U.S. Open Matchup Picks: It’s Time to Trust Thomas, Koepka
Round 1 has come and gone at the Oakmont Country Club, and our U.S. Open matchup picks are smelling like money.
We’re going with 72-hole head-to-head matchups here, so let’s lock in and build that bankroll this week using U.S. Open odds from our best golf betting sites.
🏌️ U.S. Open matchup picks
Here are the odds from DraftKings for our U.S. Open matchup picks.
| Matchup | Pick | ⭐ Confidence level |
|---|---|---|
| Justin Thomas vs Tyrrell Hatton | Justin Thomas (-120) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Brooks Koepka vs Tony Finau | Brooks Koepka (+100) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
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🥊 Justin Thomas (7-over) vs. Tyrrell Hatton (3-over)
Right off the bat (or club), these odds jump off the page. I love the value we’re getting with Thomas against Hatton. Even though Hatton has opened up a four-shot lead over JT, I still think this course gets the best of him across 72 holes.
Thomas is one of the most consistent golfers on the PGA Tour and has made the cut in all but one U.S. Open since 2016. He's more equipped to play at Oakmont and shouldn't have any problem making the weekend, which may just be enough to win this matchup.
Statistically, Thomas ranks higher in strokes gained: approach (eighth) and around-the-green play (27th) than Hatton this season, which is crucial when navigating one of the most difficult courses in the world. Let’s ride with Thomas as part of our best U.S. Open matchup picks this week.
Best bet: Justin Thomas (-120)
Implied probability: 54.55%
👊 Brooks Koepka (2-under) vs. Tony Finau (6-over)
If it’s one guy who gets up for majors, it’s Koepka - and he showed it today, firing a 2-under 68 during Round 1.
Historically at the U.S. Open, Koepka has gained an average of 1.34 strokes per round on the field, compared to 0.52 for Finau.
Looking back to 2016, when the U.S. Open was at Oakmont, Koepka finished T-13, including a final-round 2-under. He’s used to the difficulties the course presents, which should in itself be good enough to take down Finau this week. Let's back Koepka as part of our best U.S. Open matchup picks this week.
Best bet: Brooks Koepka (+100)
Implied probability: 50%
🔮 U.S. Open expert picks
- U.S. Open first-round leader odds
- U.S. Open projected cut line
- U.S. Open power rankings
- U.S. Open matchup picks
- U.S. Open prop bets
- U.S. Open odds
- U.S. Open picks to win
- U.S. Open long shots
- U.S. Open AI predictions
⛳ U.S. Open info
- When: Thursday, June 12 - Sunday, June 15
- Where: Oakmont Country Club, Oakmont, Pa.
- How to watch: NBC, Peacock
- Favorite: Scottie Scheffler (+280 via Caesars)
- Defending champion: Bryson DeChambeau
- Field: 156
- Cut: Low 60 scores (plus ties)
❓ U.S. Open matchup picks FAQs
What are U.S. Open matchup picks in golf betting?
U.S. Open matchup picks are head-to-head betting markets where you choose which of two golfers will post the lower score over a specific round or the entire tournament. Unlike outright bets, you don’t need your pick to win the U.S. Open—just to beat their individual opponent.
How do I find value in U.S. Open matchup betting?
To find value in U.S. Open matchup betting, compare player performance in key stats like strokes gained: tee-to-green, major championship history, and success on firm, fast courses. Look for edges where one golfer consistently performs better under U.S. Open conditions, especially at courses like Oakmont.
Who are the best players to target in U.S. Open matchup picks?
The best players to target in U.S. Open matchup picks are those with proven track records in majors, solid scrambling and putting stats, and strong form entering the event. Historically, players like Brooks Koepka, Rory McIlroy, and Patrick Cantlay perform well under pressure and excel at difficult venues like Oakmont.
🏌️Best golf betting sites for the 2025 U.S Open
Looking to bet on the U.S. Open? Here are the top-rated golf betting sites as determined by our expert team at Sportsbook Review, along with the best sportsbook promos:
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