Cy Young Odds & Favorites 2025: Skenes, Crochet Own Commanding Leads as Favorites

The AL side of the Cy Young odds is intriguing, but our attention is on the reigning Rookie of the Year and significant favorite to win the NL Cy Young Award, Paul Skenes.

Skenes is trading at a price hovering around +200, though another young flamethrower is chasing him down on the oddsboard thanks to a spectacular start to the season.

New Boston Red Sox ace Garrett Crochet is the favorite in the AL, ahead of reigning winner Tarik Skubal. Meanwhile, New York Yankees ace Gerrit Cole's season ended before it started, but the team's offseason addition, Max Fried, rounds out the top five in his place.

🔢 Odds to win American League Cy Young 2025

Live odds for the 2025 AL Cy Young from our best MLB betting sites.

🧑‍🏫 AL Cy Young odds analysis

April 16, 2025: Skubal put together a campaign for the ages last year, capturing the pitching Triple Crown in the AL and helping lead his Tigers to a magical postseason run. He was unanimously voted as the AL Cy Young Award winner as a result.

He was the favorite to repeat at +380 odds before the season started, but Crochet has surpassed him as we enter the middle of April.

Crochet was the second-best pitcher in the AL last year and may have even challenged Skubal for the award had his innings not been limited.

Crochet now pitches for the Red Sox, where the challenges of the AL East await. But few obstacles feel daunting for Crochet with his strikeout percentage (35.1) that ranked in the top 2% of MLB last year. As you'd expect whenever there's an exciting youngster to bet on, the highest ticket and handle percentage for this market at BetMGM were on Crochet before the season started. That continues to be the case now.

Cole Ragans and Logan Gilbert slot in as the third and fourth-biggest favorites, respectively, and the aforementioned Fried is No. 5.

🤖 AI prediction for AL Cy Young

This is what ChatGPT had to say when we asked it for an AL Cy Young prediction:

"Based on recent performances and trends, the 2025 American League Cy Young Award race is shaping up to be competitive, with several pitchers emerging as strong contenders.​

Tarik Skubal of the Detroit Tigers enters the season as the favorite, having won the 2024 Cy Young Award with a dominant performance, leading the league in wins (18), ERA (2.39), and strikeouts (228). His continued excellence positions him as a top candidate to repeat.​

Garrett Crochet, now with the Boston Red Sox, is another strong contender. After returning from Tommy John surgery, he impressed in 2024 with 209 strikeouts over 146 innings and a 3.58 ERA. His move to the Red Sox, a team with high postseason aspirations, could provide him with increased visibility and opportunities to showcase his skills.

Cole Ragans of the Kansas City Royals also stands out. In 2024, he finished fourth in Cy Young voting with a 3.14 ERA and 223 strikeouts in 186.1 innings. His continued development and the Royals' improved performance could elevate his candidacy.​

Other notable candidates include Hunter Brown of the Houston Astros, who showed significant improvement in 2024 and has continued strong performances into 2025, and Jacob deGrom of the Texas Rangers, whose return to form after injury could make him a formidable contender."

🔢 Odds to win National League Cy Young 2025

Live odds for the 2025 NL Cy Young from our best sports betting apps.  

🧑‍🏫 NL Cy Young odds analysis

April 16, 2025: Skenes put together a mythical rookie campaign, and he serves as the NL Cy Young favorite as a result.

The towering righty struck out 170 batters over just 133 innings, leading to an 11.5 K/9. That effectiveness is a significant reason why he was the MLB strikeouts leader odds favorite heading into this season.

He wasn't just a punchout artist either, as Skenes suppressed offense to the tune of a 1.96 ERA. However, bettors at BetMGM preferred Zack Wheeler at his odds over Skenes ahead of the campaign. He was drawing the highest ticket and handle percentage. However, bettors have heavily backed Skenes since then.

The big surprise in the top three is Hunter Greene, who slots in between Skenes and Wheeler. He's been phenomenal to start the year, which is certainly a positive sign for Cincinnati Reds fans who've been waiting for him to live up to his potential since he debuted in 2022.

