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The MLB trade deadline is just around the corner, and Sportsbook Review betting analyst Neil Parker shares his insights and picks after checking the available MLB odds from our best sports betting apps.

There are definitely clear buyers and sellers across the majors ahead of the MLB trade deadline on Aug. 1, and the Los Angeles Angels showed their hand and moved into buy mode Wednesday. 

The Halos acquired starting pitcher Lucas Giolito and right-handed reliever Reynaldo Lopez from the Chicago White Sox. So it’s all but guaranteed superstar Shohei Ohtani is set to stick around in Anaheim to take a run at a postseason berth.

But two National League clubs in the gray area could make this year’s deadline exciting.

The San Diego Padres and Chicago Cubs could be major players, but playoff aspirations might limit their impactful moves.

DraftKings pulled the MLB trade deadline markets for a number of high-profile players following the Giolito deal. The sportsbooks released new markets Thursday afternoon, though. 

Of course, Ohtani has been taken off the board after being -250 to stick with LA on Wednesday.

Editor's note: All picks of July 26.

MLB trade deadline picks

  • Shohei Ohtani next team: Angels (-250 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐
  • Blake Snell next team: Padres (-200 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Justin Verlander next team: Mets (-200 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Max Scherzer next team: Mets (-235 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Josh Hader next team: Padres (-180 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

MLB trade deadline odds: Blake Snell 

Next TeamDraftKings Odds
Padres-150
Orioles+800
Rangers+900
Yankees+1000
Astros+1000
Braves+1500
Reds+1500
Dodgers+1500
Blue Jays+1600
Any other team+1800

Contract status: Unrestricted free agent following 2023 season.

If we know anything about the San Diego Padres, it’s that they can’t pin their poor play on NL Cy Young candidate Blake Snell. 

The 30-year-old southpaw has been dealing since the calendar flipped to June and padded his 6-2 record with a nasty 0.78 ERA and 13.3 strikeouts per nine innings. He’s back to his 2018 Cy Young form, and the Friars aren’t completely out of the playoff picture despite the underwhelming start to the campaign.

Simply put, a two-week heater would be all it took for San Diego to be back in the thick of the wild-card race, and the roster is loaded with starpower.

The DraftKings odds also reinforce the likelihood Snell sticks in SD.

MLB trade deadline odds: Cody Bellinger

Next TeamDraftKings Odds
Cubs+200
Phillies+550
Yankees+550
Astros+800
Giants+900
Blue Jays+1000
Mariners+1200
Any other team+1200
Brewers+1200
Dodgers+1800

Contract status: Mutual option for 2024 season with Cubs includes a $5.5 million buyout.

Senior writer Patrick Mooney of The Athletic suggested Bellinger will not be traded as long as the Chicago Cubs keep winning, and I agree.

Bellinger has an NL MVP award on his resume, won a World Series with the Los Angeles Dodgers in 2020 and is a prototypical franchise cornerstone who just turned 28.

An upcoming four-game set against the St. Louis Cardinals will probably be the deciding factor. If the North Siders can’t close the gap in the standings, they should be able to move Bellinger for a king’s ransom if the right trading partner arrives at the table. 

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MLB trade deadline odds: Marcus Stroman

Next TeamDraftKings Odds
Cubs+200
Astros+500
Rangers+600
Dodgers+700
Rays+750
Yankees+1000
Blue Jays+1000
Orioles+1200
Reds+1300
Braves+1300

Contract status: Opt-out option following 2023 season with Cubs.

There have been rumors of Stroman taking advantage of his opt-out option following the 2023 season, and he could end up being the best pitcher truly available ahead of the Aug. 1 trade deadline.

Additionally, I don’t anticipate many contenders balking at the option of bolstering their rotation by adding the 32-year-old righty. 

Stroman has slid slightly over his past five starts, but it’s hard to argue with his year-long 3.09 ERA, 57.8 ground-ball rate and 9.3 HR/FB percentage.

His start Wednesday could also impact his trade value and, thus, the likelihood he’s dealt.

