Tour Championship Odds & Favorites 2024: Scheffler (+120) Starts as Leader at 10-Under Par
East Lake Golf Club in Atlanta once again hosts the Tour Championship, with play beginning Thursday morning. Scottie Scheffler starts in the pole position for the third straight year and is the heavy betting favorite. The FedEx Cup odds favorite will look to seal his first season-long title.
Scheffler is the only PGA Tour golfer to win six times in 2024. Those victories include the Masters and The Players Championship, and he also won the Olympic gold medal in Paris.
That resume has Scheffler as a +120 favorite by the Tour Championship odds. Those odds represent an implied win probability of 45.45%.
The No. 1 golfer in the Official World Golf Ranking (OWGR) will begin the Tour Championship at 10-under par as the far-away leader in the FedEx Cup standings, as he did each of the last two seasons. No. 2 on the oddsboard - starting at 8-under - is 2024's only two-time major winner, Xander Schauffele.
Tour Championship odds: With starting strokes
Tour Championship odds from our best golf betting sites as of Wednesday at 8:45 a.m. ET. | 🔥 = best available odds | ❄️ = worst available odds
Tour Championship starting strokes in parentheses.
| Name | DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Scheffler 🇺🇸 (-10) | +115 | +115 | +120 🔥 | +100 ❄️ | +110 |
| Xander Schauffele 🇺🇸 (-8) | +230 | +230 | +225 | +220 ❄️ | +230 |
| Hideki Matsuyama 🇯🇵 (-7) | +1100 | +1200 | +1100 | +1200 | +1000 ❄️ |
| Rory McIlroy (NI) (-4) | +1800 | +1800 | +2000 🔥 | +1800 | +1800 |
| Ludvig Aberg 🇸🇪 (-5) | +1800 | +1800 | +2000 🔥 | +1600 ❄️ | +1800 |
| Sam Burns 🇺🇸 (-4) | +3000 ❄️ | +3500 | +4000 🔥 | +3500 | +3200 |
| Collin Morikawa 🇺🇸 (-4) | +3000 | +3500 | +2800 | +3500 | +2200 ❄️ |
| Patrick Cantlay 🇺🇸 (-4) | +3500 | +4000 | +3300 | +4000 | +2700 ❄️ |
| Keegan Bradley 🇺🇸 (-6) | +3500 | +4000 🔥 | +3300 | +3000 | +3000 |
| Wyndham Clark 🇺🇸 (-4) | +4000 | +4500 | +4500 | +4000 | +3500 ❄️ |
Tour Championship favorite
Scottie Scheffler (+120)
2024 wins: Arnold Palmer Invitational, The Players Championship, Masters, RBC Heritage, Memorial Tournament, Travelers Championship
Scheffler's 12 career PGA Tour victories have all come since February 2022. That breakthrough victory in the WM Phoenix Open snapped what then felt like a painful drought.
The New Jersey native paced the FedEx Cup standings for almost the entirety of the 2024 golf season. He heads to East Lake with a nearly-1,200-point lead over Xander Schauffele. His reward is a 2-stroke starting advantage.
And he blew that lead each of the past two years, first to Rory McIlroy in 2022 and then to Viktor Hovland a year ago. He enters the 2024 season finale off of a T-33 finish in last week's BMW Championship.
For whatever reason, East Lake Golf Club - and this format - haven't seemed to suit Scheffler. He draws a pass in the tournament outright market - which accounts for starting strokes. A better price could be had in the "without starting strokes" market, as it would negate Scheffler's lead.
Odds: +120 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 45.45%
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Tour Championship odds without starting strokes
BetMGM is one of our best sports betting sites offering odds for the "without starting strokes" market. This market will function as a normal 72-hole outright betting market and simply asks for the golfer who'll shoot the lowest score over four rounds.
| Golfer | BetMGM | Implied probability |
|---|---|---|
| Scottie Scheffler | +400 | 20.00% |
| Xander Schauffele | +450 | 18.18% |
| Rory McIlroy | +1100 | 8.33% |
| Collin Morikawa | +1600 | 5.88% |
| Hideki Matsuyama | +1600 | 5.88% |
| Ludvig Aberg | +1600 | 5.88% |
| Viktor Hovland | +1600 | 5.88% |
| Tommy Fleetwood | +1800 | 5.26% |
| Sam Burns | +2000 | 4.76% |
| Patrick Cantlay | +2000 | 4.76% |
FedEx Cup starting strokes for Tour Championship
Here is how the entire 30-man field will begin Thursday's first round at East Lake Golf Club.
| Tour Championship Seed | Golfer | FedEx Cup starting strokes |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scottie Scheffler | -10 |
| 2 | Xander Schauffele | -8 |
| 3 | Hideki Matsuyama | -7 |
| 4 | Keegan Bradley | -6 |
| 5 | Ludvig Aberg | -5 |
| 6 | Rory McIlroy | -4 |
| 7 | Collin Morikawa | -4 |
| 8 | Wyndham Clark | -4 |
| 9 | Sam Burns | -4 |
| 10 | Patrick Cantlay | -4 |
| 11 | Sungjae Im | -3 |
| 12 | Sahith Theegala | -3 |
| 13 | Shane Lowry | -3 |
| 14 | Adam Scott | -3 |
| 15 | Tony Finau | -3 |
| 16 | Byeong Hun An | -2 |
| 17 | Viktor Hovland | -2 |
| 18 | Russell Henley | -2 |
| 19 | Akshay Bhatia | -2 |
| 20 | Robert MacIntyre | -2 |
| 21 | Billy Horschel | -1 |
| 22 | Tommy Fleetwood | -1 |
| 23 | Sepp Straka | -1 |
| 24 | Matthieu Pavon | -1 |
| 25 | Taylor Pendrith | -1 |
| 26 | Chris Kirk | Even |
| 27 | Tom Hoge | Even |
| 28 | Aaron Rai | Even |
| 29 | Christiaan Bezuidenhout | Even |
| 30 | Justin Thomas | Even |
Tour Championship info
- Where: East Lake Golf Club, Atlanta, Ga.
- When: Thursday, Aug. 29 - Sunday, Sept. 1
- Field: 30
- Favorite: Scottie Scheffler (+120 via BetMGM)
- 2023 champion: Viktor Hovland (-17)
- Purse: $25 million (first place)
East Lake Golf Club course profile
- Par: 71
- Length: 7,490 yards
- Greens: Bentgrass
- Architect: Donald Ross
Past Tour Championship winners, odds & scores
Note: Starting strokes have been used every year since 2019. Those are shown in parentheses.
| Year | Winner | Pre-tournament odds | Score to par |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Viktor Hovland | +500 | -27 (-8) |
| 2022 | Rory McIlroy | +800 | -21 (-4) |
| 2021 | Patrick Cantlay | +325 | -21 (-10) |
| 2020 | Dustin Johnson | +175 | -21 (-10) |
| 2019 | Rory McIlroy | +800 | -18 (-5) |
| 2018 | Tiger Woods | +1200 | -11 |
| 2017 | Xander Schauffele | +8000 | -12 |
| 2016 | Rory McIlroy | +600 | -12 (playoff) |
| 2015 | Jordan Spieth | +800 | -9 |
| 2014 | Billy Horschel | +2000 | -11 |
Historical odds via golfodds.com
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