MLB Projected Win Totals & Over/Under Wins Odds 2025: Tigers Continue to Shock the World
The New York Mets own the best record in baseball, though they have the same number of wins as one of baseball's most surprising teams, and the rise of the Detroit Tigers headlines our MLB win totals odds.
- The World Series odds-favorite Los Angeles Dodgers started the season with a win total well above 100, but they've performed under expectations
- The Tigers continue to shock the baseball world with their strong play, and the AL Central in general has been impressive this season
- The NL East is much weaker than most anticipated, due to the Atlanta Braves' struggles
- We've ordered every team based on finishing position last year
Be sure to read on for our best AI MLB win totals predictions!
📊 MLB win totals odds 2025
(MLB win total odds via FanDuel)
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⚾ AL East win totals
| Team (record) | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yankees (41-25) | 91.5 (-124)/(+102) |
| Orioles (27-39) | 81.5 (-110)/(-110) |
| Red Sox (34-36) | 84.5 (+102)/(-124) |
| Rays (36-32) | 78.5 (-118)/(-104) |
| Blue Jays (38-30) | 80.5 (-108)/(-112) |
⚾ AL Central win totals
| Team (record) | Odds |
|---|---|
| Guardians (35-32) | 82.5 (-120)/(-102) |
| Royals (34-34) | 84.5 (-104)/(-118) |
| Tigers (44-25) | 92.5 (-150)/(+122) |
| Twins (36-31) | 80.5 (-105)/(-115) |
| White Sox (23-45) | 51.5 (+104)/(-128) |
⚾ AL West win totals
| Team (record) | Odds |
|---|---|
| Astros (37-30) | 85.5 (-110)/(-110) |
| Mariners (33-34) | 87.5 (-122)/(+100) |
| Rangers (32-36) | 85.5 (-112)/(-108) |
| Athletics (26-44) | 76.5 (-110)/(-110) |
| Angels (33-34) | 69.5 (-104)/(-118) |
⚾ NL East win totals
| Team (record) | Odds |
|---|---|
| Phillies (39-29) | 91.5 (-114)/(-106) |
| Braves (29-38) | 90.5 (-106)/(-114) |
| Mets (44-24) | 96.5 (-124)/(+102) |
| Nationals (30-37) | 68.5 (-110)/(-110) |
| Marlins (25-41) | 60.5 (-110)/(-110) |
⚾ NL Central win totals
| Team (record) | Odds |
|---|---|
| Brewers (36-33) | 81.5 (-118)/(-104) |
| Cardinals (36-32) | 75.5 (-105)/(-115) |
| Cubs (41-27) | 92.5 (-132)/(+108) |
| Reds (35-34) | 77.5 (-112)/(-108) |
| Pirates (28-41) | 64.5 (-118)/(-104) |
⚾ NL West win totals
| Team (record) | Odds |
|---|---|
| Dodgers (41-28) | 104.5 (-105)/(-115) |
| Padres (38-29) | 91.5 (-106)/(-114) |
| Diamondbacks (34-34) | 87.5 (-110)/ (-110) |
| Giants (40-28) | 86.5 (-118)/(-104) |
| Rockies (12-55) | 41.5 (-122)/(+100) |
🤖 AI prediction for MLB win totals
For entertainment purposes, we asked ChatGPT to analyze trends and the current landscape to offer insight into the MLB win totals odds. ChatGPT is not recommended for betting advice but can provide additional information and insights into the betting market.
📈 Value & fade picks
Over movers to evaluate
- Cubs Over ~93.5: Deep increase makes this a more daring Over. Pitching is solid, but reaching that level may be tough. Consider fading
- Tigers Over ~95.5: Explosive early results (28–15 start). Some models project postseason appearance (~99% playoff odds)
Potential unders & fade-ins
- Braves Under ~90.5: A slow start and stiff NL East competition make hitting 90-plus wins questionable
- Yankees Under ~96.5: Rotation depth weakened (Cole out), may not reach this lofty number. Analysts are already fading upwards movement
- Astros Under ~85.5: Injuries haunting roster; long schedule and aging staff could suppress wins
🧠 Analytical insights
- Injury & schedule surface: Teams like the Astros and the Yankees have a hidden downside via injuries and key player absences
- Run-differential vs. Pythagorean: Consider using expected-win models to see if current win pace overstates/understates true talent
- Strength of division: High lines (Mets, Phillies, Braves) reflect division difficulty and head-to-head slates – a deeper look at their schedules could be revealing
✅ How you can use this
- Shade Unders on Cubs, Braves, Yankees, and Astros: Each line moved heavily, implying potential overcorrection
- Lean Over/big units on Tigers: Hot start, strong analytics support, and sustained momentum
- Consider hedging with small stakes on runway teams like Minnesota and Seattle to balance portfolio
📜 MLB standings & records last year
| Team | Record |
|---|---|
| Dodgers | 98-64 |
| Phillies | 95-67 |
| Yankees | 94-68 |
| Brewers | 93-69 |
| Padres | 93-69 |
| Guardians | 92-69 |
| Orioles | 91-71 |
| Diamondbacks | 89-73 |
| Braves | 89-73 |
| Mets | 89-73 |
| Astros | 88-73 |
| Tigers | 86-76 |
| Royals | 86-76 |
| Mariners | 85-77 |
| Cubs | 83-79 |
| Cardinals | 83-79 |
| Twins | 82-80 |
| Red Sox | 81-81 |
| Giants | 80-82 |
| Rays | 80-82 |
| Rangers | 78-84 |
| Reds | 77-85 |
| Pirates | 76-86 |
| Blue Jays | 74-88 |
| Nationals | 71-91 |
| Athletics | 69-93 |
| Angels | 63-99 |
| Marlins | 62-100 |
| Rockies | 61-101 |
| White Sox | 41-121 |
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