Best Home Run Predictions Tonight: MLB Odds, Picks & Prop Bets for July 10

We have baseball action all day, with a pair of home run picks for the early games and two for tonight.

Andrew Brennan

Last Updated: July 10, 2025 2:20 PM EDT • 4 minute read

Home Run Predictions Tonight: Best MLB Odds, Picks & Prop Bets for July 10 — Pictured: New York Yankees right fielder Aaron Judge headlines our best home run predictions tonight after our two bets earlier this afternoon. Photo by Wendell Cruz via Imagn Images.

I hope you got your bets in bright and early because Pete Crow-Armstrong launched a nuke as part of our home run bets today. Fear not, though, as our, best home run predictions tonight roll on with a pair of sluggers.

After betting on Pete Alonso and Crow-Armstrong, we're looking ahead to the evening's action with Aaron Judge and capping it all off on the West Coast with Ketel Marte.

Together, that four-leg home run parlay will pay out over $2,000 on a $10 wager if it hits.

💰 MLB best home run predictions & odds tonight: July 10

Here are my best MLB home run predictions and odds tonight with my pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale. You can also check out our MLB player prop odds tool for the latest MLB odds at the best legal sportsbooks in your region.

🧨 Pete Alonso to hit a home run (+475 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
🧨 Pete Crow-Armstrong to hit a home run (+360 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
🧨 Aaron Judge to hit a home run (+210 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
🧨 Ketel Marte to hit a home run (+375 via ESPN BET) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

🚀 Best home run parlay picks

Here is our best MLB home run parlay for Thursday's baseball action; use our parlay calculator to get the best odds for any parlay.

💣 Pete Alonso to hit a home run (+320 via FanDuel)
💣 Pete Crow-Armstrong to hit a home run (+360 via FanDuel)
💣 Aaron Judge to hit a home run (+176 via FanDuel)
💣 Ketel Marte to hit a home run (+290 via FanDuel)

Parlay odds: +20696 via FanDuel ($10 to win $2,069.60)

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💣 Best home run prediction tonight: MLB expert picks & prop bets

Here are my best home run bets today. Check out the rest of our MLB picks along with our guide on how to bet on MLB.

⚾ Aaron Judge (Yankees) to hit a home run ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: +210 via bet365 (bet $10 to win $21)

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Judge hit a 105.3-mph missile for an out last night before coming through with a double to cash our Over 1.5 total bases prop. I'm taking things one step further for tonight's game, trading in the total bases Over for a tasty home run bet.

By now, there's not much new information I can provide you when it comes to why Judge should homer tonight. He obviously hits the ball extremely hard, and he actually has a bit of an advantageous pitching matchup tonight.

Bryan Woo is an excellent starter, so that part is not so good. However, he also throws a ton of strikes, so he's unlikely to walk Judge unless directed to do so by his dugout. And we know what Judge does with strikes.

I feel like a broken record when offering a pick on Judge to homer, but it's just the smart play whenever priced at odds hovering around or better than +200. Almost all of our other best sports betting sites are shorter than 2/1, so be sure to act sooner rather than later.

📊 Mariners vs. Yankees odds

💡 More MLB predictions today

❓Best Home Run predictions FAQs

What is a home run bet?

A home run bet is a wager on a hitter to hit a HR at any point during a game. Some sportsbooks allow you to bet on a hitter to not hit a home run, but the most common bet is on them to do so.

Can you parlay home run bets?

Yes, you can parlay home run bets. We've provided our best home run parlay today.

How do I place a home run bet?

To place a home run bet, simply go to your favorite sportsbook and go to the game featuring the player of your choice. Then click on batter props and you should see an option to bet a player to hit a home run.

What are the best home run props for tonight?

Our best home run predictions today feature Pete Alonso, Pete Crow-Armstrong, Aaron Judge, and Ketel Marte.

💵 Best MLB betting sites

Want to bet on baseball? Check out the best MLB betting sites and best sportsbook promos for today's games:

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Written by:
Andrew Brennan

Andrew Brennan is a publishing editor for Sportsbook Review. He also heads the website’s MLB coverage, from the various futures markets to daily picks. Andrew believes a math-based approach is the best way to enjoy long-term success in sports betting, and he’s spent the better part of the last year fine-tuning his own process for MLB, NBA, and NFL picks. Andrew uses eight different sportsbooks to find the best odds available and various projection models to gather as much information as he can. His most used sportsbooks are bet365, FanDuel, and theScore Bet. When it comes to daily projection models, he regularly references NumberFire across all sports, as it’s one of the best free tools available. In terms of which daily markets Andrew attacks, he almost exclusively bets on pitcher strikeouts for baseball. When the winter rolls around, you’ll see him providing more variety when it comes to the NBA (points, assists, rebounds) and NFL (almost any offensive-based player prop). He used these tools to go +150 units in 2023. Andrew is also a passionate fantasy sports player. He’s played fantasy football, fantasy Premier League, and fantasy baseball for the last decade. He graduated from Durham College with his diploma in journalism after earning his degree in law from Carleton University. He’s worked in sports media since early 2017, first contributing at FanSided before moving to theScore. He joined SBR in 2022.