PGA Championship Bets to Win: Best Picks to Grab Wanamaker Trophy at Quail Hollow Club

The season's second major started today at Quail Hollow Club as we offer our PGA Championship best picks to win, which include Rory McIlroy, Brooks Koepka, and Patrick Cantlay.
PGA Championship Picks to Win: Expert Outright Bets for Quail Hollow Club
Pictured: Brooks Koepka putts on no. 18 during the second round of the Masters Tournament at Augusta National Golf Club. Photo by Katie Goodale via Imagn Images

Bryson DeChambeau, Rory McIlroy, and Scottie Scheffler headline the 156-man field participating at Quail Hollow Club in Charlotte this week for the season's second major, which started Thursday morning.

Our PGA Championship picks to win feature one of the aforementioned juggernauts. 

McIlroy goes for his fifth win at Quail Hollow Club after completing the career grand slam with his recent Masters victory. Xander Schauffele, who hoisted the Wanamaker Trophy last year, is a back-to-back runner-up at Quail Hollow Club, and Justin Thomas won the PGA Championship the last time occurred at the hallowed Charlotte course. 

Scheffler and McIlroy (+500) are the consensus betting favorites via updated PGA Championship odds. Aside from those giants of the sport, is there anyone else who offers premium value? Check out our best PGA Championship outright picks to find out. 

๐Ÿ† Who will win the PGA Championship?

See all of our golf picks for the PGA Championship and upcoming events.

๐ŸŽฏ Rory McIlroy to win the PGA Championship (+500 via BetMGM)
๐ŸŽฏ Brooks Koepka to win the PGA Championship (+4500 via BetMGM)
๐ŸŽฏ Patrick Cantlay to win the PGA Championship (+4500 via DraftKings)

You can find the best and latest odds for all of your PGA Championship picks via our player prop odds tool.

๐Ÿ’ฐ PGA Championship outright picks

Here are my best outright picks to win this week's PGA Championship at Quail Hollow Club in Charlotte.

๐Ÿ€ Rory McIlroy

PGA Championship Picks to Win: Expert Outright Golf Bets for Quail Hollow Club
Pictured: Rory McIlroy (NIR) pitches out of the bunker on the 15th hole at Quail Hollow Club. Photo by Jim Dedmon via Imagn Images.

๐Ÿ‘‰ Best odds: +500 via BetMGM ($10 bet pays $50 profit) | Implied win probability: 16.67%

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If you were to design a golf course specifically for McIlroy to showcase his skill set, it would look a lot like Quail Hollow. Demanding an abundance of length off the tee (and everywhere else) and a sharp iron game, this venue is tailor-made to McIlroy.

And he's taken advantage of that throughout his career. He's won four PGA Tour events at Quail Hollow, including last year's Wells Fargo Championship. Nobody is close to matching his 2.87 true strokes gained on the field per round across 50 career rounds played at this venue.

Couple the career success with McIlroy's recent Masters-winning form and the evaporation of the pressure the Northern Irishman has long faced in majors while trying to end over a decade-long drought, and McIlroy's my easy choice to win the 2025 PGA Championship with a winning $10 bet returning a profit of $50.

๐Ÿ’ช Brooks Koepka

PGA Championship Picks to Win: Expert Outright Golf Bets for Quail Hollow Club
Pictured: Brooks Koepka tees off. Photo by Grace Smith via Imagn Images.

๐Ÿ‘‰ Best odds: +4500 via BetMGM ($10 bet pays $450 profit) | Implied win probability: 2.17%

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Koepka will make his third professional appearance at Quail Hollow Club this week. He finished T-13 in the 2017 PGA Championship and T-42 in the 2018 Wells Fargo Championship before leaving for the LIV Golf Invitational Series. He missed the cut in the Masters, thanks to a dismal performance on his 36th hole, and he finished T-17 or worse in five of seven LIV events this year.

However, Koepka is a five-time major champion, including three Wanamaker Trophies. He watched from home as McIlroy and DeChambeau went head-to-head in the final round of the Masters, and that should spark some motivation for the second major of the year.

