournament performances, course history, and any injuries or changes in form that may impact a player's chances of success.
⛳ Golf betting odds pages
| Masters Odds | PGA Championship Odds | U.S. Open Odds |
| British Open Odds | WM Phoenix Open Odds | Players Championship Odds |
| FedEx Cup Odds | Ryder Cup Odds | TGL odds |
🏌️Here are the best golf betting sites for the 2025 John Deere Classic
Looking to bet on the John Deere Classic? Here are the top-rated best golf betting sites as determined by our expert team at Sportsbook Review, along with the best sportsbook promos ahead of Thursday's first round at TPC Deere Run.
- FanDuel Promo Code | Read our FanDuel Review
- DraftKings Promo Code | Read our DraftKings Review
- Hard Rock Bet Promo Code | Read our Hard Rock Bet Review
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* Bonuses not applicable in Ontario.
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