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MLB trade deadline odds: Paul Goldschmidt

Next TeamDraftKings Odds
Cardinals-1000
Mariners+1500
Any other team+1600
Phillies+1800
Rangers+2000
Blue Jays+2000
Giants+2000
Brewers+2200
Dodgers+2500
Padres+2500

Contract status: Unrestricted free agent following 2024 season.

The St. Louis Cardinals are reportedly keeping Goldschmidt and looking ahead to the 2024 season, and the DraftKings odds align with USA TODAY Sports Major League Baseball columnist Bob Nightengale.

Goldschmidt continues to produce high-end numbers, and St. Louis rebounding in 2024 isn’t far-fetched.

MLB trade deadline odds: Justin Verlander

Next TeamDraftKings Odds
Mets-200
Giants+700
Dodgers+950
Rangers+1200
Orioles+1200
Astros+1300
Any other team+1800
Red Sox+2500
Blue Jays+2500
Braves+2800

Contract status: No-trade clause, vested option for 2025 season with Mets if 140 innings pitched in 2024.

I don’t anticipate the Mets trading Verlander. 

He’s rebounded from a slow start with a 1.98 ERA and 1.00 WHIP through his past eight starts, and there’s probably too much money remaining on his contract to make an easy swap. 

Plus, Verlander would also have to waive his no-trade clause, and he hasn’t been approached by general manager Billy Eppler about being moved.

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MLB trade deadline odds: Max Scherzer

Next TeamDraftKings Odds
Mets-235
Dodgers+650
Rangers+800
Reds+1300
Any other team+1300
Orioles+1500
Blue Jays+2200
Giants+2500
Braves+3000
Rays+3000

Contract status: no-trade clause and opt-out option following 2023 season with Mets.

I bet the Mets would love to trade Scherzer, but it could prove to be an incredibly tough sell, according to baseball columnist Jon Heyman of the New York Post.

  • Scherzer would need to approve a deal
  • Scherzer isn’t pitching to his contract
  • The Mets would have to pay a significant chunk of Scherzer’s salary the next two years

I’m confident Scherzer continues pitching at Citi Field for the remainder of the season, and that he doesn’t opt out of another year of cushy pay days, either.

MLB trade deadline odds: Josh Hader

Next TeamDraftKings Odds
Padres-150
Rays+750
Rangers+800
Any other team+900
Astros+1100
Reds+1300
Dodgers+1500
Blue Jays+1500
Yankees+1800
Giants+2000

Contract status: Unrestricted free agent following 2023 season.

There’s still some time for the Padres to reevaluate and explore trade options for Hader, especially considering he’d be the best reliever on the market if made available.

I just don’t see San Diego giving up on their stars after making it to the NLCS last season.

MLB trade deadline odds: Eduardo Rodriguez

Next TeamDraftKings Odds
Tigers+350
Rangers+450
Dodgers+500
Orioles+650
Braves+900
Reds+1000
Blue Jays+1000
Yankees+1100
Astros+1100
Rays+1300

Contract status: Opt-out option following 2023 season with Tigers.

Rodriguez’s opt-out option makes his trade outlook a little trickier to handicap. If he continues to pitch well following a trade, he’s likely to enter free agency following the 2023 campaign.

However, there’s also the potential the oft-injured lefty saddles a new team with another three years and $49 million in salary. Add Rodriguez looking shaky with a 5.66 ERA through four starts following a left index finger injury that cost him all of June, and there are too many balls in the air here.

MLB trade deadline odds: Tim Anderson

Next TeamDraftKings Odds
White Sox+150
Brewers+275
Any other team+500
Marlins+500
Giants+900
Mariners+1300
Braves+1500
Twins+2000
Red Sox+2000
Dodgers+3000

Contract status: Club option following 2023 season with White Sox includes $1 million buyout.

The two-time All-Star is set to be moved ahead of the deadline, and there are a number of teams seeking help up the middle.

Anderson’s batting .366 with a .422 on-base percentage through his past 10 games, and his larger sample from 2019 through 2022 shows off .318 and .347 marks.

It could change as the deadline approaches, but I don’t have a strong lean in this particular betting market.

Here are our best MLB betting sites:

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