🤖 AI prediction for NL Cy Young

This is what ChatGPT had to say when we asked it for an NL Cy Young prediction:

"Based on recent trends and emerging talent, Paul Skenes of the Pittsburgh Pirates is a strong contender for the 2025 National League Cy Young Award. In his rookie season, Skenes posted an impressive 1.96 ERA and 170 strikeouts in 133 innings, finishing third in Cy Young voting. With a full season ahead, he is expected to build upon his success. 

Other notable contenders include Zack Wheeler of the Philadelphia Phillies, who finished second in 2024 Cy Young voting with a 2.57 ERA and 224 strikeouts in 200 innings, and Chris Sale of the Atlanta Braves, the 2024 Cy Young winner, who posted a 2.38 ERA and 225 strikeouts."

📜 AL Cy Young betting history

📜 NL Cy Young betting history

💡 How to bet on the MLB Cy Young 

When betting on the Cy Young pick a reputable sportsbook offering Cy Young futures. Check the odds for various pitchers; for instance, if Pitcher A has +300 odds and Pitcher B has +800, Pitcher A is favored to win.

Decide how much to wager and place your bet. If you bet $100 on Pitcher A at +300 and they win, you’ll get $400 back ($300 profit + $100 stake). Keep an eye on pitcher performances throughout the season to gauge how your bet is shaping up.

Remember, if a pitcher performs exceptionally well or poorly, their odds will shift. Injuries to the pitcher or competitors can significantly impact their Cy Young chances.

The success of the pitcher's team can also influence their odds. Public betting trends play a role; if many people are betting on one pitcher, sportsbooks might adjust the odds to balance their risk.

Expert analysis and predictions can also influence how people bet, which in turn affects the odds.

Understanding these factors helps you make informed bets and potentially capitalize on favorable odds movements.

📖 How to read MLB Cy Young odds

Odds are typically shown in a format like +300 or -150. Positive odds (e.g., +300) indicate how much profit you'd make on a $100 bet.

For example, a $100 bet at +300 odds would win you $300, plus your original $100 stake, totaling $400. Negative odds (e.g., -150) show how much you need to bet to win $100. So, a $150 bet at -150 odds would win you $100, plus your $150 stake, totaling $250.

These odds also reflect the implied probability of a pitcher winning the Cy Young Award. Lower odds (e.g., +200) suggest a higher likelihood of winning, while higher odds (e.g., +1000) indicate a lower likelihood. 

For example, if Pitcher A has +300 odds and Pitcher B has +800 odds, Pitcher A is considered more likely to win. If you bet $100 on Pitcher A and they win, you'd get $400 back ($300 profit + $100 stake).

Sportsbooks adjust these odds based on factors like pitcher performance, injuries, team success, and betting patterns. Understanding these odds helps you make informed betting decisions and assess potential returns.

❓ MLB Cy Young FAQs

Who are the Cy Young award odds favorites?

Garrett Crochet and Paul Skenes are the Cy Young odds favorites in the AL and NL, respectively.

Who won the Cy Young awards last year?

Tarik Skubal of the Detroit Tigers won the American League Cy Young award in 2024.

Atlanta Braves southpaw Chris Sale took home the award for the National League.

When will the Cy Young winners be announced?

The 2024 Cy Young Award winners were announced on Wednesday, Nov. 20.

How does Cy Young voting work?

The Cy Young awards are given out based on the voting from members of the Baseball Writers' Association of America. Writers from NL cities vote for the NL Cy Young, and the same is true for AL writers. In total, there are 30 votes tied to each award, with one representative from each team.

Writers submit their ballots before the beginning of the posteason. They rank their top-five selections, and points are given in descending order (first place gets seven points, second place gets four, third place gets three, fourth place gets two, and fifth place gets one). The player with the most points wins. In the event of a tie, the award is shared. 

Who has won the most Cy Young awards?

Roger Clemens, seven, won more Cy Young awards than any other pitcher in MLB history. Randy Johnson, five, is second on the all-time list.

🏟️ MLB betting odds pages

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