The +4500 odds from BetMGM are far too long, and he should be priced closer to the +3000 odds at DraftKings which represent an implied win probability of 3.23%.

๐ŸŽฏ Patrick Cantlay

PGA Championship Picks to Win: Expert Outright Golf Bets for Quail Hollow Club
Pictured: Patrick Cantlay plays his shot from the tee. Photo by Bill Streicher via Imagn Images.

๐Ÿ‘‰ Best odds: +4500 via DraftKings ($10 bet pays $450 profit) | Implied win probability: 2.17%

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Cantlay has (famously) never won a major. He also has a spotty history at Quail Hollow Club that includes a best finish of just T-21 in the 2023 Wells Fargo Championship and a T-33 showing in the 2017 PGA Championship. He hasn't won on the PGA Tour since August 2022, and he has just two top-10 finishes in eight career appearances in the PGA Championship.

That all said, he's averaging more strokes gained off the tee than McIlroy across their respective last 16 measured rounds with vastly superior accuracy. His 0.91 strokes gained: approach over that time rank 12th among qualified golfers entering the PGA Championship. 

He's 14th in the Official World Golf Ranking (OWGR) following a T-4 finish in last week's Truist Championship Signature Event, and he hasn't missed a cut since early last June. The last time he failed to make the weekend before that was the 2023 Scottish Open.

He can be bet at odds as long as +360 for a top-10 finish this week, but I'll also sprinkle on an outright ticket with DraftKings' +4500 odds vastly superior to the +3300 odds found elsewhere.

๐Ÿ”ฎ PGA Championship expert picks

๐Ÿ‘€ PGA Championship betting insights

Here is how the betting action on the PGA Championship is coming in at BetMGM:

Highest ticket % Highest handle % Biggest liabilities
Scottie Scheffler (14.9) Scottie Scheffler (20.7) Bryson DeChambeau
Rory McIlroy (13.0) Rory McIlroy (17.6) Scottie Scheffler
Bryson DeChambeau (12.6) Bryson DeChambeau (15.4) Rory McIlroy

Line movement:

Rory McIlroy: +900 โžก๏ธ +500
Bryson DeChambeau: +2200 โžก๏ธ +850
Justin Thomas: +4000 โžก๏ธ +1800

๐Ÿ† 2025 PGA Championship info

๐Ÿ“… When: Thursday, May 15 - Sunday, May 18
โ›ณ Where: Quail Hollow Club (Charlotte, N.C)
๐Ÿ“บ How to watch: CBS and ESPN
๐Ÿ† Defending champion: Xander Schauffele
๐Ÿ’ฐ Favorite: Scottie Scheffler (+500 via BetMGM)

๐Ÿ“Š PGA Championship odds to win

Our 2025 PGA Championship odds update in real time based on the odds from our best golf betting sites. The tournament begins with Round 1 on Thursday.

๐Ÿ’ฐ PGA Championship betting history

Year Name Odds (prior to Round 1) Course
2024 Xander Schauffele +1400 Valhalla Golf Club
2023 Brooks Koepka +2000 Oak Hill
2022 Justin Thomas +1600 Southern Hills
2021 Phil Mickelson +25000 Kiawah Island
2020 Collin Morikawa +3000 TPC Harding Park
2019 Brooks Koepka +1000 Bethpage Black
2018 Brooks Koepka +1800 Bellerive
2017 Justin Thomas +3500 Quail Hollow Club
2016 Jimmy Walker +12500 Baltusrol Golf Club
2015 Jason Day +1200 Whistling Straits

Historical golf odds via GolfOdds.com.

โ›ณ Golf betting odds pages

๐ŸŒ๏ธHere are our best golf betting sites for the 2025 PGA Championship

Looking to bet on the PGA Championship? Here are our top-rated best golf betting sites as determined by our expert team at Sportsbook Review, along with our best sportsbook promos to help you get the best odds on your picks to win at Quail Hollow Club.

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